Omani Revenues Rise 15% in 2024, Driven by Higher Oil Prices

The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)
The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)
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Omani Revenues Rise 15% in 2024, Driven by Higher Oil Prices

The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)
The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)

Preliminary data from Oman’s Ministry of Finance showed that the country’s revenues in 2024 reached approximately 12.7 billion Omani rials ($33 billion), marking a 15% increase compared to initial budget forecasts.

Spending was reduced to 11.65 billion rials ($30 billion), a 4% decrease from planned expenditure. This resulted in an actual surplus of 540 million rials, instead of the anticipated deficit of 640 million rials.

The improved financial performance was largely due to a 37% rise in the average price of oil, which reached $82 per barrel, compared to the initially projected $60. However, Oman’s average daily oil production saw a slight decline, dropping to 1.001 million barrels from 1.031 million barrels.

The additional revenue of 468 million rials was allocated to social spending and economic growth initiatives. This included funding for fuel subsidies, electricity, water, sanitation, and waste management. Health and education sectors received increased budgets to support service expansion, while additional funds were provided for social security beneficiaries, low-income families, and debt forgiveness for small and medium-sized enterprises.

Oman’s public debt declined by 5.3% in 2024, falling from 15.2 billion rials at the start of the year to 14.4 billion rials. Debt now represents 34% of GDP, down from 36.5%.

In November, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported significant economic expansion in Oman, with growth accelerating from 1.2% in 2023 to 1.9% in the first half of 2024. This growth was driven by non-oil sectors such as construction, manufacturing, and services, despite reduced oil production. The IMF highlighted Oman’s progress in implementing Vision 2040 reforms, which included strengthening social safety nets, improving labor market flexibility, and enhancing the business environment. The country’s sovereign credit rating was upgraded to investment grade, reflecting its improved economic fundamentals.

While growth in 2024 is projected at 1.2%, further recovery is expected in 2025 as hydrocarbon production increases alongside non-oil sector expansion. Challenges such as oil price volatility and geopolitical risks remain, but Oman continues its efforts to diversify the economy and attract investments.

Sultan Haitham bin Tariq approved Oman’s 2025 budget, which anticipates a deficit of 620 million rials ($1.6 billion). Revenues are estimated at 11.18 billion rials ($29 billion), a 1.5% increase from 2024, while spending is projected at 11.8 billion rials ($30.65 billion), a 1.3% rise.

Finance Minister Sultan al-Habsi emphasized that global economic uncertainties, including trade tensions and weaker oil demand, present challenges for oil-exporting nations. The 2025 budget focuses on maintaining fiscal and social stability, allocating significant funds to education, health, housing, and social welfare. Subsidies for social protection and electricity support are also prioritized.

Development spending across provinces reached 147 million rials by the end of 2024, aligning with efforts to promote decentralized growth. Oman is also undertaking financial reforms, including periodic reviews of government service fees, simplifying administrative processes, and modernizing financial regulations to improve fiscal management.



Saudi Arabia Raises $12 Billion in International Bonds Amid Strong Demand

Skyscrapers are seen in King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters).
Skyscrapers are seen in King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters).
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Saudi Arabia Raises $12 Billion in International Bonds Amid Strong Demand

Skyscrapers are seen in King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters).
Skyscrapers are seen in King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters).

Saudi Arabia has raised $12 billion from global debt markets in its first international bond issuance of the year, attracting bids worth nearly $37 billion. This demonstrates strong investor appetite for Saudi debt instruments.

The issuance comes just two days after the approval of the 2025 annual borrowing plan by Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan. The plan estimates financing needs for the fiscal year at SAR 139 billion ($37 billion). The funds will be used to cover the projected SAR 101 billion ($26.8 billion) budget deficit for 2025, as well as repay SAR 38 billion ($10 billion) in principal debt obligations due this year.

The National Debt Management Center (NDMC) announced on Tuesday that the issuance includes three tranches: $5 billion in three-year bonds, $3 billion in six-year bonds, and $4 billion in ten-year bonds. Total demand for the bonds reached $37 billion, exceeding the issuance size by three times and reflecting robust investor interest.

The NDMC emphasized that this issuance aligns with its strategy to broaden the investor base and efficiently meet Saudi Arabia’s financing needs in global debt markets.

According to IFR, a fixed-income news service, the initial price guidance for the three-year bonds was set at 120 basis points above US Treasury yields. The six-year and ten-year bonds were priced at 130 and 140 basis points above the same benchmark, respectively.

Strong demand allowed Saudi Arabia to lower yields on the shorter-term bonds, further demonstrating investor confidence. Economists noted that the pricing above US Treasuries is attractive in the current market, showcasing trust in Saudi Arabia’s economic stability and financial strategies.

International confidence

Economic experts view this successful bond issuance as a testament to international confidence in Saudi Arabia’s robust economy and financial reforms. Dr. Mohammed Al-Qahtani, an economics professor at King Faisal University, said the move underscores Saudi Arabia’s commitment to diversifying financing tools both domestically and internationally. He added that the funds would support Vision 2030 projects, reduce pressure on domestic resources, and attract strong international investor interest.

The issuance strengthens Saudi Arabia’s ability to meet financial needs, expand its investor base, and establish a global financing network, he said, noting that it also facilitates entry into new markets, enabling the Kingdom to accelerate infrastructure projects and capital expenditures.

Dr. Ihsan Buhulaiga, founder of Joatha Business Development Consultants, described the 2025 budget as expansionary, aimed at meeting the financing needs of economic diversification programs. He stressed that the budget deficit is an “optional” one, reflecting a deliberate choice to prioritize Vision 2030 initiatives over immediate fiscal balance.

Buhulaiga explained that the Kingdom’s approach balances two options: limiting spending to available revenues, which would avoid deficits but delay Vision 2030 initiatives, or borrowing strategically to fund Vision 2030 goals. He said that the annual budget is just a component of the larger vision, which requires sustained funding until 2030.

He continued that Saudi Arabia’s fiscal space and creditworthiness allow it to borrow internationally at competitive rates, explaining that this flexibility ensures financial sustainability without compromising stability, even during challenges like the COVID-19 pandemic.

Saudi Arabia’s debt portfolio remains balanced, with two-thirds of its debt domestic and one-third external. As of Q3 2024, public debt stood at approximately SAR 1.2 trillion, below the 30% GDP ceiling. According to the Ministry of Finance, the budget deficit is expected to persist through 2027 but remain below 3% of GDP.

Buhulaiga highlighted the importance of capital expenditure, which reached SAR 186 billion in 2023 and is projected to rise to SAR 198 billion in 2024, a 6.5% increase.

He emphasized the government’s pivotal role in economic diversification, supported by investments from the Public Investment Fund (PIF), the National Development Fund, and its subsidiaries, including the Infrastructure Fund.

The PIF recently announced a $7 billion Murabaha credit facility, facilitated by Citigroup, Goldman Sachs International, and JPMorgan. Meanwhile, the NDMC arranged a $2.5 billion revolving credit facility earlier in January, compliant with Islamic principles, to address budgetary needs.

In November, Moody’s upgraded Saudi Arabia’s credit rating to Aa3, aligning with Fitch’s A+ rating, both with a stable outlook. S&P Global assigns the Kingdom an AA-1 rating with a positive outlook, reflecting a high ability to meet financial obligations with low credit risk.

The IMF estimates Saudi Arabia’s public debt-to-GDP ratio at 26.2% in 2024, describing it as low and sustainable. This is projected to rise to 35% by 2029 as foreign borrowing continues to play a key role in financing deficits.