Saudi Trade Surplus Hits 10-Month High as Imports Decline

King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, Eastern Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, Eastern Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Trade Surplus Hits 10-Month High as Imports Decline

King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, Eastern Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, Eastern Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia posted its highest trade surplus in 10 months in February, buoyed by a sharp drop in merchandise imports, a trend that supports state revenues, bolsters currency stability, and reflects strong global demand for locally produced goods.

The Kingdom recorded a trade surplus of 31 billion riyals ($8.26 billion) in February, up 44.6% from 21 billion riyals in January and higher than the 29 billion riyals recorded in the same month last year, data from the General Authority for Statistics showed.

The surge came despite a slight dip in exports, as merchandise imports fell by 5.6% month-on-month to 63 billion riyals ($16.7 billion) — the lowest level since late 2023. Meanwhile, merchandise exports stood at 94 billion riyals ($18.3 billion), down from 97 billion riyals in January.

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports, including re-exports, rose 14.3% year-on-year in February to 26 billion riyals ($6.9 billion), up from 23 billion riyals in the same month last year, driven by ongoing efforts to boost domestic industry and global market access.

The growth comes as the Kingdom steps up its “Made in Saudi” initiative, aimed at helping local companies expand operations, tap new customer bases, and market their products to a wider audience. The program is part of Riyadh’s broader push to diversify the economy and reduce reliance on oil.

Trade experts say the rise in exports relative to imports is supported by a mix of financial incentives, export facilitation, and expanded logistics infrastructure across air, land and sea.

China remained Saudi Arabia’s largest export destination in February, accounting for 16.2% of total exports. South Korea followed with 10.1%, and the United Arab Emirates came third with 9%.

Dr. Fawaz Alamy, an international trade expert, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the trade surplus reflects the Kingdom’s successful policies to stimulate the private sector and boost the competitiveness of national products abroad. He said recent regulatory reforms have eliminated key obstacles for exporters and helped create entities that support global expansion.

He added that government agencies are working closely with the private sector by providing consulting services, financing, and market targeting strategies to facilitate international trade.

“Saudi Arabia’s non-oil activities are now growing steadily and contributing more than 50% to GDP,” Alamy said, noting this aligns with Vision 2030 goals to build a diversified and thriving economy.

Economic analyst Ahmed Al-Shehri echoed the sentiment, saying February’s trade surplus highlights the success of government collaboration in enhancing the export environment, overcoming exporter challenges, and improving export-related knowledge and talent.

He added that authorities continue to support the private sector and create an attractive environment for local and foreign investment. “In recent years, the government has worked to understand and remove the challenges facing domestic companies to ensure they can drive economic growth,” Al-Shehri said.

He noted that the non-oil sector’s contribution to GDP is now around 50%, adding: “Government agencies are actively helping manufacturers and exporters identify global market opportunities and deliver tailored support.”



S&P Global: UK Consumers Hit by Worries Over War in Iran

A man shops in a supermarket in Chanverrie, France, October 16, 2024. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe
A man shops in a supermarket in Chanverrie, France, October 16, 2024. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe
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S&P Global: UK Consumers Hit by Worries Over War in Iran

A man shops in a supermarket in Chanverrie, France, October 16, 2024. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe
A man shops in a supermarket in Chanverrie, France, October 16, 2024. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe

British consumers have turned their least confident since the start of last year following the outbreak of war in the Middle East, financial data firm S&P Global said on Monday in an early sign of the potential impact of the conflict on the economy.

S&P Global's Consumer Sentiment Index - based on a survey conducted ⁠March 5-9 - dropped ⁠to 44.1 in March from 44.8 in February, its lowest since January 2025.

"A marked deterioration of consumer sentiment in March means we are seeing the first ⁠concrete signs of the war in the Middle East damaging the UK economy," Maryam Baluch, an economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said, according to Reuters.

Households were the most downbeat about their financial prospects since December 2023 and the wariest about making big purchases in 14 months, the firm said.

The Bank ⁠of ⁠England, along with private economists, is watching for the impact of the US-Israeli war with Iran on the economy, including any hit to consumer spending as the rise in global energy prices threatens to push up inflation.

The BoE is likely to delay a previously expected interest rate cut on Thursday.


Gold Falls as Inflation Fears Pressure Fed Rate-cut Outlook

AFP_96 Gold bars weighing 1000 grams each are displayed at the Austrian Gold and Silver Refinery _Oegussa_ in Vienna
AFP_96 Gold bars weighing 1000 grams each are displayed at the Austrian Gold and Silver Refinery _Oegussa_ in Vienna
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Gold Falls as Inflation Fears Pressure Fed Rate-cut Outlook

AFP_96 Gold bars weighing 1000 grams each are displayed at the Austrian Gold and Silver Refinery _Oegussa_ in Vienna
AFP_96 Gold bars weighing 1000 grams each are displayed at the Austrian Gold and Silver Refinery _Oegussa_ in Vienna

Gold prices dipped on Monday, pressured by concerns that surging oil costs could stoke inflation further and prompt a more hawkish policy stance by major central banks including the US Federal Reserve, dulling the appeal of the non-yielding asset.

Spot gold fell 0.7% to $4,983.17 per ounce, as of 0944 GMT. US gold futures for ‌April delivery ‌fell 1.5% to $4,987.30.

"The gold market has moved its ‌focus ⁠from looking at ⁠the implications of the Hormuz trade closure, and towards implications of longer-term inflation," said Bernard Dahdah, an analyst at Natixis.

"Higher oil prices mean higher inflation and this has repercussions on the Fed. The Fed could pivot, stop cutting rates and that puts downward pressure on gold prices."

Oil held above $100 a ⁠barrel, up more than 40% this month ‌to its highest levels since 2022, ‌after US-Israeli strikes on Iran prompted Tehran to halt shipments through ‌the Strait of Hormuz.

US President Donald Trump on Sunday pressed ‌allies to help secure the Strait of Hormuz as Iranian forces continue attacks on the vital waterway amid the US-Israeli war on Iran, now in its third week.

The Fed will meet this week ‌for a two-day policy meeting, where it is widely expected to hold interest rates steady.

Other ⁠central ⁠banks including the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will also meet this week, with the focus on policymakers' assessment of the Iran war on inflation, growth and future policies.

"But we expect central banks to be watchful of inflation risks without making knee-jerk policy rate hikes," UBS said in a note.

"In addition, the longer the US-Iran conflict goes on, the higher the risk of negative economic impacts, which should support hedging demand for gold."

Elsewhere, spot silver fell 2.6% to $78.46 per ounce. Spot platinum held steady at $2,024.85 and palladium slid 0.5% to $1,542.92.


GASTAT: Saudi Consumer Inflation Eased to 1.7% in February

Shoppers are seen at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. SPA
Shoppers are seen at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. SPA
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GASTAT: Saudi Consumer Inflation Eased to 1.7% in February

Shoppers are seen at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. SPA
Shoppers are seen at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. SPA

Saudi Arabia’s annual inflation rate edged down to 1.7 percent in February, the lowest level since January 2025, according to data from the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT).

The consumer price index eased from 1.8 percent in January to 1.7 percent, GASTAT said Sunday.

The data further showed that housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels rose 4.1 percent in February 2026, mainly driven by a 5.1 percent increase in actual housing rents.

Transport prices also climbed 1.4 percent, supported by a 5.6 percent rise in passenger transport services, while restaurant and accommodation services increased 1.9 percent due to higher accommodation costs.

Personal care, social protection and miscellaneous goods and services surged 8.2 percent, largely reflecting a jump in other personal effects, particularly jewelry and watch prices, which rose 29 percent.

According to GASTAT, prices in recreation, sport and culture climbed 1.8 percent, while education services increased 1.4 percent. As for information and communications prices, they edged up 1.1 percent.

Data showed that prices in the insurance and financial services category rose 1 percent.

As for furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance, prices declined 0.9 percent, while prices for food and beverages, as well as clothing and footwear, remained largely stable during the period.

GASTAT said that on a monthly basis, the Consumer Price Index last month recorded relative stability compared to January 2026.