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Non-Oil Activity Powers Saudi Economic Expansion  

The King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Non-Oil Activity Powers Saudi Economic Expansion  

The King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The King Abdullah Port, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy continued to power growth in the second quarter of 2025, cementing its role as the main engine of expansion as the Kingdom pushes ahead with efforts to diversify away from hydrocarbons.

The economy grew 3.9% year on year in the quarter, lifted largely by non-oil activities that contributed 2.6 percentage points to overall growth, data from the General Authority for Statistics showed on Monday.

Non-oil GDP rose 4.6% in the three months to June, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive expansion. The sector accounted for half of Saudi output for the first time in 2023, a milestone under the government’s diversification agenda.

Oil GDP increased 3.8% in the second quarter, while government activities rose 0.6%. On a quarterly basis, seasonally adjusted GDP grew 1.7%, driven mainly by a 5.6% rebound in oil activity. Non-oil GDP expanded 0.8% from the first quarter, while government activity fell 0.8%.

Saudi crude production climbed 6% year on year in June to 9.36 million barrels per day after OPEC+ boosted output from April, the data showed.

Private sector boost

Economists said the sustained non-oil momentum underscored Riyadh’s commitment to economic diversification and resilience against oil price swings.

“The fifth straight quarter of non-oil growth is a strong sign of the success and sustainability of diversification away from oil market volatility,” said Fahd bin Jumaa, a former Shura Council member and economist. He told Asharq Al-Awsat that non-oil activity has become a “core driver” of growth in line with the Vision 2030 plan.

The rebound in oil alongside steady non-oil expansion reflects “successful diversification” and tangible progress in Saudi targets, supported by heavy government efforts to empower the private sector as a key partner, he said.

Investment push

Economic researcher Fadwa al-Buwardi said the non-oil sector’s performance highlighted the government’s focus on developing new industries and attracting capital.

“The continuous growth of non-oil activities shows the economy’s ability to shift towards more resilience and sustainability, with less dependence on oil and stronger local and foreign investment,” she told Asharq Al-Awsat.

She added that benefits include job creation across multiple sectors, higher GDP, improved non-oil exports and stronger capital inflows. Sustained balance, she said, sends positive signals on liquidity and future investment opportunities, especially given rising foreign inflows.

Outlook

Analysts say the performance reinforces confidence that Saudi Arabia is on track to meet Vision 2030 targets. Non-oil strength, alongside investment inflows and private sector expansion, not only reflects successful diversification, but also signals to global markets that the Kingdom’s economy is becoming more resilient to shocks.

With continued momentum in both domestic and foreign investment in non-oil industries, Saudi Arabia is positioning itself as a regional economic powerhouse capable of building a more sustainable and diversified future.

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Business

French Economy Likely to Grow at Least 0.8% in 2025, Finance Minister Says

French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure attends the 7th formal meeting of the Franco-Chinese Business Council in Beijing on December 4, 2025. (Reuters)
French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure attends the 7th formal meeting of the Franco-Chinese Business Council in Beijing on December 4, 2025. (Reuters)
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French Economy Likely to Grow at Least 0.8% in 2025, Finance Minister Says

French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure attends the 7th formal meeting of the Franco-Chinese Business Council in Beijing on December 4, 2025. (Reuters)
French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure attends the 7th formal meeting of the Franco-Chinese Business Council in Beijing on December 4, 2025. (Reuters)

Unless there is a sharp reversal in the final three months of the year, the French economy is likely to grow by at least 0.8% in 2025, outpacing the 0.7% that the government had anticipated, Finance Minister Roland Lescure said on Sunday.

"We will most likely exceed the government's growth forecast for this year. We had predicted 0.7%, but I think we will have at least 0.8%. That's good news," Lescure told LCI television.

"So we would really need to have a bad fourth quarter, which I don't believe will happen, for us to be below 0.8%, so 0.8% is within reach," he added.

France's economy grew 0.5% in the third quarter, final data from statistics office INSEE showed in November, reflecting resilience in the euro zone's second-largest economy.

Business

Saudi Real Estate Shifts from Temporary Upswing to Operational Maturity

Real estate projects in Riyadh (SPA) 
Real estate projects in Riyadh (SPA) 
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Saudi Real Estate Shifts from Temporary Upswing to Operational Maturity

Real estate projects in Riyadh (SPA) 
Real estate projects in Riyadh (SPA) 

Saudi Arabia’s listed real estate sector recorded an exceptional and unprecedented transformation in the third quarter of 2025, with profits surging more than sixfold. Total earnings jumped 633.6 percent to $496 million (SAR 1.86 billion), compared with $67.5 million a year earlier, an indication that the industry has entered a phase of sustained operational maturity rather than a short-term cyclical rebound.

The sharp rise reflects the companies’ success in restructuring their product portfolios, enhancing cash flows, and shifting from “paper growth” to revenue-driven expansion supported by project deliveries and operational income.

Sector analysts attributed the leap in profitability to the rollout of major real estate projects in large cities, higher project quality, improved financing conditions, and stronger liquidity.

They noted that the leap aligns with the rapid expansion of Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy, which now contributes about 56 percent of GDP. This has strengthened demand across residential, commercial, industrial, and office real estate, supporting profit growth alongside recent regulatory reforms.

During the first nine months of 2025, listed real estate firms achieved combined profits of $1.44 billion (SAR 5.4 billion), led by Cenomi Centers, Jabal Omar, and Masar (Umm Al-Qura for Development and Construction) - a 244 percent increase from the same period in 2024.

Financial disclosures show that nine out of sixteen listed developers reported higher profits in Q3, while four companies returned to profitability. Masar topped the sector in Q3 with SAR 516.6 million in earnings, up 341.9 percent year-on-year. Cenomi Centers ranked second with SAR 499.8 million, a rise of 52.2 percent, followed by Dar Al-Arkan, whose profits climbed 89 percent to SAR 255.6 million.

Real estate specialist Abdullah Al-Mousa told Asharq Al-Awsat that the historic profit surge confirms the sector has “entered a stage of operational maturity,” reflecting companies’ improved efficiency, stronger recurring revenues, and the successful transition to asset-operation models.

He identified three key drivers: higher-quality projects and stronger occupancy across income-generating assets; improved financing conditions amid stabilizing interest rates; and the completion of major projects, particularly in Riyadh and Makkah.

Al-Mousa expects continued positive performance in coming quarters, though at a more moderate pace, supported by new strategic projects entering operation, sustained housing demand, rising commercial activity in Riyadh, and ongoing regulatory reforms that reduce risk and attract institutional investment.

Real estate analyst Salman Saeed said the strength of the non-oil economy has sharply boosted demand in housing, retail, industrial, and office markets. He highlighted reforms such as the expansion of the white-land tax and rental-regulation measures, along with significant government support for homeownership, which has raised the share of Saudi citizens owning homes.

Saeed noted that rising demand for commercial and office space, driven by multinational companies relocating to Riyadh, has lifted occupancy rates and diversified developers’ income streams. Some firms also improved results through land sales and divestment of non-core assets, enhancing operational efficiency.

 

 

Business

Qatar’s Energy Minister: AI Will Secure Future Demand for LNG

Al-Kaabi speaks at a panel discussion at the Doha Forum 2025. (X)
Al-Kaabi speaks at a panel discussion at the Doha Forum 2025. (X)
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Qatar’s Energy Minister: AI Will Secure Future Demand for LNG

Al-Kaabi speaks at a panel discussion at the Doha Forum 2025. (X)
Al-Kaabi speaks at a panel discussion at the Doha Forum 2025. (X)

Statements by Qatar’s Minister of State for Energy Affairs Saad Al-Kaabi became a focal point at the Doha Forum 2025, opened by Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani under the theme “Anchoring Justice: From Promises to Tangible Reality.”

Al-Kaabi delivered an upbeat assessment of the gas sector’s future, insisting he has “no concern whatsoever” about long-term demand thanks to the soaring power needs of artificial intelligence data centers.

Al-Kaabi said global demand for natural gas will remain robust as AI-driven energy consumption accelerates, forecasting that liquefied natural gas (LNG) demand will reach 600–700 million tons annually by 2035. He warned, however, that insufficient investment could constrain future LNG and gas supplies.

“I have absolutely no worries about future gas demand,” he said, adding that AI-related power consumption will be a key driver.

Once fully operational, Qatar’s North Field expansion is expected to produce 126 million metric tons of LNG a year by 2027 - an 85 percent increase from today’s 77 million tons.

He also noted that the first train of the Golden Pass LNG project, a joint venture with ExxonMobil in Texas, is scheduled to begin operations in the first quarter of 2026.

Al-Kaabi argued that oil prices between $70 and $80 per barrel would generate sufficient revenue for companies to invest in future energy needs, while prices above $90 would be “too high.”

He separately cautioned that the Gulf region is witnessing an “excess of real-estate construction,” raising the risk of a property bubble.

The minister hoped that the European Union will address corporate concerns over new sustainability regulations by the end of December.

Gulf Cooperation Council states voiced deep concern on Friday about two proposed EU directives, which tackle corporate sustainability due diligence and sustainability reporting, recently amended by the European Parliament for trilogue negotiations.

The GCC warned that the measures would effectively compel major European and international companies to adopt the EU’s sustainability model, comply with additional human rights and environmental obligations, submit climate-transition plans beyond existing global accords, file detailed sustainability reports, and face penalties for non-compliance.

Qatar has also criticized the due-diligence directive and has threatened to halt gas supplies. The dispute centers on potential fines of up to 5 percent of a company’s global revenue.

Al-Kaabi has repeatedly stated that Qatar will not meet net-zero emissions targets under such conditions.