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Gold Firms as Upbeat US GDP Data Dampens Rate Cut Bets; Focus on PCE

Gold samples are displayed at Brazil's Federal Police gold-tracing program 'Ouroteca' in Brasilia, Brazil, September 4, 2025. REUTERS/Diego Herculano
Gold samples are displayed at Brazil's Federal Police gold-tracing program 'Ouroteca' in Brasilia, Brazil, September 4, 2025. REUTERS/Diego Herculano
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Gold Firms as Upbeat US GDP Data Dampens Rate Cut Bets; Focus on PCE

Gold samples are displayed at Brazil's Federal Police gold-tracing program 'Ouroteca' in Brasilia, Brazil, September 4, 2025. REUTERS/Diego Herculano
Gold samples are displayed at Brazil's Federal Police gold-tracing program 'Ouroteca' in Brasilia, Brazil, September 4, 2025. REUTERS/Diego Herculano

Gold held steady on Friday after better-than-expected US GDP data dampened bets of further US rate cuts, while investors awaited key inflation data later in the day.

Spot gold held its ground at $3,749.24 per ounce, as of 0817 GMT. The metal has climbed 1.9% so far this week, and hit a record high of $3,790.82 on Tuesday.

US gold futures for December delivery rose 0.2% to $3,779.40.

Data released on Thursday showed the US economy grew faster than estimated in the second quarter, while weekly jobless claims declined, Reuters said.

"Gold is holding steady around the mid-$3,700 region, given the latest display of resilience by the US economy, paring bets for Fed rate cuts by end-2025, with those odds lowered by as much as 18 percentage points this week," said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Nemo.money.

Investors now see an 87% and 62% chance of rate cuts in October and December, respectively, down from 91% and 76% prior to the data, per CME FedWatch Tool.

All eyes are now on the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data, the Federal Reserve's go-to inflation measure, due at 1230 GMT.

The report could show a 0.3% month-on-month rise and a 2.7% year-on-year jump in August, per a Reuters poll.

"Markets don’t expect an unruly showing from the incoming PCE figures, suggesting that inflation remains in check. However, should they come in notably higher than expectations, which may prompt limited declines for gold," Tan added.

Safe-haven bullion thrives in a low interest-rate environment and in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

On the trade front, President Trump announced a fresh round of tariffs on imported drugs, trucks and furniture starting October 1. Among other metals, spot silver fell 0.5% to $45.01 per ounce, platinum jumped 0.6% to $1,539.44 to hover near a 12-year high, and palladium was steady at $1,250.40. All three were headed for weekly gains.

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Business

ADNOC Lands $11 Billion Financing for Future Gas Output in Abu Dhabi

ADNOC secures landmark structured financing of up to $11 billion for Hail & Ghasha gas development
ADNOC secures landmark structured financing of up to $11 billion for Hail & Ghasha gas development
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ADNOC Lands $11 Billion Financing for Future Gas Output in Abu Dhabi

ADNOC secures landmark structured financing of up to $11 billion for Hail & Ghasha gas development
ADNOC secures landmark structured financing of up to $11 billion for Hail & Ghasha gas development

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), along with its partners Eni and PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP), has signed a structured financing agreement of up to 40.4 billion dirhams ($11 billion).

The financing will be used to monetize future midstream gas production from the Hail and Ghasha project.

ADNOC said the deal, part of the Ghasha concession, will enable responsible energy production needed to meet the growing demands of local industries, supporting the UAE’s gas self-sufficiency ambitions. The Ghasha concession, located offshore Abu Dhabi, is set to produce 1.8 billion standard cubic feet per day (bscfd) of gas.

Over 60% of the investment value of the entire project will flow back into the UAE’s economy under ADNOC’s In-Country Value (ICV) program, reinforcing ADNOC’s commitment to ensuring more economic value remains in the country from the contracts it awards, the company said.

Concerning sustainability, ADNOC noted that Hail and Ghasha project is also the world’s first gas development that aims to operate with net-zero emissions.

The project will capture 1.5 million tons per year (mtpa) of carbon dioxide, equivalent to removing over 300,000 fuel-powered cars off the road every year, and aims to deploy fully unmanned offshore operations.

Dr. Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology and ADNOC Managing Director and Group CEO, said: “This landmark transaction builds on ADNOC’s successful track record of global energy partnerships and unlocks capital to drive progress at Hail and Ghasha, one of the world’s most ambitious offshore gas projects.”

He said the exceptional demand from over 20 leading global and regional financial institutions reinforces confidence in ADNOC’s value creation strategy, innovative approach to financing, and proven track record in delivering mega projects.

“Hail and Ghasha,” he added, “is an important contributor to ADNOC’s gas strategy and is on track to generate significant value for ADNOC, our partners, and the UAE, while unlocking important new gas resources for our customers.”

ADNOC said the non-recourse financing transaction, unique for an energy project of this scale and complexity, enables the company to realize upfront value for its products at competitive rates.

In addition to providing immediate access to capital, it noted that the financing structure introduces an innovative commercial model that ring-fences midstream facilities and operations, which enables ADNOC and its partners to raise low-cost funding while retaining strategic and operational control of the assets.

This transaction is the latest in a series of pioneering infrastructure development partnerships that ADNOC has executed over the past decade, including the $4.9 billion (18 billion dirhams) oil pipeline partnership, and the $10.1 billion (37.1 billion dirhams) gas pipeline agreement, with some of the world’s leading global infrastructure and institutional investors.

It also includes pioneering BOOT (build-own-operate-transfer) projects such as the $3.8 billion (14 billion dirhams) project to power and decarbonize offshore operations and the $2.2 billion (8.3 billion dirhams) project to deliver sustainable water supplies to onshore operations.

Business

Saudi Arabia Ranks 2nd Globally in World Bank’s GovTech Maturity Index 2025

The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat
The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat
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Saudi Arabia Ranks 2nd Globally in World Bank’s GovTech Maturity Index 2025

The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat
The Saudi flag. Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi Arabia has achieved an unprecedented milestone, ranking second worldwide in the 2025 GovTech Maturity Index (GTMI) released by the World Bank, covering 197 economies.

The results were announced at a press conference in Washington on Thursday.

According to the GTMI findings, Saudi Arabia excelled across all the report’s indices, placing it in the “very advanced” category with an overall score of 99.64%.

The assessment examined digital infrastructure, core government systems, online service delivery, and citizen engagement, with the Kingdom achieving some of the highest scores recorded worldwide.

Governor of the Digital Government Authority (DGA) Eng. Ahmed Mohammed Alsuwaiyan said the achievement reflects the unlimited support provided by the Kingdom’s leadership, the integration of government efforts, and strong partnerships with the private sector.

He noted that national teams over recent years have redesigned government services and developed advanced digital infrastructure, enabling the Kingdom to achieve this global standing.

Alsuwaiyan stressed that the DGA will continue to promote innovation and enhance the quality of digital services to support the national economy and advance the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030.

The 2025 GTMI results show Saudi Arabia achieving 99.92% in the Core Government Systems Index (CGSI), 99.90% in the Public Service Digitalization Index (PSDI), 99.30% in the Digital Citizen Engagement Index (DCEI), and 99.50% in the GovTech Enablers Index (GTEI), securing an “A” rating among “very advanced countries” and reflecting an extensively mature digital government ecosystem.

This achievement caps a rising trajectory for Saudi Arabia’s digital government since the launch of Vision 2030, which prioritizes the citizen in the digital transformation process by improving government service delivery, enhancing user experience, and boosting operational efficiency.

These commitments have been supported by broad governmental integration, comprehensive development of digital systems, and the adoption of artificial intelligence and emerging technologies.

Saudi Arabia has made significant leaps in GovTech maturity, rising from 49th globally in the first GTMI in 2020 to third in 2022 and second in 2025, cementing its status as a global leader in digital transformation and innovation.

Business

European Central Bank Leaves Rates Unchanged with Economy Showing Signs of Modest Growth

The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Thursday, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)
The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Thursday, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)
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European Central Bank Leaves Rates Unchanged with Economy Showing Signs of Modest Growth

The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Thursday, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)
The Euro currency symbol is seen prior to a press conference after an ECB's governing council meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, Thursday, Dec. 18, 2025. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)

The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged Thursday for the fourth meeting in a row as the economy in the 20 countries that use the euro increasingly looks strong enough to get by without the stimulus of lower borrowing costs for businesses and consumers.

Bank President Christine Lagarde said that while the economy had remained “resilient,” there was too much uncertainty over trade and international conflicts to give any hints about future moves.

“We reconfirmed that we are in a good place” with interest rates, she said. “Which does not mean that we are static.”

Instead, the bank's rate setting council would take things meeting by meeting, starting with the next gathering in February. There is “no set date for any move,” she said. “There are lots of factors that that are in play and that will evolve over the course of '26.”

The council left the benchmark deposit rate unchanged at 2%, where it has been since a rate cut in June. Economists now think the rate could stay there for months - and possibly into 2027.

That’s because the ECB remains poised between inflation that’s just a bit too persistent and growth that’s underwhelming but steady after a trade deal with the US remove some of the uncertainty that had held back business planning. Higher rates fight inflation while cuts support growth.

The bank said in its decision statement that economic growth “is expected to be stronger” than in the bank's last projections in September, while inflation in services businesses was declining more slowly, even as overall inflation was expected to stabilize at the bank's 2% target.

Surveys of purchasing managers by S&P Global slipped slightly for December but still showed business activity expanding as the year comes to an end, reinforcing expectations that the 20 countries using the euro currency will continue to see growth of around 0.3% per quarter over the previous quarter.

That outcome is better than feared during turbulent trade negotiations with the United States over the summer, which finally settled with a 15% tariff, or import tax, imposed on European goods by US President Donald Trump.

Trump had threatened higher rates and the deal struck with the European Union's executive commission appears to have removed uncertainty and made it easier for businesses to make decisions. So the economy can get by without the added boost from a cut, analysts say.

“The haze of economic uncertainty has somewhat lifted, especially regarding trade,” The Associated Press quoted economist Lorenzo Codogno as saying.

On top of that, inflationary pressures remain too high for the ECB to contemplate a cut. The headline rate of 2.1% for annual inflation in November is roughly in line with the bank's goal of 2%, thanks in part to a drop in volatile energy prices. But inflation was higher at 3.5% in the services sector, which encompasses much of the economy from hairdressers and hotels to concert tickets and medical services.

While the ECB stood pat, the Bank of England on Thursday cut its key interest rate for the first time in four months as stubbornly high inflation starts to ease.

Policymakers voted 5-4 to reduce the base rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.75% on Thursday. Consumer price inflation slowed to 3.2% in the 12 months through November, from 3.6% a month earlier.

Central bank rate cuts can support growth because they strongly influence borrowing rates throughout the economy, lowering credit costs and promoting credit sensitive purchases such as new homes by consumers or new production facilities by businesses. Higher rates have the opposite effect and are used to contain inflation by dampening demand for goods.