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Gold Rises as Investors Seek Safety amid US Policy Jitters

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
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Gold Rises as Investors Seek Safety amid US Policy Jitters

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Gold climbed on Tuesday, hovering just shy of the $5,100-per-ounce mark breached for the first time in the previous session, as uncertainty around US President Donald Trump's policymaking prompted investors to seek safety in bullion.

Spot gold rose 1.2% to $5,073.52 per ounce as of 1155 GMT. It hit an all-time high of $5,110.50 on Monday.

US gold futures ‌for February ‌delivery eased 0.2% to $5,071.20 per ounce, Reuters reported.

"The constant ‌back ⁠and ​forth (on ‌tariffs) by President Trump and the US administration, coupled with growing concerns around a military operation in Iran" are unlikely to curb safe-haven demand anytime soon, said Zain Vawda, analyst at MarketPulse by OANDA.

Gold has surged 18% so far in 2026, building on gains from last year due to factors including sustained safe-haven demand amid ⁠geopolitical and economic uncertainty, expectations of US rate cuts and robust central bank ‌purchases. In trade news, Trump said on ‍Monday he would hike ‍tariffs on autos and other goods imported from South Korea. Meanwhile, ‍the United States is "open for business" if Iran wishes to contact Washington, a US official said on Monday, after Trump renewed warnings to Tehran.

Deutsche Bank and Societe Generale anticipate gold prices to reach $6,000/oz in ​2026, highlighting the scope for further gains.

Market is now focused on the Federal Reserve's policy meeting starting on ⁠Tuesday, where it is expected to hold interest rates steady, while investors are also awaiting news on Chair Jerome Powell's replacement.

Spot silver jumped 7.4% to $111.59 an ounce, after hitting a record high of $117.69 on Monday. It has surged more than 50% so far this year.

"We expect prices to ease in the coming months as supply tightness eases and industrial demand for silver starts to peak with a slowing Mainland Chinese economy," BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions, said in a note.

Spot platinum fell ‌3.1% to $2,673.50 per ounce, after hitting a record $2,918.80 in the previous session. Palladium added 2.2% to $2,025.60.

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Business

Fed Expected to Keep Rates Unchanged as Chair Powell Pivots Back to Economics

The New York Stock Exchange bell is seen from the trading floor in New York City (EPA)
The New York Stock Exchange bell is seen from the trading floor in New York City (EPA)
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Fed Expected to Keep Rates Unchanged as Chair Powell Pivots Back to Economics

The New York Stock Exchange bell is seen from the trading floor in New York City (EPA)
The New York Stock Exchange bell is seen from the trading floor in New York City (EPA)

After two weeks of intense political and legal scrutiny, the Federal Reserve will seek to make this week's meeting about interest rates as straightforward and uneventful as possible, though President Donald Trump probably still won't like the result.

The central bank's interest rate-setting committee is almost certain to keep its key short-term rate unchanged at about 3.6%, after three straight quarter-point cuts last year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said after December's meeting that they were “well positioned to wait to see how the economy evolves” before making any further moves.

When the Fed lowers its short-term rate, it can over time influence other borrowing costs for things like mortgages, auto loans and business borrowing, though those rates are also affected by market forces.

This week's meeting — one of eight the Fed holds each year — will be overshadowed by the bombshell revelation earlier this month that the Justice Department has subpoenaed the Fed as part of a criminal investigation into testimony Powell gave last June about a $2.5 billion building renovation. It's the first time a sitting Fed chair has been investigated, and prompted an unusually public rebuke from Powell.

Now, Powell will have to shift from a dispute with the White House to emphasizing that the Fed's decisions around interest rates are driven by economic concerns, not politics. Powell said Jan. 11 that the subpoenas were “pretexts” to punish the Fed for not cutting rates as sharply as Trump wants.

Powell will be "under even more pressure to underscore, ‘everything we’re doing here ... is all about the economics,’” said Claudia Sahm, a former Fed economist and chief economist at New Century Advisors. "'We didn’t think about the politics.'”

Michael Gapen, chief US economist at Morgan Stanley and also a former Fed staffer, said that despite the scrutiny, the Fed can be expected to consider its interest rate policies like it always does.

“The meetings have a regular flow to them,” he said. "There are presentations that are made, there are discussions that have to be had. ... Some of these other broader-based attacks on the Fed don't really come up."

Not long after the Justice Department's subpoenas, the Supreme Court last week considered whether Trump can fire Fed governor Lisa Cook over allegations of mortgage fraud, which she denies. No president has fired a governor in the Fed's 112-year history. During an oral argument, the justices appeared to be leaning toward allowing her to stay in her job until the case is resolved.

Other Fed officials have also signaled the central bank is likely to keep rates unchanged at their two-day meeting that ends Wednesday. The Fed's three rate cuts last year were intended to bolster the economy after hiring slowed sharply over the summer and fall in the wake of Trump's April tariffs on dozens of countries.

Yet the unemployment rate ticked lower in December, after picking up for much of last year, and there are other signs the job market may be stabilizing. The number of people seeking unemployment benefits has stayed historically low, a sign layoffs haven't spiked.

Meanwhile, inflation remains elevated and actually ticked higher last year, according to the Fed's preferred measure. Prices rose 2.8% in November from a year earlier, the latest data available. That is up from 2.6% in November 2024.

Unless businesses start cutting jobs or the unemployment rate rises, the Fed is unlikely to cut rates again for at least a few months, economists say. If inflation slowly declines this year, as economists expect, the Fed may cut again in the spring or summer. Wall Street investors expect just two quarter-point rate reductions this year, according to futures prices.

Many economists expect growth could pick up in the coming months, which would be another reason to forego rate cuts. Gapen estimates that tax refunds could be about 20% higher this spring than last year as the Trump administration's tax cuts take effect. Refunds could average $3,500, Gapen said.

The economy expanded at a 4.4% annual rate in last year's July-September quarter and may have grown at a similarly healthy pace in the final three months of last year. If such solid growth continues, Fed officials will likely wait to see if hiring picks up as well, further reducing the need for more rate cuts.

 

Business

Saudi GDP Surges to SAR 4.7 Trillion, More Than Doubling in Less Than a Decade

Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih speaks during the fourth annual Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, January 27, 2021. (Reuters)
Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih speaks during the fourth annual Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, January 27, 2021. (Reuters)
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Saudi GDP Surges to SAR 4.7 Trillion, More Than Doubling in Less Than a Decade

Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih speaks during the fourth annual Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, January 27, 2021. (Reuters)
Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih speaks during the fourth annual Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, January 27, 2021. (Reuters)

Saudi Minister of Investment Khalid Al-Falih said the Kingdom’s gross domestic product (GDP) rose to SAR 4.7 trillion ($1.25 trillion) by the end of 2024, up from SAR 2.6 trillion ($693 billion) in 2016, the year the Vision 2030 reform program was launched, representing growth of more than double in less than a decade.

Speaking at a government press conference in Riyadh on Monday, Al-Falih said the economic leap was not merely reflected in headline figures, but was underpinned by far-reaching reforms that strengthened the labor market and enhanced private-sector competitiveness.

The Saudi economy has created 800,000 new jobs, he said, highlighting the vitality of emerging sectors and their ability to generate employment opportunities.

He added that foreign investment had quadrupled by the end of 2024 and is expected to reach SAR 150 billion ($40 billion) in 2025.

Al-Falih said the number of Saudi investors has surpassed 1.86 million, which shows growing engagement in economic activity and the availability of growth incentives, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises.

He noted that the number of registered foreign investors has reached 62,000, while emphasizing that Saudi nationals remain the dominant participants in the business sector.

Moreover, the minister also revealed that more than 700 multinational companies had obtained licenses to establish regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia by the end of 2025.

Al-Falih highlighted significant progress in national workforce participation, noting that women’s contribution to the Saudi economy has doubled. He also pointed to an important indicator of job quality: average wages for Saudi nationals in the private sector have risen by 45 percent.

As part of its drive to diversify income sources, Al-Falih said Saudi Arabia has reduced its reliance on oil, with non-oil sectors accounting for 56 percent of the national economy for the first time in the Kingdom’s history, an indication that the country has begun to reap the benefits of Vision 2030.

Commenting on Saudi Arabia’s recent participation in the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Al-Falih said the Saudi economy had a strong and positive presence at a time when pessimism and uncertainty dominated many delegations’ views of the global economic outlook.

Business

Saudi Arabia Brings Global Leaders Together to Shape Future of Labor Markets

 Delegates attend the meeting bringing together 40 labor ministers (The Global Labor Market Conference). 
 Delegates attend the meeting bringing together 40 labor ministers (The Global Labor Market Conference). 
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Saudi Arabia Brings Global Leaders Together to Shape Future of Labor Markets

 Delegates attend the meeting bringing together 40 labor ministers (The Global Labor Market Conference). 
 Delegates attend the meeting bringing together 40 labor ministers (The Global Labor Market Conference). 

Under the patronage of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz, the third edition of the Global Labor Market Conference opened on Monday in Riyadh, bringing together labor ministers, policymakers and experts from around the world.

The event reflects Saudi Arabia’s growing role in steering global discussions on labor-market transformation and future economic challenges.

Held on Jan. 26–27, the conference serves as a high-level platform to address rapid technological change, artificial intelligence, shifting trade patterns, evolving skills systems and the need to build more resilient and sustainable labor markets. A central theme is youth empowerment, which is a key driver of future economic growth.

Opening the conference, Saudi Minister of Human Resources and Social Development Ahmed Al-Rajhi said global labor markets are undergoing unprecedented change driven by technological progress, demographic shifts and evolving skills requirements. He stressed the importance of international cooperation and deeper knowledge exchange to respond effectively to these transformations.

Al-Rajhi noted that the conference has moved beyond dialogue to developing practical, evidence-based solutions that strengthen labor-market readiness, particularly amid the accelerating adoption of digital technologies and AI.

He highlighted this year’s themes, including the impact of trade transformation on employment, informal economies, global skills systems, the effects of AI on jobs, employment during crises and the development of flexible labor markets, adding that the event aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 reform agenda.

On the sidelines of the conference, Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef emphasized the growing role of governments in establishing regulatory frameworks for emerging jobs, advanced technologies and evolving business models. He called for integrated systems that align efforts across government, the private sector, educational institutions and the workforce.

Alkhorayef said sustainable labor markets rest on three pillars: effective government policies, alignment between education outcomes and future labor needs, and individual readiness to compete globally. He added that Saudi Arabia faces not a shortage of jobs in industry and mining but a need for highly qualified talent, noting that the future of these sectors is closely linked to technology and advanced skills development.

Saudi Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb said tourism has been a key driver in reducing unemployment to record lows comparable with OECD and G20 levels. He added that the sector has created 250,000 jobs for Saudis since the launch of the National Tourism Strategy in 2019, raising total employment in tourism to more than one million by the end of last year. He also highlighted Vision 2030’s focus on economic diversification and people-centered development, noting that tourism is among the most attractive sectors for youth and women.

Mamta Murthi, Vice President for People at the World Bank Group, noted that workforce systems must evolve in line with rapid global economic shifts. She described Saudi Arabia’s cooperation with the World Bank as a model for translating evidence-based policies into tangible economic opportunities while supporting inclusive job growth.

Murthi highlighted persistent challenges in skills development, including mismatches between education and labor-market needs, outdated training programs and limited scalability of effective solutions, warning against supply-driven approaches disconnected from real market demand.

The ministerial meeting held within the framework of the conference, chaired by Al-Rajhi and attended by 40 labor ministers, alongside ILO Director-General Gilbert F. Houngbo, focused on aligning employment policies with future-readiness, sharing practical experiences and strengthening coherence in labor-market strategies.

The meeting concluded with agreement on six priority actions, including improving skills recognition and portability, promoting responsible use of AI, adapting social-protection systems to support career mobility, strengthening data-driven workforce planning and expanding pathways to first employment and re-entry into the labor market.

The first day also marked the graduation of the inaugural cohort of the Global Labor Market Academy, representing 34 countries.

Established in partnership with the World Bank and Takamol Holding, the academy combines in-person training with international knowledge exchange. With participation from 31 countries in the new cohort, the initiative now includes 50 countries and aims to expand to more than 75 by 2028, reinforcing a global model for turning policy dialogue into measurable impact.