Gold Edges Higher on Fiscal Debt Concerns while Traders await US Jobs Data

A salesman chooses gold chains for people buying gold at a gold shop in Bangkok's Chinatown, Thailand, June 8, 2016. REUTERS/Chaiwat Subprasom/File Photo
A salesman chooses gold chains for people buying gold at a gold shop in Bangkok's Chinatown, Thailand, June 8, 2016. REUTERS/Chaiwat Subprasom/File Photo
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Gold Edges Higher on Fiscal Debt Concerns while Traders await US Jobs Data

A salesman chooses gold chains for people buying gold at a gold shop in Bangkok's Chinatown, Thailand, June 8, 2016. REUTERS/Chaiwat Subprasom/File Photo
A salesman chooses gold chains for people buying gold at a gold shop in Bangkok's Chinatown, Thailand, June 8, 2016. REUTERS/Chaiwat Subprasom/File Photo

Gold prices edged higher on Wednesday as investors shifted their focus to the US fiscal situation and lingering uncertainty ahead of the July 9 deadline for US tariffs to take effect.

Spot gold was up 0.1% at $3,340.67 per ounce at 1157 GMT. US gold futures were steady at $3,351.10.

"The markets are again focused on the US fiscal situation ... and combined with uncertainty about the July 9 tariff deadline, these create fog for traders, who are directing flows towards safe-haven assets like gold," said Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at brokerage ActivTrades, Reuters reported.

US Senate Republicans narrowly passed President Donald Trump's tax and spending bill on Tuesday, a package cutting taxes, reducing social safety net programmes and boosting military spending while adding $3.3 trillion to the national debt.

"We still think debt level concerns, ongoing pressure on the Fed to adjust their rates and weaker US economic data will support the price of gold," said UBS commodity analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Data on Tuesday showed US job openings increased unexpectedly in May, but a decline in hiring added to signs that the labor market has shifted into lower gear.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that the US central bank plans to "wait and learn more" about the impact of tariffs on inflation before lowering interest rates, again setting aside Trump's demands for immediate and deep rate cuts.

The focus now shifts to US ADP employment data due later in the day, followed by June non-farm payroll figures on Thursday, for further insights into labor market conditions.

In other precious metals, spot silver gained 0.5% to $36.24 an ounce, platinum rose 2.2% to $1,380.31 and palladium climbed 2% to $1,122.



IMF Eyes Revised Global Forecast, but Warns Trade Tensions Still Cloud Outlook

A hazy view of the skyline in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio.
A hazy view of the skyline in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio.
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IMF Eyes Revised Global Forecast, but Warns Trade Tensions Still Cloud Outlook

A hazy view of the skyline in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio.
A hazy view of the skyline in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio.

The International Monetary Fund warned on Friday that risks related to trade tensions continue to cloud the global economic outlook and uncertainty remains high despite some increased trade and improved financial conditions.

IMF First Deputy Managing Director Gita Gopinath said the fund would update its global forecast later in July given "front-loading ahead of tariff increases and some trade diversion," along with improved financial conditions and signs of continued declines in inflation.

In April the IMF slashed its growth forecasts for the United States, China and most countries, citing the impact of US tariffs on imports now at 100-year highs and warning that rising trade tensions would further slow growth.

At the time, it cut its forecast for global growth by 0.5 percentage points to 2.8% for 2025, and by 0.3 percentage points to 3%. Economists expect a slight upward revision when the IMF releases an updated forecast in late July.

According to Reuters, Gopinath told finance officials from the Group of 20 major economies who met this week in South Africa that trade tensions continued to complicate the economic outlook.

"While we will update our global forecast at the end of July, downside risks continue to dominate the outlook and uncertainty remains high," she said, in a text of her remarks.

She urged countries to resolve trade tensions and implement policy changes to address underlying domestic imbalances, including scaling back fiscal outlays and putting debt on a sustainable path.

Gopinath also underscored the need for monetary policy officials to carefully calibrate their decisions to specific circumstances in their countries, and stressed the need to protect central bank independence. This was a key theme in the G20 communique released by finance officials.

Gopinath said capital flows to emerging markets and developing economies remained sluggish, but resilient, in the face of increased policy uncertainty and market volatility. For many borrowers, financing conditions remained tight.

For countries with unsustainable debt, proactive moves were essential, Gopinath said, repeating the IMF's call for timely and efficient debt restructuring mechanisms.

More work was needed on that issue, including allowing middle-income countries to access the G20's Common Framework for Debt Restructuring, she said.