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Gold Extends Gains as Trump Tariffs Fuel Safe Haven Flows

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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Gold Extends Gains as Trump Tariffs Fuel Safe Haven Flows

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

Gold prices rose for a second straight session on Tuesday, but traded below the recent all-time highs, as uncertainty around US President Donald Trump's tariff plans continued to fuel economic growth concerns and safe haven flows into bullion.

Spot gold gained 0.6% at $2,913.79 an ounce as of 0714 GMT. It hit a record high of $2,942.70 last week.

US gold futures added 0.9% to $2,925.50.

"Trump's disruptive modus operandi, aggressive rhetoric and tariffs - whether actual or threatened - could unravel global trade and intricate supply chains," said Nikos Tzabouras, senior financial writer at trading platform Tradu, Reuters reported.

"With uncertainty surrounding the global economy and the broader geopolitical landscape in the Trump 2.0 era, gold is set to remain a natural beneficiary of risk-off flows and central bank buying."

Since taking office last month, Trump has swiftly redrawn the global trade battlefield with a series of tariffs, while plans are already in motion for sweeping reciprocal tariffs, aimed squarely at any nation that taxes US products.

"Gold continues to benefit from the uncertainty surrounding the US. government's tariff policy. Central bank buying should also continue to provide support, even if there is no new data on this," Commerzbank analysts said in a note.

The market's focus has now shifted to the US Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes due on Wednesday for clues into the central bank's interest rate trajectory.

"Price gains are also supported by growing expectations that the Fed will cut rates in 2025 - a sentiment that gained further traction among traders after last week's disappointing US retail sales figures," Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at brokerage firm ActivTrades, said.

Bullion benefits from geopolitical and economic uncertainties, as well as rising price pressures, but higher interest rates diminish the asset's allure.

Spot silver fell 0.9% to $32.50 an ounce. Platinum jumped 0.9% to $985.20 and palladium climbed 1.6% to $978.00.

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Business

New Law Exempts Saudi Industrial Imports in GCC States from Customs Duties  

An employee is seen at a factory in Saudi Arabia. (Vision 2030)
An employee is seen at a factory in Saudi Arabia. (Vision 2030)
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New Law Exempts Saudi Industrial Imports in GCC States from Customs Duties  

An employee is seen at a factory in Saudi Arabia. (Vision 2030)
An employee is seen at a factory in Saudi Arabia. (Vision 2030)

Saudi Arabia’s recent approval of the Unified Industrial Regulation Law for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) will grant all industrial projects operating within GCC member states exemptions from customs duties on imports needed for industrial production, Asharq Al-Awsat has learned.

The exemptions will follow the unified rules governing tax-free industrial inputs agreed upon by member countries.

According to a copy of the law obtained by Asharq Al-Awsat, the competent authority in each state may offer industrial establishments a range of incentives and benefits in line with national regulations, provided they do not conflict with the GCC’s commitments to the World Trade Organization (WTO).

The law aims to regulate the industrial sector, strengthen industrial development, encourage investment, and increase the sector’s contribution to national income. It also seeks to deepen industrial linkages and economic integration among GCC countries, align industrial policies, and support national development programs.

The legislation is designed to boost cooperation and coordination among GCC states in industrial affairs, stimulate innovation, and promote the adoption and localization of advanced technologies to improve competitiveness. It reinforces policies supporting qualified national workforces in accordance with each country’s regulations.

The law encourages the digital transformation of industrial projects, the modernization of production technologies, and the adoption of Fourth Industrial Revolution tools, including advanced environmental and knowledge-based systems.

It further emphasizes compliance with safety, health, and environmental standards, the use of energy-efficient machinery, and adherence to public order and established norms across GCC states.

The law permits competent authorities to participate in industrial projects or industrial cities through capital contributions or in-kind stakes, provided such participation aligns with local legislation.

The Saudi Cabinet’s adoption of the law follows its endorsement by the GCC Supreme Council during its 43rd summit in Riyadh in 2022.

In Saudi Arabia, the Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources will act as the competent authority. The Cabinet will set the minimum and maximum administrative and aggregate fines based on ministry recommendations.

The Minister will also appoint officials with judicial enforcement powers and issue the decision approving the law’s executive regulations.

Business

Oil Edges Down with Ukraine Peace Talks, US Rate Decision in Spotlight

FILE PHOTO: A general view shows the West Qurna-2 oilfield in southern Basra, Iraq, April 17, 2017. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A general view shows the West Qurna-2 oilfield in southern Basra, Iraq, April 17, 2017. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani/File Photo/File Photo
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Oil Edges Down with Ukraine Peace Talks, US Rate Decision in Spotlight

FILE PHOTO: A general view shows the West Qurna-2 oilfield in southern Basra, Iraq, April 17, 2017. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A general view shows the West Qurna-2 oilfield in southern Basra, Iraq, April 17, 2017. REUTERS/Essam Al-Sudani/File Photo/File Photo

Oil prices edged down on Tuesday, extending losses from the 2% drop in the previous session, with markets keeping a close eye on peace talks to end Russia's war in Ukraine and a looming decision on US interest rates.

Brent crude futures were down 8 cents, or 0.1%, to $62.41 a barrel at 0409 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $58.75, down 13 cents, or 0.2%.

Both contracts fell by more than $1 a barrel on Monday after Iraq restored production at Lukoil's West Qurna 2 oilfield, one of the world's largest, said Reuters.

"Brent's slip back toward the $62 (is) aligning seamlessly with the broader December narrative," said Phillip Nova's senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva. "The noise around potential Iraqi disruptions faded overnight, and the market quickly reverted to its core theme of ample supply and cautious demand expectations."

Ukraine will share a revised peace plan with the US after talks in London between its President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and the leaders of France, Germany and Britain.

"Oil is keeping to a tight trading range until we get a better idea of which way the peace talks will go," KCM Trade chief market analyst Tim Waterer said.

"If the talks break down, we expect oil to move higher, or if progress is made, and there is a likelihood of Russian supply to the global energy market resuming, prices would be expected to drop," he added.

According to sources familiar with the matter, the Group of Seven countries and the European Union are in talks to replace a price cap on Russian oil exports with a full maritime services ban in a bid to reduce Russia's oil revenue.

Also on the radar is the Federal Reserve's policy decision due on Wednesday, with markets pricing in an 87% probability of a quarter-point rate reduction.

Lower interest rates typically are a positive driver for oil demand given the decrease in borrowing costs, though some analysts were cautious about how much impact this could have on oil prices for now.

"Although markets are largely invested in upcoming FED policy decision on Wednesday for a possible 25bp cut, something that could lend short-term support at the lower end of the $60–65 band, the broader price structure remains anchored by expectations of an oversupplied 2026 (oil market)," said Phillip Nova's Sachdeva.

Business

Morocco to Open Two Deepwater Ports in 2026 and 2028, Minister Says

A general view of Tanger Med Port, on the Strait of Gibraltar, east of Tangier, Morocco June 6, 2024. (Reuters)
A general view of Tanger Med Port, on the Strait of Gibraltar, east of Tangier, Morocco June 6, 2024. (Reuters)
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Morocco to Open Two Deepwater Ports in 2026 and 2028, Minister Says

A general view of Tanger Med Port, on the Strait of Gibraltar, east of Tangier, Morocco June 6, 2024. (Reuters)
A general view of Tanger Med Port, on the Strait of Gibraltar, east of Tangier, Morocco June 6, 2024. (Reuters)

Morocco will open a new deepwater Mediterranean port next year and another on the Atlantic in 2028, Equipment and Water minister Nizar Baraka said, as the North African country aims to replicate the success of Africa's largest port, Tanger Med.

Nador West Med, under construction on the Mediterranean, is scheduled to be operational in the second half of 2026, Baraka told Reuters in an interview.

It will offer 800 hectares for industrial activity, with plans to expand to 5,000 hectares, surpassing Tanger Med's industrial zones, he said.

The port will also host Morocco's first liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal - a floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) - linked by a pipeline to industrial hubs in the northwest, as Morocco pushes investments in natural gas and renewable energy to reduce dependence on coal.

Further south on the Atlantic coast, Morocco is building a $1 billion port in Dakhla, in the disputed Western Sahara region.

The facility will be surrounded by 1,600 hectares for industrial activities and 5,200 hectares for farmland irrigated by desalinated water, Baraka said.

"The port will be ready in 2028 and will be Morocco's deepest at 23 meters," Baraka said. Such depth would support heavy industries focused on processing raw materials from Sahel countries, he said.

Officials have marketed Dakhla as a gateway for landlocked Sahel nations to global trade.

Both Nador and Dakhla ports will include quays dedicated to exporting green hydrogen once production begins, Baraka said.

Nador and Dakhla would be Morocco's third and fourth deepwater ports after Tanger Med and Jorf Lasfar, an energy, bulk cargo and phosphates exports port on the Atlantic.

By 2024, industrial zones near Tanger Med hosted 1,400 firms employing 130,000 people across sectors including automotive, aeronautics, textiles, agri-food and renewable energy, official figures show.

Morocco is also considering building a port in Tan-Tan on the Atlantic in partnership with green hydrogen investors, Baraka said. "We are conducting studies to decide the appropriate size of the port," Baraka said.