Oil Climbs on Supply Worries, Trump Tariffs Check Gains

A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo
A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo
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Oil Climbs on Supply Worries, Trump Tariffs Check Gains

A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo
A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo

Oil prices extended gains on Tuesday amid concerns over Russian and Iranian oil supply and sanctions threats despite worries that escalating trade tariffs could dampen global economic growth.

Brent crude futures were up $1.2, or 1.6%, at $77.07 a barrel by 1313 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose $1.11 or 1.5% to $73.43.

Both contracts posted gains of near 2% in the prior session after three weekly losses in a row, Reuters reported.

"With the US bearing down on Iranian exports and sanctions still biting into Russian flows, Asian crude grades remain firm and underpin the rally from yesterday," PVM oil analyst John Evans said.

Shipping of Russian oil to China and India, the world's major crude oil importers, has been significantly disrupted by US sanctions last month targeting tankers, producers and insurers.

Adding to supply jitters are US sanctions on networks shipping Iranian oil to China after President Donald Trump restored his "maximum pressure" on Iranian oil exports last week.

But countering the price gains was the latest tariff by Trump which could dampen global growth and energy demand.

Trump on Monday substantially raised tariffs on steel and aluminium imports to the US to 25% "without exceptions or exemptions" to aid the struggling industries that could increase the risk of a multi-front trade war.

The tariff will hit millions of tons of steel and aluminium imports from Canada, Brazil, Mexico, South Korea and other countries.

"Tariffs and counter-tariffs have the potential to weigh on the oil intensive part of the global economy in particular, creating uncertainty over demand," Morgan Stanley said in a note on Monday.

"However, we think this backdrop will probably also cause OPEC+ to extend current production quotas once again, which would solve for a balanced market in [the second half of 2025]", the bank added.

Trump last week introduced 10% additional tariffs on China, for which Beijing retaliated with its own levies on US imports, including a 10% duty on crude.

Also weighing on crude demand, the US Federal Reserve will wait until the next quarter before cutting rates again, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll who previously expected a March cut.

The Fed faces the threat of rising inflation under Trump's policies. Keeping rates at a higher level could limit economic growth, which would impact oil demand growth.

US crude oil and gasoline stockpiles were expected to have risen last week, while distillate inventories likely fell, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

The poll was conducted ahead of weekly reports from industry group, the American Petroleum Institute, due at 4:30 p.m. ET (2130 GMT) on Tuesday and an Energy Information Administration report due on Wednesday.



Auto Industry Rocked by Trump's 25% Tariffs on US Imports

New Toyota vehicles are stored at the Toyota Logistics Service Inc., an imports processing facility at the Port of Long Beach in Long Beach, Calif., Wednesday, March 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)
New Toyota vehicles are stored at the Toyota Logistics Service Inc., an imports processing facility at the Port of Long Beach in Long Beach, Calif., Wednesday, March 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)
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Auto Industry Rocked by Trump's 25% Tariffs on US Imports

New Toyota vehicles are stored at the Toyota Logistics Service Inc., an imports processing facility at the Port of Long Beach in Long Beach, Calif., Wednesday, March 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)
New Toyota vehicles are stored at the Toyota Logistics Service Inc., an imports processing facility at the Port of Long Beach in Long Beach, Calif., Wednesday, March 26, 2025. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)

US automakers and their global rivals were rocked on Wednesday by President Donald Trump's announcement that he would impose 25% tariffs on all vehicles and foreign-made auto parts imported into the United States.
The new levies, if kept for an extended period, could add thousands of dollars to the cost of an average US vehicle purchase and impede car production across North America.
That will be because of the intertwined manufacturing operations developed by car makers across Canada, Mexico and the United States over the last three decades.
Nearly half of all cars sold in the US last year were imported, research firm GlobalData says, according to Reuters.
In response to the news, shares of General Motors slumped 8% in after-market trading. Shares in Ford and US-traded shares of Chrysler-parent Stellantis fell about 4.5% each.
In Asia, shares in Toyota Motor, Honda Motor and Hyundai Motor all fell between 3% and 4%.
Shares in Tesla, which makes all the cars sold in the United States locally but with some imported parts, were down 1.3%.
Trump said the duties announced on Wednesday could be a net neutral or even good for Tesla, adding that its CEO, and his close ally, Elon Musk, did not advise him regarding auto tariffs.
In a post on X following the news, Musk said the tariffs would also affect Tesla.
"This will affect the price of parts in Tesla cars that come from other countries," he wrote in another post on X. "The cost impact is not trivial."
The companies did not immediately return emails seeking comment.
Trump's tariffs and threats to impose them have sowed uncertainty in businesses and roiled global markets since he returned to the White House in January.
On Wednesday, Trump reiterated that he expected the auto tariffs to prompt automakers to boost investment in the United States, instead of Canada or Mexico.
Autos Drive America, a group representing major foreign automakers such as Honda, Hyundai, Toyota and Volkswagen , said the "tariffs imposed today will make it more expensive to produce and sell cars in the United States, ultimately leading to higher prices, fewer options for consumers, and fewer manufacturing jobs in the US."
Automakers in North America have largely enjoyed free trade status since 1994. Trump's 2020 US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) imposed new rules designed to spur regional content production.
After clamping tariffs of 25% on Mexico and Canada in early March, Trump allowed a one-month reprieve for vehicles produced in compliance with the terms of his USMCA, which benefited American companies.
The new rules do not extend that reprieve.
"Companies that have invested hundreds of millions and billions of dollars on plants in Canada and Mexico will likely see their profits cut dramatically over the next few quarters, if not into a couple years," said Sam Fiorani, analyst at AutoForecast Solutions.
"We're going to look at adjusting our sales and production forecasts because this will throw everything into chaos."
The White House said that 25% tariffs on automotive parts imported to the US would take effect no later than May 3, taxing key items such as engines, transmissions, powertrain parts, and electrical components.
Importers of automobiles under the USMCA will get the chance to certify their US content so that only non-US content is taxed, the White House said.
Before the unveiling of the new tariffs, Cox Automotive, an automotive services provider, predicted they would add $3,000 to the cost of a US-made vehicle and $6,000 on vehicles made in Canada or Mexico, without exemptions.
If tariffs go through, by mid-April Cox expects disruption to "virtually all" North American vehicle output, leading to 20,000 fewer vehicles a day, or a hit of about 30% to production.
The United Auto Workers union, which represents factory workers at Big Three Detroit automakers, praised Trump's action.
"With these tariffs, thousands of good-paying blue collar auto jobs could be brought back to working-class communities across the United States within a matter of months, simply by adding additional shifts or lines in a number of underutilized auto plants," UAW President Shawn Fain said in a statement.