Oil Prices Little Changed as Russia, Mideast Concerns Offset by Oversupply Worry

A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
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Oil Prices Little Changed as Russia, Mideast Concerns Offset by Oversupply Worry

A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk, in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia July 14, 2025. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo

Oil prices were little changed on Monday as concerns over Russia and the Middle East were countered by oversupply jitters.

Brent crude oil futures, which have traded between around $65.50 and $69 a barrel since early August, dipped 12 cents, or 0.2%, to $66.56 a barrel by 1000 GMT while the US West Texas Intermediate crude contract for October was at $62.65 a barrel, down 3 cents, or 0.1%.

The October WTI contract expires on Monday and the more active November contract fell 18 cents, or 0.3%, to $62.22 a barrel, Reuters reported.

Polish and allied aircraft were deployed early on Saturday to ensure the safety of Polish airspace after Russia launched airstrikes targeting western Ukraine near the border with Poland, armed forces of the NATO-member country said.

The deployment came after three Russian military jets violated NATO Estonia's airspace for 12 minutes on Friday.

In the Middle East, four Western nations recognised a Palestinian state, prompting a furious response from Israel and adding to jitters in the key oil-producing region.

Brent and WTI settled down more than 1% on Friday to mark a slight decline last week as worries about large supplies and declining demand weighed on sentiment.

"The setup for the oil market is that global oil demand is set to taper off from Q3 to Q4 and again to Q1-26. At the same time production by OPEC+ is on a rising path," said SEB analysts.

"The big question is of course if China will stockpile the increasing surplus or whether the oil price will be pushed lower into the 50ies. We believe the latter."

Iraq, OPEC's second-largest producer, has increased oil exports under an OPEC+ agreement, state oil marketer SOMO said on Sunday.

SOMO expects September's average exports to range from 3.4 million to 3.45 million bpd.

Iraq has also given preliminary approval to a plan to resume pipeline oil exports from its semi-autonomous Kurdistan region through Türkiye following delays to a hoped-for restart, sources familiar with the talks told Reuters.



Iran's Currency Sinks to a New Record Low

FILE PHOTO: People walk past a sign at a currency exchange as the value of the Iranian Rial drops, in Tehran, Iran, October 5, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS
FILE PHOTO: People walk past a sign at a currency exchange as the value of the Iranian Rial drops, in Tehran, Iran, October 5, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS
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Iran's Currency Sinks to a New Record Low

FILE PHOTO: People walk past a sign at a currency exchange as the value of the Iranian Rial drops, in Tehran, Iran, October 5, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS
FILE PHOTO: People walk past a sign at a currency exchange as the value of the Iranian Rial drops, in Tehran, Iran, October 5, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS

Iran's currency slipped to the lowest level in its history on Monday, nearing 1,250,000 rial to the US dollar on the open rate market, various outlets including the semi-official Tasnim news agency reported.

The Iranian rial stood around 55,000 to the US dollar in 2018, when US sanctions were reimposed by the first Trump administration to force Tehran to the negotiating table by limiting its oil exports and access to foreign currency.

Iranian media blamed the government's recent economic liberalization policies for adding pressure to the open rate market, Reuters.

The open rate market is where ordinary Iranians buy foreign currency, whereas businesses typically use state-regulated rates.

However, the government's recent decision to allow importers to tap into the open market to import essential goods has added pressure on the market and increased the dollar's price, semi-official Fars news agency said.

Iran's economy is at risk of recession, with the World Bank forecasting an economic shrinkage of 1.7% in 2025 and 2.8% in 2026. The risk is compounded by rising inflation, with Iran's Statistical Center announcing monthly inflation of 48.6% in October, the highest in 40 months. Despite inflationary pressures, Iran said last month it would increase fuel prices in December under certain conditions, primarily impacting drivers using more than 100 liters per month.


Gold Rises on Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Weaker Dollar

A one-ounce gold bar is displayed at Witter Coins on October 07 2025 in San Francisco. (AFP)
A one-ounce gold bar is displayed at Witter Coins on October 07 2025 in San Francisco. (AFP)
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Gold Rises on Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Weaker Dollar

A one-ounce gold bar is displayed at Witter Coins on October 07 2025 in San Francisco. (AFP)
A one-ounce gold bar is displayed at Witter Coins on October 07 2025 in San Francisco. (AFP)

Gold prices rose on Monday, driven by growing expectations of a US interest rate cut that pressured the dollar, ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting this week.

Spot gold rose 0.3% to $4,209.43 per ounce by 0851 GMT. US gold futures for December delivery fell 0.1% to $4,239.40 per ounce.

The dollar index edged lower, hovering near the one-month low reached on December 4, making dollar-priced gold more affordable for overseas buyers.

"Gold is benefiting from a weaker U.S. dollar and market participants expecting the Fed to cut interest rates this week," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Data last week showed that US consumer spending grew moderately in September. That reflected a slowdown in economic momentum amid rising costs and weakness in the labor market as private payrolls saw their steepest decline in over two-and-a-half years in November.

According to CME's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed's December 9-10 policy meeting, following the release of weak economic data and dovish remarks from several Fed officials.

Lower interest rates typically bolster demand for non-yielding assets like gold.

"We still look for more rate cuts next year, which should push gold to $4,500/oz next year," added Staunovo.

Silver was up 0.3% at $58.43 per ounce, after hitting a record high of $59.32 on Friday.

"Silver is benefiting from the same factor as gold. Additionally the expectation of improving industrial demand as a result of monetary and fiscal stimulus helped silver to outperform gold in recent weeks," Staunovo said.

The white metal has doubled in price this year, driven by supply deficits and its designation as a critical mineral by the US.

Elsewhere, platinum gained 0.6% to $1,650.90 and palladium rose 1% to $1,471.26.


Saudi Arabia’s Mawani, ARASCO to Establish Logistics Center at King Abdulaziz Port

Saudi Arabia’s Mawani, ARASCO to Establish Logistics Center at King Abdulaziz Port
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Saudi Arabia’s Mawani, ARASCO to Establish Logistics Center at King Abdulaziz Port

Saudi Arabia’s Mawani, ARASCO to Establish Logistics Center at King Abdulaziz Port

The Saudi Ports Authority (Mawani) signed a contract with Arabian Agricultural Services Company (ARASCO) to establish a logistics center for storage and distribution at King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, reported the Saudi Press Agency on Monday.

Valued at SAR200 million, the center will span 40,000 square meters and aims to bolster food security in the Kingdom while increasing port capacity.

The move aligns with the objectives of the National Transport and Logistics Strategy to solidify the Kingdom's position as a global logistics hub.

The contract further strengthens Mawani’s ongoing efforts to boost the efficiency of national supply chains and optimize operations at King Abdulaziz Port.

The investment is designed to bolster King Abdulaziz Port's capabilities in grain unloading and storage by constructing warehouses capable of handling up to 100,000 metric tons.