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Europe Gas: Prices ease ahead of Trump-Putin phone call

Representation photo: Smoke is released from one of the chimneys of the Dora (Daura) Thermal Power Station in the Dora district in southern Baghdad on January 9, 2025. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)
Representation photo: Smoke is released from one of the chimneys of the Dora (Daura) Thermal Power Station in the Dora district in southern Baghdad on January 9, 2025. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)
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Europe Gas: Prices ease ahead of Trump-Putin phone call

Representation photo: Smoke is released from one of the chimneys of the Dora (Daura) Thermal Power Station in the Dora district in southern Baghdad on January 9, 2025. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)
Representation photo: Smoke is released from one of the chimneys of the Dora (Daura) Thermal Power Station in the Dora district in southern Baghdad on January 9, 2025. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP)

Dutch and British wholesale gas prices eased on Tuesday morning as the market awaited any news on a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine but low storage levels remain a concern and weather forecasts are mixed.
The Dutch front-month contract inched down by 0.55 euro to 40.65 euros per megawatt hour (MWh) by 0917 GMT, LSEG data showed.
The Dutch May contract was down 0.68 euro at 40.57 euros/MWh, while the day-ahead contract eased by 0.20 euro to 40.80 euros/MWh, Reuters said.
In Britain, the day-ahead contract was down 1.01 pence at 101.75 pence per therm.
All eyes will be on the outcome of the call between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin scheduled for 1300-1500 GMT and whether it may lead to a ceasefire in Ukraine, analysts at Energi Danmark said.
"Until then, the market is caught in uncertainty," they added.
Traders holding speculative long positions in the gas market have become nervous that a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine could see the resumption of some Russian pipeline gas into Europe, analysts at ING said in a note.
Meanwhile, fresh tensions in the Middle East, with new Israeli air strikes on Gaza, could provide some bullish market sentiment, said LSEG analyst Yuriy Onyshkiv.
"Later this week, warmer temperatures are expected but the long-term view still forecasts below seasonal normal levels which may continue to pressure gas storages," consultancy Auxilione said in its daily market report.
EU gas storage sites were last seen 34.84% full, compared with nearly 60% seen at the same time last year, data from Gas Infrastructure Europe showed.
In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract edged down by 0.12 euro to 69.99 euros a metric ton.

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Saudi Industrial Production Index Increases by 9.3% in September

GASTAT said Saudi Arabia’s Industrial Production Index for September 2025 rose by 9.3%. SPA
GASTAT said Saudi Arabia’s Industrial Production Index for September 2025 rose by 9.3%. SPA
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Saudi Industrial Production Index Increases by 9.3% in September

GASTAT said Saudi Arabia’s Industrial Production Index for September 2025 rose by 9.3%. SPA
GASTAT said Saudi Arabia’s Industrial Production Index for September 2025 rose by 9.3%. SPA

The General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) announced on Monday that Saudi Arabia’s Industrial Production Index for September 2025 rose by 9.3% compared to the same month last year.

Compared to September 2024, the sub-indices for mining and quarrying and for manufacturing activities rose by 11.0% and 6.3%, respectively.

The sub-index for electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply increased by 12.6%, while the sub-index for water supply, sewerage, waste management, and remediation activities grew by 9.2%.

The oil activities index increased by 10.1%, while the non-oil activities index rose by 7.3% compared to September 2024.

Business

Riyadh, Ottawa Launch Foreign Investment Agreement and Reactivate Joint Commission

The Saudi Minister of Investment meets with the Canadian Minister of Trade. Asharq A-Awsat
The Saudi Minister of Investment meets with the Canadian Minister of Trade. Asharq A-Awsat
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Riyadh, Ottawa Launch Foreign Investment Agreement and Reactivate Joint Commission

The Saudi Minister of Investment meets with the Canadian Minister of Trade. Asharq A-Awsat
The Saudi Minister of Investment meets with the Canadian Minister of Trade. Asharq A-Awsat

Saudi Arabia and Canada have launched negotiations on a Foreign Investment and Protection Agreement in the Canadian capital, Ottawa, a move reflecting the shared commitment to strengthening bilateral economic relations.

The talks coincided with a visit by a high-level Saudi delegation led by the Minister of Investment, Eng. Khalid Al-Falih, during which both sides announced the reactivation of the Joint Economic Commission.

These developments are gaining significant momentum, supported by Canada’s endorsement of Saudi Vision 2030 and the two countries’ willingness to expand their economic partnership across vital and non-oil sectors.

The Canadian Ambassador to Saudi Arabia, Jean-Philippe Linteau, told Asharq Al-Awsat that Canada was thrilled to welcome Al-Falih.

“His meetings with Prime Minister Mark Carney, Minister of Trade Maninder Sidhu and Foreign Minister Anita Anand, as well as with senior Canadian business leaders, were a clear illustration of Canada’s desire to grow the economic partnership between Saudi Arabia and Canada,” said Linteau.

The diplomat added that “there is growing momentum because of Canada’s support for the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 goals and the visit helped advance key engagement on trade and investment as well as partnerships in sectors such as education, mining, AI and infrastructure.”

In 2024, Saudi Arabia was Canada’s largest merchandise trading partner in the Middle East. Two-way merchandise trade between the two countries in 2024 was valued at approximately $4.1 billion.

Over 150 Canadian companies are active in Saudi Arabia, offering competitive solutions in artificial intelligence and frontier technology, healthcare, infrastructure, mining, defense products, and creative industries.

During their meeting in Ottawa, Sidhu and Al-Falih announced the launch of negotiations for a Foreign Investment and Protection Agreement between Canada and Saudi Arabia. They also announced the reactivation of the Joint Economic Commission, a treaty-based mechanism to promote trade and economic initiatives of mutual benefit.

Sidhu and Al-Falih welcomed the October 23 signing of a memorandum of understanding between Export Development Canada and the Saudi EXIM Bank.

The increased partnership between Canada and Saudi Arabia will boost business opportunities, increase bilateral trade and unlock export opportunities and investments in Canadian and Saudi Arabian companies alike.

The two ministers also discussed future strategic sector partnerships between Canadian and Saudi Arabian companies, including in the areas of artificial intelligence and frontier technologies, healthcare, infrastructure, mining, defense, and creative industries.

They also met with business leaders and industry stakeholders, participated in a business round table with Invest in Canada and focused on deepening Canada-Saudi relations by highlighting commercial success stories between Canadian and Saudi companies.

“Saudi Arabia is an important market for Canada as our largest bilateral merchandise trading partner in the Middle East. We’re committed to advancing economic cooperation and mutually beneficial investment opportunities to foster greater commercial prosperity for Canadians and Saudis,” Sidhu said in a statement.

“I look forward to strengthening the relationship between our two countries and promoting continued cooperation for our businesses, industries and workers,” he added.

Business

Egypt Inflation Accelerates to 12.5% in October 

A huge banner hangs off a building along the ring road, advertising the opening of the Grand Egyptian Museum (GEM) in Giza, as vehicles drive towards the southwestern outskirts of the capital Cairo on November 1, 2025. (AFP)
A huge banner hangs off a building along the ring road, advertising the opening of the Grand Egyptian Museum (GEM) in Giza, as vehicles drive towards the southwestern outskirts of the capital Cairo on November 1, 2025. (AFP)
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Egypt Inflation Accelerates to 12.5% in October 

A huge banner hangs off a building along the ring road, advertising the opening of the Grand Egyptian Museum (GEM) in Giza, as vehicles drive towards the southwestern outskirts of the capital Cairo on November 1, 2025. (AFP)
A huge banner hangs off a building along the ring road, advertising the opening of the Grand Egyptian Museum (GEM) in Giza, as vehicles drive towards the southwestern outskirts of the capital Cairo on November 1, 2025. (AFP)

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation rose more than expected to 12.5% in October, ending a four-month downward trend, data from statistics agency CAPMAS showed on Monday.

The median forecast had been for inflation to rise to 12% in a poll of 14 analysts, some of whom cited an increase in fuel prices and a new law allowing landlords to raise rents. The inflation rate rose from 11.7% in September.

Month-on-month, prices rose by 1.8% in October, CAPMAS said. Food and beverage prices rose by an annual 1.5% and by a monthly 1.2%, it said.

The government on October 17 increased the price of a wide range of fuel products by nearly 13%.

A new law letting landlords raise monthly rents took effect in early August, applicable with the first subsequent rent payment. This means the first increases would have been reflected in September inflation figures.

The annual inflation rate has plunged from a record 38% in September 2023, helped by an $8 billion financial support package from the International Monetary Fund in March 2024.

M2 money supply growth, at an annual 22.9% in September, was little changed from August, central bank data showed.

Slowing inflation prompted Egypt's central bank to cut its overnight lending rate by 100 basis points on October 2, following an August 28 cut of 200 basis points, this year's third and fourth reductions.