Egypt’s Net Foreign Assets Rise in February

Hotels, banks and offices on the Nile River in Cairo (Reuters)
Hotels, banks and offices on the Nile River in Cairo (Reuters)
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Egypt’s Net Foreign Assets Rise in February

Hotels, banks and offices on the Nile River in Cairo (Reuters)
Hotels, banks and offices on the Nile River in Cairo (Reuters)

Egypt’s net foreign assets (NFAs) increased by $1.48 billion in February, marking the second monthly rise this year following consecutive declines in the final three months of 2024, according to data released by the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE).

Based on official exchange rates provided by the CBE, calculations by Reuters showed that net foreign assets rose to the equivalent of $10.18 billion at the end of February, up from $8.70 billion in January.
A banking source attributed the increase to growing foreign investor purchases of Egyptian treasury bills. January also saw an uptick in foreign assets after the government issued $2 billion in international bonds—the country’s first dollar-denominated bond sale in four years.

Further growth in foreign assets is expected in March after the International Monetary Fund approved a $1.2 billion disbursement to Egypt, following the fourth review of its $8 billion economic reform program signed in March 2024. Last month’s IMF approval also unlocked an additional $1.3 billion under the Fund’s Resilience and Sustainability Facility.

Following Egypt’s fourth currency devaluation in March 2024, the overall net foreign asset position of Egyptian banks swung into surplus by about $14.29 billion in May—the first surplus in nearly 28 months. This turnaround came after the deficit had ballooned to nearly $29 billion by the end of January, just before the central bank’s latest reform measures.

However, the net foreign position of commercial banks alone (excluding the central bank) turned negative again in August due to renewed demand pressures for US dollars, just three months after the broader recovery.

In February, both the central bank and commercial banks recorded an increase in foreign assets. While the CBE’s foreign liabilities also grew during the month, those of commercial banks declined.



Dollar Eyes Weekly Rise into US-China Trade Talks 

A clerk sorts US hundred-dollar notes at the headquarters of Hana Bank in Seoul, South Korea, 08 May 2025. (EPA/Yonhap)
A clerk sorts US hundred-dollar notes at the headquarters of Hana Bank in Seoul, South Korea, 08 May 2025. (EPA/Yonhap)
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Dollar Eyes Weekly Rise into US-China Trade Talks 

A clerk sorts US hundred-dollar notes at the headquarters of Hana Bank in Seoul, South Korea, 08 May 2025. (EPA/Yonhap)
A clerk sorts US hundred-dollar notes at the headquarters of Hana Bank in Seoul, South Korea, 08 May 2025. (EPA/Yonhap)

The dollar headed for a weekly gain on most major peers on Friday as a US-UK trade deal raised hopes of progress in looming US-China talks, while bets of imminent Fed rate cuts receded after the central bank indicated it was in no hurry.

Financial markets are heading into the weekend with the focus squarely on trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing due to begin on Saturday in Switzerland.

The euro touched a one-month low of $1.1197 in Asia and was down about 0.6% for the week. The yen has weakened about 0.4% this week and hit a one-month trough of 146.18 per dollar, before steadying around 145.48 on Friday.

Sterling, which had rallied on news reports of an impending US-UK trade deal, gave back gains when the agreement turned out to be pretty limited and struck a three-week low of $1.3220 in early trade on Friday.

The "general terms" agreement modestly expands agricultural access for both countries and lowers prohibitive US duties on British car exports, but leaves in place the 10% baseline.

"The market reaction of buying USD may reflect greater optimism that such tariff deals are doable," said Steve Englander, global head of G10 currency research at Standard Chartered, in a note to clients.

"Trump's dangling of the prospect of a trade detente with China may be adding to optimism that the global disruption from trade wars may not be as severe as markets have feared," he said.

"For the time being, G10 markets would be relieved if US and China bilateral tariffs were rolled back, even if they remain well above January 19 levels."

Bitcoin has surged back above $100,000, reflecting a refreshed appetite for risk-taking in markets' more speculative corners.

Announcing the UK deal, Trump said he expects substantive negotiations between the US and China this weekend and that tariffs on Beijing of 145% would likely come down.

The administration is weighing a plan to slash the tariff on Chinese imports by more than half, the New York Post reported, citing unidentified sources, though the White House dismissed that as speculation.

The Australian dollar headed for its first weekly drop in a month, with a 0.7% fall to $0.6407. The New Zealand dollar was likewise lower, clinging to support at $0.5895, just above its 200-day moving average.

On the central bank front this week moves were as expected with the Bank of England cutting, while Sweden, Norway and the United States left rates on hold.

However, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks, emphasising the level of uncertainty, were taken as reducing the likelihood the Fed lowers rates any time soon and market pricing for a cut in June has drifted to about 17% from about 55% a week ago.

In contrast with G10 peers, the dollar was lower on several Asian currencies this week after a shock surge in the Taiwan dollar.

After a volatile few days it has settled around 30 to the dollar, more than 6% stronger from where it had finished April. The Singapore dollar is not far from decade highs. The Hong Kong dollar has retreated from the strong side of its band after heavy intervention from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.

India's rupee opened under renewed pressure on Friday as conflict between India and Pakistan escalates. It dropped sharply on Thursday and, at 85.55 to the dollar, is eyeing its heaviest weekly fall since 2022.