Omani Revenues Rise 15% in 2024, Driven by Higher Oil Prices

The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)
The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)
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Omani Revenues Rise 15% in 2024, Driven by Higher Oil Prices

The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)
The Omani Capital, Muscat (Omani News Agency)

Preliminary data from Oman’s Ministry of Finance showed that the country’s revenues in 2024 reached approximately 12.7 billion Omani rials ($33 billion), marking a 15% increase compared to initial budget forecasts.

Spending was reduced to 11.65 billion rials ($30 billion), a 4% decrease from planned expenditure. This resulted in an actual surplus of 540 million rials, instead of the anticipated deficit of 640 million rials.

The improved financial performance was largely due to a 37% rise in the average price of oil, which reached $82 per barrel, compared to the initially projected $60. However, Oman’s average daily oil production saw a slight decline, dropping to 1.001 million barrels from 1.031 million barrels.

The additional revenue of 468 million rials was allocated to social spending and economic growth initiatives. This included funding for fuel subsidies, electricity, water, sanitation, and waste management. Health and education sectors received increased budgets to support service expansion, while additional funds were provided for social security beneficiaries, low-income families, and debt forgiveness for small and medium-sized enterprises.

Oman’s public debt declined by 5.3% in 2024, falling from 15.2 billion rials at the start of the year to 14.4 billion rials. Debt now represents 34% of GDP, down from 36.5%.

In November, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported significant economic expansion in Oman, with growth accelerating from 1.2% in 2023 to 1.9% in the first half of 2024. This growth was driven by non-oil sectors such as construction, manufacturing, and services, despite reduced oil production. The IMF highlighted Oman’s progress in implementing Vision 2040 reforms, which included strengthening social safety nets, improving labor market flexibility, and enhancing the business environment. The country’s sovereign credit rating was upgraded to investment grade, reflecting its improved economic fundamentals.

While growth in 2024 is projected at 1.2%, further recovery is expected in 2025 as hydrocarbon production increases alongside non-oil sector expansion. Challenges such as oil price volatility and geopolitical risks remain, but Oman continues its efforts to diversify the economy and attract investments.

Sultan Haitham bin Tariq approved Oman’s 2025 budget, which anticipates a deficit of 620 million rials ($1.6 billion). Revenues are estimated at 11.18 billion rials ($29 billion), a 1.5% increase from 2024, while spending is projected at 11.8 billion rials ($30.65 billion), a 1.3% rise.

Finance Minister Sultan al-Habsi emphasized that global economic uncertainties, including trade tensions and weaker oil demand, present challenges for oil-exporting nations. The 2025 budget focuses on maintaining fiscal and social stability, allocating significant funds to education, health, housing, and social welfare. Subsidies for social protection and electricity support are also prioritized.

Development spending across provinces reached 147 million rials by the end of 2024, aligning with efforts to promote decentralized growth. Oman is also undertaking financial reforms, including periodic reviews of government service fees, simplifying administrative processes, and modernizing financial regulations to improve fiscal management.



Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
TT

Firm Dollar Keeps Pound, Euro and Yen Under Pressure

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The US dollar charged ahead on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields, putting the yen, sterling and euro under pressure near multi-month lows amid the shifting threat of tariffs.

The focus for markets in 2025 has been on US President-elect Donald Trump's agenda as he steps back into the White House on Jan. 20, with analysts expecting his policies to both bolster growth and add to price pressures, according to Reuters.

CNN on Wednesday reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries. On Monday, the Washington Post said Trump was looking at more nuanced tariffs, which he later denied.

Concerns that policies introduced by the Trump administration could reignite inflation has led bond yields higher, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note hitting 4.73% on Wednesday, its highest since April 25. It was at 4.6709% on Thursday.

"Trump's shifting narrative on tariffs has undoubtedly had an effect on USD. It seems this capriciousness is something markets will have to adapt to over the coming four years," said Kieran Williams, head of Asia FX at InTouch Capital Markets.

The bond market selloff has left the dollar standing tall and casting a shadow on the currency market.

Among the most affected was the pound, which was headed for its biggest three-day drop in nearly two years.

Sterling slid to $1.2239 on Thursday, its weakest since November 2023, even as British government bond yields hit multi-year highs.

Ordinarily, higher gilt yields would support the pound, but not in this case.

The sell-off in UK government bond markets resumed on Thursday, with 10-year and 30-year gilt yields jumping again in early trading, as confidence in Britain's fiscal outlook deteriorates.

"Such a simultaneous sell-off in currency and bonds is rather unusual for a G10 country," said Michael Pfister, FX analyst at Commerzbank.

"It seems to be the culmination of a development that began several months ago. The new Labour government's approval ratings are at record lows just a few months after the election, and business and consumer sentiment is severely depressed."

Sterling was last down about 0.69% at $1.2282.

The euro also eased, albeit less than the pound, to $1.0302, lurking close to the two-year low it hit last week as investors remain worried the single currency may fall to the key $1 mark this year due to tariff uncertainties.

The yen hovered near the key 160 per dollar mark that led to Tokyo intervening in the market last July, after it touched a near six-month low of 158.55 on Wednesday.

Though it strengthened a bit on the day and was last at 158.15 per dollar. That all left the dollar index, which measures the US currency against six other units, up 0.15% and at 109.18, just shy of the two-year high it touched last week.

Also in the mix were the Federal Reserve minutes of its December meeting, released on Wednesday, which showed the central bank flagged new inflation concerns and officials saw a rising risk the incoming administration's plans may slow economic growth and raise unemployment.

With US markets closed on Thursday, the spotlight will be on Friday's payrolls report as investors parse through data to gauge when the Fed will next cut rates.