A Century of Partnership: How Oil Forged the US-Saudi Strategic Alliance

The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat
The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat
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A Century of Partnership: How Oil Forged the US-Saudi Strategic Alliance

The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat
The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat

Long before the iconic 1945 meeting between King Abdulaziz Al Saud and US President Franklin D. Roosevelt aboard the USS Quincy in Egypt’s Suez Canal, the seeds of a historic partnership had already been planted. More than a decade earlier, American oil experts had landed on Saudi soil, drawn not by diplomacy, but by geology.

Their presence in the eastern province of Saudi Arabia, on the shores of the Arabian Gulf, gave rise to a new chapter in international relations. From modest beginnings, the Saudi-American partnership evolved into one of the most significant bilateral relationships in the modern Middle East, anchored in energy cooperation, reinforced through political trust, and tested across decades of global and regional upheaval.

Oil First: The 1933 Concession Agreement

The turning point came just a year after the unification of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in 1932. On May 29, 1933, King Abdulaziz authorized his Minister of Finance, Abdullah Al-Sulaiman, to sign an oil exploration concession with the Standard Oil Company of California (Socal), now known as Chevron. Represented by Lloyd Hamilton, the company created a subsidiary - the California Arabian Standard Oil Company (CASOC) - to manage operations within the Kingdom.

The 60-year concession marked the beginning of a partnership that would transform both nations. After decades of exploration and expansion, the Saudi government began acquiring stakes in the company, starting with 25% in 1973, increasing to 60% in 1974, and culminating in full ownership in 1980. Eight years later, the company was renamed the Saudi Arabian Oil Company - Aramco.

American Presence in Dhahran

While American missionary efforts in the Gulf dated back to the late 19th century, particularly in Bahrain and Kuwait, Saudi Arabia remained largely untouched by these early religious and medical missions. The true bridge between the US and Saudi Arabia came through oil.

Following the 1933 agreement, American geologists and engineers arrived in the eastern city of Dhahran. Initial drilling in the mid-1930s was unsuccessful, until Socal’s chief geologist Max Steineke led an operation that resulted in the discovery of commercial oil in 1938. This breakthrough transformed the region and the bilateral relationship.

A pivotal moment in the history of Saudi Arabia - and in the global oil industry - occurred on March 4, 1938, when oil first flowed from the initial test well in Dhahran, known as Dammam Well No. 7. This event established Saudi Arabia as the country with the largest oil reserves and one of the world’s most important energy sources. The well, drilled to a depth of 1,441 meters, is located on the hill known as Jabal Dhahran and later became famously known as “Prosperity Well” (Bi’r Al-Khair).

Marking the beginning of a new era, King Abdulaziz embarked on a historic journey in the spring of 1939. Accompanied by a large delegation, he crossed the red sands of the Dahna Desert to reach the eastern part of the Kingdom on the Arabian Gulf. His visit coincided with the completion of the pipeline stretching 69 kilometers from the Dammam oil field to the port of Ras Tanura.

There, a symbolic moment took place: King Abdulaziz personally turned the valve to load the first shipment of Saudi crude oil onto a tanker. Thus, on May 1, 1939, Saudi Arabia exported its very first barrel of crude oil to the world.

The Quincy Meeting and the Birth of a Strategic Partnership

As World War II drew to a close, global attention turned to energy. The United States, anticipating a post-war recovery and growing energy needs, saw in Saudi Arabia a stable, resource-rich partner with vast oil reserves. At the same time, the Kingdom, newly unified and eager for development, welcomed American expertise and investment.

On February 14, 1945, just 82 days before the war officially ended in Europe, President Roosevelt met King Abdulaziz aboard the USS Quincy at the Great Bitter Lake. The meeting, now known as the “Quincy Summit,” laid the foundations for a strategic partnership that extended beyond oil. It recognized Saudi Arabia as a key geopolitical player and spiritual heart of the Islamic world, and cemented the United States as its primary global partner.

Soon, Dhahran became home to a growing American community. Workers lived in self-contained compounds that included Western-style homes, schools, shops, recreational clubs, and even small churches. Though initially isolated from Saudi society, this community played a significant role in introducing new technologies, industrial practices, and modern urban planning to the Kingdom.

By 1938, Aramco employed 2,745 people, including 236 Americans and more than 100 other expatriates. The arrival of American families, including the wives of engineers and executives, signaled the beginning of deeper cultural exchange. In 1937, two of the first American women, Annette Henry and Nellie Carpenter, arrived in the Eastern Province. To accommodate the growing expatriate presence, Aramco shipped the first mobile, air-conditioned homes to the desert.

Strengthening Ties Through Crises

Over the following decades, the US-Saudi relationship deepened. As Aramco expanded, the American community grew, spreading across eastern cities like Ras Tanura, Abqaiq, and Jubail. The bonds formed in the workplace gradually extended to neighborhoods and schools. Although cultural differences remained, trust and mutual respect grew.

In 1973, the October War and subsequent Arab oil embargo shocked global markets and sent fuel prices soaring. While the embargo strained relations, it also underscored Saudi Arabia’s central role in global energy stability. From then on, Washington viewed Riyadh not just as an oil supplier, but as a geopolitical partner essential to maintaining balance in the Middle East.

The Cold War further strengthened the relationship. Saudi Arabia’s moderate policy and anti-communist stance made it a dependable ally. The partnership was tested and reinforced through regional crises, including the Iranian Revolution (1979), the Iran-Iraq War (1980–1988) and Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait (1990).



Aramco Begins East-West Pipeline Expansion to Boost Oil Export Flexibility

Aramco CEO Amin Nasser speaks at a press conference. (Reuters)
Aramco CEO Amin Nasser speaks at a press conference. (Reuters)
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Aramco Begins East-West Pipeline Expansion to Boost Oil Export Flexibility

Aramco CEO Amin Nasser speaks at a press conference. (Reuters)
Aramco CEO Amin Nasser speaks at a press conference. (Reuters)

Saudi Aramco President and CEO Amin H. Nasser said on Tuesday that preliminary engineering had already started on a planned expansion of the kingdom's vital East-West pipeline as part of plans to increase oil flows through existing infrastructure, assess alternative export routes and explore expanding crude storage capacity at major demand centers. 

"Preliminary engineering is underway for an expansion of the East-West pipeline," Nasser said in an earnings call. The CEO said last month that Aramco hoped to increase the capacity of the pipeline network from 7 million to 10 million barrels a day.

Aramco reported a 9% year-on-year increase in adjusted net profit to 117 billion riyals ($31.2 billion) in the third quarter of this year, beating analysts’ expectations of $30.66 billion.

Nasser said the pipeline played a key role in providing additional oil export options during the disruptions, adding that the company was also considering expanding crude oil storage capacity at major demand centers and along export routes.

He said the long-term value of the East-West Pipeline investment had become evident amid the current disruptions to regional trade, noting that the company had recovered the pipeline’s entire construction cost in about 15 days.

Production Capacity

Nasser said Aramco was exploring additional oil export routes and storage capacity outside the Kingdom, while using Gulf export terminals and ship-to-ship transfers to deliver supplies to customers.

He added that the company could raise its maximum sustainable production capacity above 12 million barrels per day if the government decides to do so.

Biggest Supply Shock in the Energy Industry

He described the regional conflict as the biggest supply shock in the energy industry, saying Aramco maintained customer commitments by diversifying export routes, restoring facilities and optimizing operations.

The company’s resilience, he said, stemmed from decades of planning, robust infrastructure, skilled employees, local supply chains and technological innovation, enabling it to continue delivering major projects safely and on schedule despite disruptions.

Zuluf Field Production Expansion

The CEO said work to expand production at the Zuluf field had begun as planned, with additional capacity of up to 600,000 barrels per day expected by the end of the year. He added that Aramco was continuing to advance major crude-to-chemicals projects both inside and outside the Kingdom.

He said the upstream segment delivered stable results, reflecting continued price strength despite a decline from the previous quarter. Meanwhile, adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) in the downstream segment rose by more than $4 billion quarter on quarter.

Ability to Restore Production Within Weeks

Nasser said supplies had become indispensable, and demand remained strong, adding that Aramco could rapidly ramp up production. This capability positioned the company to generate significant financial gains.

More Than 90% of Restart Materials Sourced Locally

Aramco faced significant challenges during the disruptions but managed them through flexibility, speed, multiple options and operational excellence, he stated.

He explained that the company’s integrated response center coordinates management teams with specialized, multidisciplinary rapid-assessment teams, enabling a swift response to incidents and disruptions.

Nasser said Aramco’s local supply chains enabled the rapid sourcing and rerouting of critical materials to ensure operational continuity. The company also uses drones for real-time damage assessments, with more than 90% of restart materials sourced domestically. Independent benchmarks show Aramco completes emergency repairs six times faster than the industry average.

Capital Expenditure

Aramco remained disciplined in its capital spending, maintaining its 2026 capital expenditure guidance at $50 billion-$55 billion, Nasser undescored. The forecast includes costs to restore assets to service and a $2.6 billion cash investment in HUMAIN.

Aramco Invests $2.6 Billion in HUMAIN

He described Aramco’s 49% stake in HUMAIN, backed by a $2.6 billion cash investment and the transfer of key AI assets, as a strategic move to strengthen its competitive advantage and accelerate AI-driven growth.

The investment combines Aramco’s technology infrastructure, more than 90 years of operational experience and low-cost, lower-carbon energy to meet growing demand for AI computing.

HUMAIN aims to develop an integrated AI platform spanning data centers, cloud infrastructure, models and applications, with plans to reach 3 gigawatts of data center capacity by 2030 and become a leading global exporter of AI services.


Investors Ready for Possible Shake-up in Congress as Election Day Arrives

 A fountain near the US Capitol glows blue before sunrise on the day of the US midterm elections in Washington, DC, US, November 3, 2026. (Reuters)
A fountain near the US Capitol glows blue before sunrise on the day of the US midterm elections in Washington, DC, US, November 3, 2026. (Reuters)
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Investors Ready for Possible Shake-up in Congress as Election Day Arrives

 A fountain near the US Capitol glows blue before sunrise on the day of the US midterm elections in Washington, DC, US, November 3, 2026. (Reuters)
A fountain near the US Capitol glows blue before sunrise on the day of the US midterm elections in Washington, DC, US, November 3, 2026. (Reuters)

Investors are weighing the market ‌implications of a possible shift in control of US Congress in Tuesday's midterm elections, focused on whether a strong Democratic showing could pave the way for greater volatility in asset prices, particularly the AI trade which has been a main driver for markets.

The midterms come at a fragile time for markets, with a swoon in AI shares causing investor unease that could be exacerbated by the election results. Tuesday's outcome could hold broad implications for market-sensitive areas including the AI data-center buildout, the US fiscal outlook, defense spending, and regulation in areas such as healthcare, banking and cryptocurrencies.

President Donald Trump's Republican party has controlled both chambers of Congress during the first two years of his second term. Opinion polls ‌show the Democrats ‌are likely to take the House, while the Senate is ‌too ⁠close to call.

"While ⁠probabilities increasingly favor a Blue sweep, several tightly contested Senate races leave open some possibility of Republican control of the Senate or, conversely, a greater than expected Democratic foothold in the Senate," Scott Chronert, US equity strategist at Citigroup, said in a research note. "Equity market reaction is likely positive in the former case and negative in the latter."

Strategists at UBS Global Wealth Management have assigned a 50% probability of a Democratic sweep, a 40% chance ⁠of Democrats winning the House while Republicans retain the Senate, and ‌a 10% probability that Republicans hang onto both ‌chambers.

"The most visible effects of a change in congressional control would likely be greater oversight of ‌the administration and more difficult fiscal negotiations," Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS ‌Global Wealth Management, said in a note on Monday.

A Democratic-led Congress could exert greater scrutiny over AI companies, in part due to growing public opposition to data centers, a risk for a market that has been lifted by such investment spending. While analysts doubt any viable legislation would severely ‌undermine the data-center buildout regardless of the election outcome, they expect a Democratic sweep to lead to investigations into the technology ⁠sector.

Many investors have ⁠said they are eager to get past the elections, which have hung over the markets for the last several weeks. Since 1970, in midterm election years, the S&P 500 index has gained in every six-month period following the election, according to Edward Jones.

While equity volatility has increased in recent sessions, option-market traders are nonetheless not bracing for a massive stock market move following the election results.

Options on the S&P 500 index are priced for a move of about 0.8% in either direction on Wednesday, slightly higher than the 0.6% average implied daily move over the past month, according to ORATS data.

"We could see some volatility come out once there is a clear result, but I wouldn’t assume all that uncertainty disappears Wednesday morning," said Joe Tigay, portfolio manager at Equity Armor Investments. "Election hedges can expire; geopolitical risk doesn’t have an expiration date."


Europe Entering Winter with Lowest Gas Reserves Since 2013, Says IEA

07 July 2025, Rehden: Technical facilities for the injection and withdrawal of natural gas, including several process water tanks, are located on the grounds of the Rehden natural gas storage facility operated by SEFE Storage GmbH. (dpa)
07 July 2025, Rehden: Technical facilities for the injection and withdrawal of natural gas, including several process water tanks, are located on the grounds of the Rehden natural gas storage facility operated by SEFE Storage GmbH. (dpa)
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Europe Entering Winter with Lowest Gas Reserves Since 2013, Says IEA

07 July 2025, Rehden: Technical facilities for the injection and withdrawal of natural gas, including several process water tanks, are located on the grounds of the Rehden natural gas storage facility operated by SEFE Storage GmbH. (dpa)
07 July 2025, Rehden: Technical facilities for the injection and withdrawal of natural gas, including several process water tanks, are located on the grounds of the Rehden natural gas storage facility operated by SEFE Storage GmbH. (dpa)

Europe is entering winter with its lowest level of natural gas reserves since 2013, which could extend pressure on the international market into 2027, the International Energy Agency warned Tuesday.

Europe's natural gas storage reservoirs were 75 percent full at the end of October, well below the minimum target of 80 percent fixed by the European Union and at its lowest level in more than a decade, the IEA said.

Several factors explain the situation.

Natural gas liquefaction facilities in the Gulf have been damaged in US-Iran war, while transit through the Strait of Hormuz has been reduced.

Moreover, European nations are filling their storage reservoirs from low levels at the end of the heating season in the spring.

Buyers had initially held off buying stocks in the hope prices would fall.

Deliveries stepped up in August, September and October, but not enough to make up for the delay, the IEA said.

The amount of gas injected into storage reservoirs this season was about four percent below the average of the past five years, it added.

That makes European nations more dependent upon securing deliveries of additional supplies of LNG to meet peak demand.

It could also make more vulnerable if the winter is colder than usual, there are technical problems in the gas network, or supply problems, said the IEA.

Germany insisted Monday that it would have enough gas for the winter despite missing a storage target.

German gas storage facilities are on average 61 percent full, according to the federal agency that oversees Germany's energy infrastructure and markets.

That is below a legally mandated target for 70 percent by November 1. It also lags behind the European Union average of nearly 75 percent, according to the storage tracking platform AGSI.