Oil Prices Rise as Israel-Iran Conflict Enters Seventh Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Prices Rise as Israel-Iran Conflict Enters Seventh Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices rose on Thursday after Israel and Iran continued to exchange missile attacks overnight and US President Donald Trump's stance on the conflict kept investors on edge.

Brent crude futures rose 36 cents, or 0.5%, to $77.06 a barrel by 0913 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude for July was up 54 cents, or 0.7%, at $75.68. Brent had surged to its highest in nearly five months at $78.50 on June 13, when Israel began its attacks. The conflict entered its seventh day on Thursday after Israel struck a key Iranian nuclear site and Iranian missiles hit an Israeli hospital, Reuters said.

There is still a "healthy risk premium baked into the price as traders wait to see whether the next stage of the Israel-Iran conflict is a US strike or peace talks", said Tony Sycamore, analyst at trading platform IG.

Goldman Sachs said on Wednesday that a geopolitical risk premium of about $10 a barrel is justified, given lower Iranian supply and risk of wider disruption that could push Brent crude above $90.

President Trump told reporters on Wednesday that he had yet to decide whether the US will join Israel in its attacks on Iran.

As a result of the unpredictability that has long characterized Trump's foreign policy, "markets remain jittery, awaiting firmer signals that could influence global oil supply and regional stability" said Priyanka Sachdeva, analyst at Phillip Nova.

The risk of major energy disruption will rise if Iran feels existentially threatened, and US entry into the conflict could trigger direct attacks on tankers and energy infrastructure, said RBC Capital analyst Helima Croft.

Iran is the third-largest producer among members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, extracting about 3.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil.

About 18 million to 21 million bpd of oil and oil products move through the Strait of Hormuz along Iran's southern coast and there is widespread concern the fighting could disrupt trade flows.

Separately, the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady on Wednesday but penciled in two cuts by the end of the year. Lower interest rates could stimulate the economy, helping to support demand for oil. On the supply side, US crude stockpiles fell sharply last week, registering the largest decline in a year, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.



Oil Prices Inch up on Geopolitical Risks, Easing Tariff Worries

A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/ File Photo
A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/ File Photo
TT

Oil Prices Inch up on Geopolitical Risks, Easing Tariff Worries

A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/ File Photo
A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/ File Photo

Oil prices edged up on Thursday on signs of easing trade tensions, stronger than expected economic data from the world's top oil consumers and renewed risks in the Middle East.

Brent crude futures were up 17 cents, or around 0.3%, to $68.67 a barrel at 0856 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 31 cents, or 0.5%, at $66.69.

"Oil thinking has been distracted from the Middle East, and the reminders of Israel's attacks into Syria and the drone attacks on oil infrastructure in Kurdistan are timely and once again add a little fizz to proceedings," said John Evans, analyst at PVM Oil Associates, Reuters reported.

"Any other incident that deprives the market of barrels will be added to the low inventory narrative and we expect prices to continue to hold with any risk being to the upside."

Drone attacks on oilfields in Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region have slashed crude output by up to 150,000 barrels per day, two energy officials said on Wednesday, as infrastructure damage forced multiple shutdowns.

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump has said letters notifying smaller countries of their US tariff rates would go out soon, which along with his renewed optimism about prospects of a deal with Beijing on illicit drugs and an agreement possible with Europe helped calm investors.

"Trump softened tones on China and proposed lower tariff rates on smaller countries, which are seen as positive developments in the global trade outlooks," said independent analyst Tina Teng.

"China's better-than-expected economic data and the US's larger-than-expected oil inventory draw have both been bullish factors for oil prices."

US crude inventories fell more than expected by 3.9 million barrels to 422.2 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, suggesting stronger refinery activity, tighter supply, and increased demand.

However, larger than expected builds in gasoline and diesel inventories capped price gains, raising concerns of weakening demand from summer travel, ANZ analysts said in a note on Thursday.

Data showed that China's June crude oil throughput was up 8.5% from a year ago, implying stronger fuel demand.