Dollar Rises as Traders Mull Ukraine Peace Talks, Trump Tariffs

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Dollar Rises as Traders Mull Ukraine Peace Talks, Trump Tariffs

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The dollar strengthened against a range of currencies but slipped against the yen on Wednesday, as traders focused on talks over a Ukraine ceasefire and digested the latest round of tariff threats from US President Donald Trump.

The pound, meanwhile, got a short-lived boost from a stronger-than-expected UK inflation print.

The dollar index last stood at 107.2, up 0.19% after dropping 1.2% last week. The yen was stronger against the dollar , up 0.1% at 151.855.

Trump's administration said on Tuesday it had agreed to hold more talks with Russia on ending the war in Ukraine after an initial meeting that excluded Kyiv, a departure from Washington's previous approach that rallied US allies to isolate Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Francesco Pesole, foreign exchange strategist at ING, pointed to the market's base case that a peace deal in Ukraine might be reached at some point. Meanwhile, the European Union's exclusion from the table at peace talks is seen as spurring safe-haven demand into the yen and out of the euro, he said.

The euro was down 0.4% against the yen at 158.25, and down 0.2% against the dollar at $1.0426, Reuters reported.

Pesole highlighted the latest raft of tariff threats from Trump, but said the market was more focused on news around a potential Ukraine peace deal in the short-term.

"There is a residual sort of reluctance in markets to see whether Trump will indeed go ahead with tariffs on trade partners," he said.

Trump said on Tuesday he intends to impose auto tariffs "in the neighborhood of 25%" and similar duties on semiconductors and pharmaceutical imports, the latest in a series of measures threatening to upend international trade.

"Amid all this chaotic, childish back and forth of the presidential tariff announcements, let's not lose sight of what will ultimately come out of it: probably fewer tariffs than expected when he took office, but still substantial ones," Commerzbank forex analysts and strategists said in a note.

The euro was little moved by remarks from European Central Bank board member Isabel Schnabel, who on Wednesday told the Financial Times the central bank was edging closer to pausing rate cuts.

In the UK, official data showed inflation speeding up by more than expected to hit a 10-month high of 3.0% in January and is likely to rise further soon, testing the Bank of England's confidence that price pressures will ease over the longer term.

Sterling was down 0.27% at $1.25790, coming off a two-month high hit immediately after the data.

Against the euro, the pound was virtually unchanged at 82.86 pence. Pesole said the relatively safe position of the UK on trade and the latest inflation figures made the pound more attractive than the euro.

Elsewhere, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand reduced its benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 3.75% on Wednesday as widely expected and signalled future moves would likely be smaller, leaving the currency up 0.2% on the day at $0.5714 .



New Aramco Digital Network to Enable Secure Industrial Connectivity across Saudi Arabia

New Aramco Digital Network to Enable Secure Industrial Connectivity across Saudi Arabia
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New Aramco Digital Network to Enable Secure Industrial Connectivity across Saudi Arabia

New Aramco Digital Network to Enable Secure Industrial Connectivity across Saudi Arabia

Aramco Digital, the technology subsidiary of Saudi Aramco, is set to launch the Kingdom’s national industrial communications network operating in the 450 MHz band. Designed to deliver secure, highly reliable industrial connectivity across Saudi Arabia, the network will support sectors that require continuous operations and dependable communications for critical assets and facilities.

As part of the launch, Aramco Digital will introduce a comprehensive portfolio of 450 MHz-based industrial digital solutions, including tailored connectivity packages for various sectors and a new generation of smart radios developed specifically for demanding industrial environments, SPA reported.

These smart radios combine rugged, industrial-grade design with advanced capabilities such as AI, enhanced sensing technologies, extended battery life through improved energy efficiency, and real-time data processing at the device level. Together, these features will support operational accuracy, reliability, and continuity in complex operating conditions.

The network will enable a broad range of Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) applications, including asset condition and performance monitoring, fleet and equipment tracking, air quality and environmental sensing, smart video surveillance, smart metering, lighting and infrastructure control, and industrial mobility and fleet management solutions. These capabilities will enhance operational transparency, support automation, and improve efficiency across both industrial and service sectors.

The network is intended to underpin the Kingdom’s next phase of industrial development and support the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030. By providing a highly reliable national communications infrastructure, the network will enable advanced automation, intelligent systems, and digital services in vital sectors.


Oil Rises as Market Focuses on Venezuela and US Sanctions Plans

A view shows disused oil pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau Region, Kazakhstan April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev
A view shows disused oil pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau Region, Kazakhstan April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev
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Oil Rises as Market Focuses on Venezuela and US Sanctions Plans

A view shows disused oil pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau Region, Kazakhstan April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev
A view shows disused oil pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau Region, Kazakhstan April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev

Oil prices rose on Thursday after two days of declines as investors assessed Venezuela developments and reports on progress of proposed US sanctions legislation against countries doing business with Russia.

Brent crude futures were up 59 cents, or 0.98%, at $60.55 a barrel by 1038 GMT. US ‌West Texas Intermediate ‌crude gained 58 cents, or 1%, ‌to $56.57.

Higher ⁠prices ​are ‌led by the US President allowing the Russia sanctions bill to advance, as it raises fears of further disruption to Russian oil exports, said PVM analyst Tamas Varga. Republican Senator Lindsey Graham said on Wednesday that Trump had given the green light on the legislation, adding that the bill could be put ⁠to a vote as early as next week.

Both benchmarks fell more than ‌1% for a second day on Wednesday, ‍with market participants expecting ‍abundant global supply this year. Analysts at Morgan Stanley forecast ‍a surplus of as much as 3 million barrels per day in the first half of 2026. US gasoline and distillate stocks increased by more than analyst expectations in the week ended January ​2, while crude stocks fell, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. On Tuesday, Washington announced a deal with ⁠Caracas to gain access to up to $2 billion of Venezuelan crude. The deal initially could require the rerouting of cargoes that were bound for China, sources told Reuters. Chinese independent refiners that consume much of the country's Venezuelan imports could switch to Iranian oil to make up the shortfall. The US seized two Venezuela-linked oil tankers in the Atlantic Ocean on Wednesday, one sailing under Russia's flag, as part of President Donald Trump's aggressive push to dictate oil flows in the Americas and force ‌Venezuela's socialist government to become an ally.


Gold Falls as Commodity Index Rebalancing Sparks Selling Pressure

UK gold bars and gold Sovereign coins are displayed at Baird & Co in Hatton Garden in London, Britain, October 8, 2025. REUTERS/Hiba Kola//File Photo
UK gold bars and gold Sovereign coins are displayed at Baird & Co in Hatton Garden in London, Britain, October 8, 2025. REUTERS/Hiba Kola//File Photo
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Gold Falls as Commodity Index Rebalancing Sparks Selling Pressure

UK gold bars and gold Sovereign coins are displayed at Baird & Co in Hatton Garden in London, Britain, October 8, 2025. REUTERS/Hiba Kola//File Photo
UK gold bars and gold Sovereign coins are displayed at Baird & Co in Hatton Garden in London, Britain, October 8, 2025. REUTERS/Hiba Kola//File Photo

Gold prices fell on Thursday as investors braced for futures selling tied to a commodity index reshuffle, with a stronger US dollar adding pressure by making the metal costlier for overseas buyers.

Spot gold fell 0.6% to $4,428.06 per ounce, as of 1115 GMT. US gold futures for February delivery fell 0.6% to $4,436.30.

"Gold and silver remain under pressure as the annual commodity-index ‌rebalancing gets ‌underway. Over the next five days, COMEX ‌futures ⁠could ​see ‌selling in the region of $6 to $7 billion in each metal," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

The annual Bloomberg Commodity Index rebalancing, designed to keep the index aligned with the current state of the global commodity market, begins this week, Reuters reported.

"(The US-Venezuela conflict) added a small georisk premium at the beginning of ⁠the week which is now deflating as the attention turns to the rebalancing," ‌Hansen added.

Meanwhile, the US dollar hovered ‍near a one-month high ‍as investors assessed mixed economic data ahead of Friday’s nonfarm payrolls ‍report.

Data on Wednesday showed US job openings dropped to a 14-month low in November while hiring resumed its sluggish tone, pointing to ebbing labor demand.

Investors are now awaiting the US non-farm payrolls data for ​more clues on monetary policy, with markets pricing in two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve ⁠this year.

On the geopolitical front, the US seized two Venezuela-linked oil tankers in the Atlantic Ocean on Wednesday.

Spot silver lost 3.2% to $75.64 per ounce, after hitting an all-time high of $83.62 on December 29.

HSBC sees gold hitting $5,000 per ounce in the first half of 2026 on geopolitical risks and rising fiscal debts, and expects silver to trade between $58 and $88 in 2026, driven by supply deficits, robust investment demand, and high gold prices, but warned of a market correction later in the year.

Spot platinum was ‌down 4.2% at $2,211.94 per ounce, while palladium shed 2.4% to $1,721.61 per ounce.