‘We Love Japan,’ Says Trump as He Welcomes Ishiba amid Simmering Trade Tensions

 President Donald Trump greets Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba in the Oval Office of the White House, Friday, Feb. 7, 2025, in Washington. (AP)
President Donald Trump greets Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba in the Oval Office of the White House, Friday, Feb. 7, 2025, in Washington. (AP)
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‘We Love Japan,’ Says Trump as He Welcomes Ishiba amid Simmering Trade Tensions

 President Donald Trump greets Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba in the Oval Office of the White House, Friday, Feb. 7, 2025, in Washington. (AP)
President Donald Trump greets Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba in the Oval Office of the White House, Friday, Feb. 7, 2025, in Washington. (AP)

US President Donald Trump welcomed Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba at the White House on Friday as two allies wary of China's rise work to boost business and security ties while an escalating trade war threatens to rupture the global economy.

"We love Japan!" Trump said as he greeted Ishiba and the two shook hands.

Trump, whose first three weeks in office have shredded norms and shaken foreign capitals from Ottawa to Bogota, has taken a more conventional approach to Washington's longstanding Asia-Pacific allies, including Japan, South Korea, Australia and the Philippines.

But those friendships may be tested as Trump's early fight with China over synthetic opioids and warnings of tariffs against other countries - Japan included - threaten to disrupt commercial relations in Asia and beyond.

A senior Trump administration official told reporters the leaders would discuss military training exercises, increased cooperation on defense equipment and technology, foreign investment and energy.

They will also discuss cybersecurity, space and joint business opportunities in the artificial intelligence and semiconductor sectors, the official said.

"The United States is proud of our long and close alliance with Japan," the official said. "Our two nations will continue to work together to ensure we deter threats in the region through our full range of military capabilities," the official said.

Asked about the US trade deficit with Japan and the threat of tariffs, a second senior Trump administration official said: "We all know that President Trump pays a lot of attention to deficits as an indication of the economic fairness and strength of the relationship so I'm sure discussions will happen about that."

Trump told Republican lawmakers he plans to announce more reciprocal tariffs on foreign imports as early as Friday, two sources familiar with the plans told Reuters.

Trump put a 10% tariff on all imports from China in what he called an "opening salvo" in a clash between the world's two largest economies, sending consumers and businesses scrambling to adjust.

Japan is especially trade-dependent: it is a major exporter and counts on imports for much of its food and natural resources, and many of its firms are deeply invested in and reliant on China.

Tokyo shares the hawkish outlook towards China of Trump's national security team over Beijing's global ambitions and extensive territorial claims in Asia, including the vital chip-producing island of Taiwan.

At the same time, Japanese officials are wary of possible efforts by Beijing to court the US president with promises of cooperation on key global issues, including trade. Trump spoke to Chinese President Xi Jinping days before taking office and has said he will discuss tariffs with him soon.

Japanese officials speaking privately say they are comfortable in dealing with Trump's China hawks, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and national security Michael Waltz, but less so with those in the administration with strong business ties with Beijing, such as billionaire Elon Musk, who has developed a significant Washington power base.

Trump and Ishiba are due to hold a joint press conference on Friday afternoon.

BRACING FOR TRUMP DEMANDS

For Tokyo, the early White House visit is a promising signal from the new Trump administration.

"There's two foreign heads of state that have been received in the Oval Office," said Rahm Emanuel, Biden's ambassador to Tokyo. "That's Bibi Netanyahu of Israel, and Japan. So that's a good thing, and that's a good sign."

Trump was close with the late Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe but has no relationship with Ishiba, who took office in October. That is something Japanese officials want to change, and they plan to invite Trump to visit Japan.

Japan is girding for Trump to demand concessions to reduce the $56 billion bilateral trade surplus and stave off the threat of tariffs.

Tokyo has been preparing some concessions, officials told Reuters, including considering to buy more LNG from the United States and offering support for a $44 billion gas pipeline in Alaska. SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son has also promised to invest hundreds of billions in artificial intelligence in the US.

"The Japanese are definitely thinking of ways to both reduce the deficit and create jobs in the United States in industrial sectors that are of particular interest to Donald Trump," said Kenneth Weinstein, head of Japan program at Washington's conservative Hudson Institute think tank.

There are tensions beyond trade, including the attempted takeover of US Steel by Japan's Nippon Steel. Former President Joe Biden blocked this but delayed enforcement pending legal action; Trump has also vowed to block the deal.

However, there are also solid signs of stability and the two leaders are expected to agree language on security issues, including China and Taiwan, according to another official familiar with the discussions.

Discussions are also expected on North Korea, and the Trump official noted that the administration was committed to the complete denuclearization of North Korea, while the President had voiced his openness to engaging with North Korea. Trump did this in his first term, although little came of the effort.



UK Budget Deficit for 2025/26 Narrows to Six-year Low

Skyscrapers in London's financial district (Reuters)
Skyscrapers in London's financial district (Reuters)
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UK Budget Deficit for 2025/26 Narrows to Six-year Low

Skyscrapers in London's financial district (Reuters)
Skyscrapers in London's financial district (Reuters)

Britain's budget deficit for the last financial year narrowed to a six-year low as a percentage of economic output although borrowing for March alone exceeded forecasts, official data showed on Thursday.

The Office for National Statistics reported 132.0 billion pounds ($178.1 billion) of public sector net borrowing in the 2025/26 financial year that ⁠ended in March.

That ⁠was 0.7 billion pounds less than the most recent forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility and down from 151.9 billion pounds in 2024/25.

Equivalent to 4.3% of ⁠economic output - in line with the OBR prediction - the deficit was the smallest since the 2019/20 financial year, which ended just as the response to the COVID-19 pandemic caused debt to soar.

Debt interest spending in 2025/26 was 97.6 billion pounds, up from 85.4 billion pounds a year ⁠previously ⁠and marking the second-highest figure in cash terms since 2022/23, when inflation soared after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Last week, the International Monetary Fund cut Britain's economic growth forecasts for 2026 by more than for any other Group of Seven nation due to the country's exposure to higher energy prices with its heavy use of natural gas.

"A more stagflationary backdrop is forecast to take shape, with speculation already building about the impact of weaker growth on the Chancellor's headroom," Nabil Taleb, economist at PwC UK, said, referring to Reeves' ability to meet her borrowing target.

"Recent moves in bond markets, with gilt yields briefly touching 5% for the first time since 2008 before easing, also highlight the UK's vulnerability to uncertainty."

In March alone, the ONS reported public sector net borrowing of 12.6 billion pounds. Economists polled by Reuters had a median forecast of a 10.3 billion-pound deficit for the month.


Saudi Arabia, Philippines to Join JPMorgan Emerging Market Bond Index in 2027

FILE PHOTO: Signage is seen at the JPMorgan Chase & Co. New York Head Quarters in Manhattan, New York City, US, June 30, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Signage is seen at the JPMorgan Chase & Co. New York Head Quarters in Manhattan, New York City, US, June 30, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo
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Saudi Arabia, Philippines to Join JPMorgan Emerging Market Bond Index in 2027

FILE PHOTO: Signage is seen at the JPMorgan Chase & Co. New York Head Quarters in Manhattan, New York City, US, June 30, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Signage is seen at the JPMorgan Chase & Co. New York Head Quarters in Manhattan, New York City, US, June 30, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo

J.P. Morgan said on Wednesday that Saudi Arabia and the Philippines will be added to its local currency emerging market debt index from January 29 next year.

The inclusion will cover Saudi riyal-denominated sovereign sukuk and Philippine peso-denominated government bonds, both entering the widely tracked GBI-EM ⁠index series.

Their weights ⁠will be introduced gradually, with Saudi Arabia expected to reach 2.52% and the Philippines 1.78% once fully phased in.

The update is part ⁠of a broader index adjustment, which will lower the "Country Cap" - the maximum weight, or share, any single country can hold in the "diversified" index - to 9% from 10%.

As a result, major markets including China, India, Mexico, Malaysia, and Indonesia will see their ⁠weight ⁠reduced to the new limit.

Based on current eligibility criteria, about eight Saudi sovereign sukuk with a combined value of roughly $69 billion could be included, JPMorgan said.

For the Philippines, nine eligible government bonds with a combined value of around $49 billion are under consideration.


Oil to Fabric: Middle East Crises Reshape Global Fashion

A worker arranges spools of thread at a textile factory in Haiyan, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters)
A worker arranges spools of thread at a textile factory in Haiyan, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters)
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Oil to Fabric: Middle East Crises Reshape Global Fashion

A worker arranges spools of thread at a textile factory in Haiyan, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters)
A worker arranges spools of thread at a textile factory in Haiyan, Jiangsu province, China (Reuters)

Rising oil prices are no longer just an energy market story; they are feeding directly into the cost of clothing. From petrochemical plants to fabric mills and retail racks, a complex supply chain is passing on higher costs, pushing up the final price consumers pay.

According to the “Materials Market 2025” report by the Organization for Textile Exchange, polyester makes up about 59% of global fabric output, with roughly 88% produced from non-recycled petroleum sources, leaving the industry exposed to energy price swings.

Oil prices have surged about 32% since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran on Feb. 28, approaching $100 per barrel.

Fabrics under oil pressure

Amal Saqr, a textile design consultant, said the sector is highly sensitive to shifts in oil prices because of its reliance on synthetic fibers.

More than 60% of fabrics used in global clothing production depend on petroleum-based materials such as polyester, nylon and acrylic, she said, adding that any rise in oil prices feeds directly into fabric costs.

She pointed to 2008, when polyester prices jumped about 30% within three months as oil hit record highs, forcing Asian spinning mills to cut output by 20% to 25%.

Disruptions in the Red Sea between 2023 and 2024 also drove shipping costs up by about 300%, raising raw material costs and straining supply chains.

Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis began targeting ships linked to Israel on Nov. 19, 2023, using drones and missiles.

Natural fabrics not immune

Natural fibers such as cotton and linen avoid direct reliance on oil, but are still exposed to energy costs, Saqr said, noting that farming depends on fertilizers, fuel and transport.

The global fertilizer crisis in 2021 pushed prices up about 80%, driving cotton prices higher by roughly 40%. Later disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz added another 40% increase in fertilizer costs due to shipping delays.

Global cotton production reached about 24.5 million tons in 2024, or roughly 19% of total fiber output, making it less dominant than synthetic fibers but relatively more stable in pricing, according to the Textile Exchange report.

Rising production costs

Higher energy prices are hitting every stage of production, from spinning to dyeing and drying, Saqr said.

With already thin margins, textile factories face a stark choice: raise prices or cut output, both of which ultimately hit consumers.

World Bank data shows operating costs for textile factories in several countries have risen by about 18% following recent energy price increases.

Import markets feel it fast

Import-dependent markets are quick to absorb shocks from shipping or energy disruptions, Saqr said.

Shipping costs from Asia have lifted synthetic fabric prices by 10% to 18%, while imported cotton prices have climbed by 15% to 25%.

Rerouting shipments from the Strait of Hormuz to the Cape of Good Hope has added 10 to 14 days to transit times, leading to shortages and swings in the availability of fabrics and garments.

Value chains under rethink

Burak Cakmak, chief executive of the Saudi Fashion Commission, said the impact of oil prices is not immediate, as final pricing reflects a full value chain including production, marketing and distribution.

Instead of passing costs on, many brands are rethinking how to create value, improving efficiency and working more closely with suppliers, he said.

He also pointed to a shift toward localized production, with brands operating closer to their markets and managing inventory more tightly to control costs and improve flexibility.

Sustainability gains urgency

Sustainability is no longer just an environmental concern; it is tied to efficiency and long-term economic viability, Cakmak said.

The sector is moving toward circular models, including recycling and waste reduction, practices that are becoming essential to improving operations.

Designers double down

Anna Zinola, director of Istituto Marangoni in Riyadh, said rising oil prices are reinforcing, not reshaping, designers’ shift toward more conscious material choices.

Sustainability is embedded in the curriculum as a core approach guiding every design decision, she said.

Students are trained to balance cost, sustainability and consumer demand, while exploring material innovations that combine environmental and commercial goals.

Prices set to rise

Reports by McKinsey and Euratex expect global clothing prices to rise by 8% to 12% over the next year, as supply chain pressure persists and shipping costs remain elevated.