Gold Trades Near Record Peak on Weak US Dollar

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
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Gold Trades Near Record Peak on Weak US Dollar

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices edged higher on Monday to trade near their record peak, helped by a weaker US dollar, while investors looked ahead to a key inflation report due later this week to gauge the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory.

Spot gold rose 0.4% to $2,947 an ounce as of 1211 GMT after scaling an all-time high of $2,954.69 last week.

US gold futures added 0.3% to $2,961.80.

"The dollar's move lower this month has enabled spot gold to be kept around its record highs, supported by a surge of inflows into bullion-backed exchange-traded funds," said Han Tan, Exinity Group chief market analyst, Reuters reported.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose to 904.38 tonnes on Friday, the highest since August 2023.

The US dollar index was flat, making greenback-priced bullion less expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

The threat of a trade war, induced by US President Donald Trump's tariff plans pushed gold above the historical $2,950/oz mark last week and brought the $3,000/oz level into investor focus more than ever before.

Gold is considered a safe investment during uncertainties, but higher interest rates reduce the non-yielding asset's appeal.

"Bullion bulls appear to be biding their time before claiming the $3k handle, noting the risk that the next Fed rate cut may have to be pushed back even later into the year," Tan added.

Traders forecast that the Fed's first rate easing this year will be in September.

In order to predict the central bank's policies in more depth, market participants will look at the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) print, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, due on Friday.

Spot silver eased 0.3% to $32.45 an ounce and platinum shed 0.5% to $964.75. Palladium lost 1.2% to $957.54.



S&P Reaffirms Sultanate of Oman’s Sovereign Credit Rating at ‘BBB-’

S&P reaffirmed the Sultanate of Oman’s long-term sovereign credit rating at ‘BBB-’ Asharq Al-Awsat
S&P reaffirmed the Sultanate of Oman’s long-term sovereign credit rating at ‘BBB-’ Asharq Al-Awsat
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S&P Reaffirms Sultanate of Oman’s Sovereign Credit Rating at ‘BBB-’

S&P reaffirmed the Sultanate of Oman’s long-term sovereign credit rating at ‘BBB-’ Asharq Al-Awsat
S&P reaffirmed the Sultanate of Oman’s long-term sovereign credit rating at ‘BBB-’ Asharq Al-Awsat

Standard & Poor’s Global Ratings (S&P) has reaffirmed the Sultanate of Oman’s long-term sovereign credit rating at ‘BBB-’ with a Stable Outlook, citing the government’s ongoing efforts to reduce public debt and the continued improvement in the State’s fiscal performance.

Last September, S&P had upgraded the country’s long-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings from 'BB+' to 'BBB-'.

The agency confirmed that the Sultanate’s credit rating may witness further improvement over the next two years if the government continues to manage the country’s public finances as planned, including increasing non-oil revenues and improving the efficiency of public spending.

It noted that these measures are expected to continue to boost GDP growth, supported by continued growth in non-oil GDP, in addition to continuing measures aimed at promoting the establishment and growth of companies and projects that support economic diversification activities and operations, in addition to initiatives to develop the capital market sector.

The agency noted in its report that the Sultanate has made significant progress in recent years in addressing the structural challenges it faced, including the large deficit in the state’s general budget and balance of payments.

It expected Oman’s real GDP to grow by 2% in the next three years (2025-2028), while the net public debt is expected to decrease to an average of GDP by 1.5% between 2025-2028.

This is attributed, according to the agency, to the assumption that the average price of Brent crude will reach $70 per barrel over the next two years, compared to $81 per barrel in 2024, in addition to a decline in oil production due to the Sultanate of Oman’s commitment to voluntary cuts under the OPEC+ agreement.

The agency also expects the current account to record a financial surplus averaging 1.3% of GDP during the period 2025-2028, noting that Oman has been able to cover the large deficits.

Standard & Poor’s expected inflation rates to remain at moderate levels, averaging about 1.5% annually during the period 2025-2028, after reaching about 1% in 2024.

The agency said the success of the Sultanate’s efforts to reduce total public debt from 68% of GDP in 2020 to 36% in 2024.

It also expects highly liquid assets to remain close to 40% of GDP during the period 2025-2028.

Also, the agency commended the efforts made to develop the hydrogen production sector, in light of Oman’s intention to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, which will enable the country to become one of the leading hydrogen exporters by 2030.