Oil Prices Rise on Strong Demand Outlook, Weaker US Dollar

An Oil refinery is seen from Maracaibo, Zulia State, Venezuela on March 19, 2025. (Photo by Pedro MATTEY / AFP)
An Oil refinery is seen from Maracaibo, Zulia State, Venezuela on March 19, 2025. (Photo by Pedro MATTEY / AFP)
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Oil Prices Rise on Strong Demand Outlook, Weaker US Dollar

An Oil refinery is seen from Maracaibo, Zulia State, Venezuela on March 19, 2025. (Photo by Pedro MATTEY / AFP)
An Oil refinery is seen from Maracaibo, Zulia State, Venezuela on March 19, 2025. (Photo by Pedro MATTEY / AFP)

Oil prices rose on Thursday, boosted by a strong outlook for demand in the United States after fuel inventories fell more than expected, and a weaker US dollar.

Brent crude futures were up 34 cents, or 0.5%, to stand at $71.12 a barrel by 0745 GMT, their highest level since March 3. US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) gained 42 cents, or 0.6%, to $67.58.

US government data showed a higher-than-expected drawdown last week in distillate inventories, including diesel and heating oil, which fell by 2.8 million barrels, outstripping a drop of 300,000 barrels expected in a Reuters poll.

"US oil demand outlook remains healthy despite lower air travel passenger volumes," JPMorgan analysts said in a note, adding that reduced US travel activity did not signal broader weakness in the demand outlook.

Global oil demand averaged 101.8 million barrels per day (bpd), an annual increase of 1.5 million bpd, the analysts said.

US crude inventories, rose 1.7 million barrels, however, exceeding expectations for an increase of 512,000 barrels in an earlier Reuters poll.

A weaker greenback also contributed to oil's gains, with the dollar on a downtrend since the end of February.

"Throughout the week, the weakness of the dollar appeared to provide some support for dollar-denominated oil prices," said Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva.

Oil investors remain hopeful of the prospect of the Federal Reserve easing interest rates by 50 basis points by year's end, she added.

Some analysts however are expecting an uneven price uptrend in the near term.

"I am expecting a choppy upward drift in the oil markets right now," said OANDA's senior market analyst Kelvin Wong, adding that bullish price drivers are stimulus measures out from China and the return of hostilities between Israel and Hamas.

Global risk premiums rose after Israel launched a new ground operation on Wednesday in Gaza after breaking a ceasefire of nearly two months.

The United States kept up airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen in retaliation for the group's attacks on ships in the Red Sea. US President Donald Trump has also vowed to hold Iran responsible for future Houthi attacks.

Bearish near-term market drivers include the upcoming production rise among OPEC+ members and a likely lackluster US S&P Global Services PMI flash reading for March, OANDA's Wong added.



Euro Zone Economy Growth Accelerates to 7-month High in March, PMI Shows

Most lights are out in the European Central Bank during the so-called "Earth Hour" in Frankfurt, Germany, Saturday, March 22, 2025. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)
Most lights are out in the European Central Bank during the so-called "Earth Hour" in Frankfurt, Germany, Saturday, March 22, 2025. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)
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Euro Zone Economy Growth Accelerates to 7-month High in March, PMI Shows

Most lights are out in the European Central Bank during the so-called "Earth Hour" in Frankfurt, Germany, Saturday, March 22, 2025. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)
Most lights are out in the European Central Bank during the so-called "Earth Hour" in Frankfurt, Germany, Saturday, March 22, 2025. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)

Euro zone business activity grew at its fastest pace in seven months in March, supported by an easing in the long-running manufacturing downturn despite slower growth in services, a survey showed.
The improving business climate in the common currency bloc could gain more traction over the coming months as plans for a spending splurge in infrastructure and defense, particularly in Germany, raise optimism for a turnaround in Europe's economic fortunes, Reuters reported.
HCOB's preliminary composite euro zone Purchasing Managers' Index, compiled by S&P Global, rose to 50.4 this month from February's 50.2, its highest since August. It has remained above the 50 mark separating growth from contraction since the start of this year.
Growth in activity was still meagre, however, and the index was below a prediction in a Reuters poll for a rise to 50.8.
An index measuring the bloc's dominant services industry declined to 50.4 from last month's 50.6, below the Reuters poll forecast of 51.0.
But a near three-year-long contraction in manufacturing eased and its headline PMI increased to an over two-year high of 48.7 from 47.6 in February. The Reuters poll had predicted it at 48.2.
An index measuring factory output that feeds into the composite PMI showed expansion for the first time in two years. It jumped to 50.7 from 48.9, its highest since May 2022.
"Just in time with the beginning of spring we may see the first green shoots in manufacturing," said Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank.
"While we should not be carried away by a single data point, it is noteworthy that manufacturers expanded their output for the first time since March 2023."
Faced with higher costs, manufacturing firms raised prices charged. Both input and output inflation hit their highest in seven months. However, prices grew at a slower pace in the services sector.
In a sign of improving sentiment among businesses, employment generation gathered pace this month. The composite employment index rose to 50.1 from 49.2, above breakeven for the first time in eight months.