Omani Revenues Rise 15% in 2024, Driven by Higher Oil Prices

The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)
The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)
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Omani Revenues Rise 15% in 2024, Driven by Higher Oil Prices

The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)
The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)

Preliminary data from Oman’s Ministry of Finance showed that the country’s revenues in 2024 reached approximately 12.7 billion Omani rials ($33 billion), marking a 15% increase compared to initial budget forecasts.

Spending was reduced to 11.65 billion rials ($30 billion), a 4% decrease from planned expenditure. This resulted in an actual surplus of 540 million rials, instead of the anticipated deficit of 640 million rials.

The improved financial performance was largely due to a 37% rise in the average price of oil, which reached $82 per barrel, compared to the initially projected $60. However, Oman’s average daily oil production saw a slight decline, dropping to 1.001 million barrels from 1.031 million barrels.

The additional revenue of 468 million rials was allocated to social spending and economic growth initiatives. This included funding for fuel subsidies, electricity, water, sanitation, and waste management. Health and education sectors received increased budgets to support service expansion, while additional funds were provided for social security beneficiaries, low-income families, and debt forgiveness for small and medium-sized enterprises.

Oman’s public debt declined by 5.3% in 2024, falling from 15.2 billion rials at the start of the year to 14.4 billion rials. Debt now represents 34% of GDP, down from 36.5%.

In November, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported significant economic expansion in Oman, with growth accelerating from 1.2% in 2023 to 1.9% in the first half of 2024. This growth was driven by non-oil sectors such as construction, manufacturing, and services, despite reduced oil production. The IMF highlighted Oman’s progress in implementing Vision 2040 reforms, which included strengthening social safety nets, improving labor market flexibility, and enhancing the business environment. The country’s sovereign credit rating was upgraded to investment grade, reflecting its improved economic fundamentals.

While growth in 2024 is projected at 1.2%, further recovery is expected in 2025 as hydrocarbon production increases alongside non-oil sector expansion. Challenges such as oil price volatility and geopolitical risks remain, but Oman continues its efforts to diversify the economy and attract investments.

Sultan Haitham bin Tariq approved Oman’s 2025 budget, which anticipates a deficit of 620 million rials ($1.6 billion). Revenues are estimated at 11.18 billion rials ($29 billion), a 1.5% increase from 2024, while spending is projected at 11.8 billion rials ($30.65 billion), a 1.3% rise.

Finance Minister Sultan al-Habsi emphasized that global economic uncertainties, including trade tensions and weaker oil demand, present challenges for oil-exporting nations. The 2025 budget focuses on maintaining fiscal and social stability, allocating significant funds to education, health, housing, and social welfare. Subsidies for social protection and electricity support are also prioritized.

Development spending across provinces reached 147 million rials by the end of 2024, aligning with efforts to promote decentralized growth. Oman is also undertaking financial reforms, including periodic reviews of government service fees, simplifying administrative processes, and modernizing financial regulations to improve fiscal management.



Oil Falls from Highest since October as Dollar Strengthens

People stand on the the pier with offshore oil and gas platform Esther in the distance on January 5, 2025 in Seal Beach, California. Mario Tama/Getty Images/AFP
People stand on the the pier with offshore oil and gas platform Esther in the distance on January 5, 2025 in Seal Beach, California. Mario Tama/Getty Images/AFP
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Oil Falls from Highest since October as Dollar Strengthens

People stand on the the pier with offshore oil and gas platform Esther in the distance on January 5, 2025 in Seal Beach, California. Mario Tama/Getty Images/AFP
People stand on the the pier with offshore oil and gas platform Esther in the distance on January 5, 2025 in Seal Beach, California. Mario Tama/Getty Images/AFP

Oil prices dipped on Monday amid a strong US dollar ahead of key economic data by the US Federal Reserve and US payrolls later in the week.
Brent crude futures slid 28 cents, or 0.4%, to $76.23 a barrel by 0800 GMT after settling on Friday at its highest since Oct. 14.
US West Texas Intermediate crude was down 27 cents, or 0.4%, at $73.69 a barrel after closing on Friday at its highest since Oct. 11, Reuters reported.
Oil posted five-session gains previously with hopes of rising demand following colder weather in the Northern Hemisphere and more fiscal stimulus by China to revitalize its faltering economy.
However, the strength of the dollar is on investor's radar, Priyanka Sachdeva, a senior market analyst at Phillip Nova, wrote in a report on Monday.
The dollar stayed close to a two-year peak on Monday. A stronger dollar makes it more expensive to buy the greenback-priced commodity.
Investors are also awaiting economic news for more clues on the Federal Reserve's rate outlook and energy consumption.
Minutes of the Fed's last meeting are due on Wednesday and the December payrolls report will come on Friday.
There are some future concerns about Iranian and Russian oil shipments as the potential for stronger sanctions on both producers looms.
The Biden administration plans to impose more sanctions on Russia over its war on Ukraine, taking aim at its oil revenues with action against tankers carrying Russian crude, two sources with knowledge of the matter said on Sunday.
Goldman Sachs expects Iran's production and exports to fall by the second quarter as a result of expected policy changes and tighter sanctions from the administration of incoming US President Donald Trump.
Output at the OPEC producer could drop by 300,000 barrels per day to 3.25 million bpd by second quarter, they said.
The US oil rig count, an indicator of future output, fell by one to 482 last week, a weekly report from energy services firm Baker Hughes showed on Friday.
Still, the global oil market is clouded by a supply surplus this year as a rise in non-OPEC supplies is projected by analysts to largely offset global demand increase, also with the possibility of more production in the US under Trump.