China Encourages Dollar Buying to Slow Surging Yuan

Headquarters of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, is pictured in Beijing, China September 28, 2018. REUTERS/Jason Lee
Headquarters of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, is pictured in Beijing, China September 28, 2018. REUTERS/Jason Lee
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China Encourages Dollar Buying to Slow Surging Yuan

Headquarters of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, is pictured in Beijing, China September 28, 2018. REUTERS/Jason Lee
Headquarters of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, is pictured in Beijing, China September 28, 2018. REUTERS/Jason Lee

China's central bank (PBOC) moved to rein in the fast-rising yuan on Friday, scrapping risk reserves requirements for forex forward contracts in a move that would encourage dollar buying as exporters start to feel the pinch from a stronger currency.

The decision came after the yuan hit a near three-year high against the dollar on Thursday. It pulled back in Friday, pausing a sparkling rally largely driven by an unexpected boom in exports, according to Reuters.

China's currency is up more than 7% on the dollar since last April.

The PBOC's move, along with its weaker-than-expected setting of the currency's trading band on Friday, are the strongest pushback yet on the months-long rally.

“It means the PBOC is intervening as the yuan's appreciation is too fast,” said Yuan Tao, an analyst at Orient Futures.

But he said the measure will only slow the yuan's appreciation, expecting the dollar to remain weak.

The People's Bank of China said it would remove the reserve requirement of 20% on forex forward contracts from March 2, vowing to maintain the yuan's exchange rate at a “reasonable and balanced level.”

The move would “make it less punitive for market participants to bet against the yuan,” Maybank said in a note to clients.

“It is clear that PBOC wants the yuan appreciation pace to slow.”

Although a stronger yuan would make Chinese assets more appealing to foreigners and makes imports cheaper, it would hit Chinese exporters whose receipts are mostly settled in dollars.

On Friday, Beijing Ultrapower Software Co blamed yuan strength for contributing to its 28% plunge in 2025 profit, joining a growing list of corporate victims.

“The company's revenues are mainly settled in the dollar, so we swung to forex conversion losses” as the dollar fell, it said in a flash earnings statement.

Rush to Sell Dollar

The PBOC's move comes amid exporters' rush to sell dollars in both the spot and forwards market, while importers delay buying the greenback for payment.

That resulted in net forex inflows totaling $79.9 billion in January, the third biggest in history, according to official forex settlement data. That followed record inflows in December.

Liu Yang, general manager of the financial market business department at Zheshang Development Group, said in the near term the PBOC's latest move will release some pent-up demand for buying dollars through forwards, helping to balance market supply and demand.

But the mild nature of the measures suggests “the PBOC sees little risk of further yuan depreciation and still believes there is significant room for the currency to appreciate.”

Last year, the yuan posted its biggest annual gain against the dollar since 2020, and the upward momentum has continued into the new year as analysts expect another strong year for Chinese exports.

Chinese shippers have been able to find more buyers in markets outside the US after Washington ramped up tariffs, helping to offset weak domestic demand which is weighing on the economy.

Xu Tianchen, a senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said “the renminbi has been strong even as the dollar is largely stable, suggesting strong market conviction that it's undervalued.”

Highlighting the urgency for Chinese companies to embrace forex hedging, a growing number of listed companies say the stronger yuan is hurting their profits.

Suzhou Junchuang Auto Technoloies, whose sales are mostly settled in dollars, said on Wednesday the yuan's strength contributed to its 31% slump in 2025 profit.

Robot maker Ninebot, Shenzhen Hello Tech Energy Co and Shenzhen Hui chuang Da Technology also disclosed negative impacts from yuan appreciation.



Oil Prices Set for Swings Next Week as US-Israel Strikes Raise Supply Uncertainty

Markets are anticipating movements in oil prices after the American-Israeli attack on Iran (Reuters)
Markets are anticipating movements in oil prices after the American-Israeli attack on Iran (Reuters)
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Oil Prices Set for Swings Next Week as US-Israel Strikes Raise Supply Uncertainty

Markets are anticipating movements in oil prices after the American-Israeli attack on Iran (Reuters)
Markets are anticipating movements in oil prices after the American-Israeli attack on Iran (Reuters)

Oil markets currently closed for the weekend are set to see price swings next week as the impact from the US and Israeli strikes on oil supplies from the Middle East remains unclear.

Scenarios before the latest conflict with Iran foresaw a quick price spike that fades if the attacks didn't affect oil shipping and infrastructure such as Iranian pipelines and its Kharg island terminal. However, there would be a bigger price spike and longer-lasting impact if oil infrastructure or supplies were interrupted, for instance because of disruption of tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices have already risen on war fears. International benchmark Brent crude closed at a seven-month high of $72.87 on Friday, Reuters reported.

Iran exports some 1.6 million barrels of oil a day, most of it going to China, where privately owned refineries are less concerned about the US sanctions that prevent Iran from selling its oil elsewhere. If that supply is disrupted, Chinese customers would look elsewhere for oil on the global market, potentially driving up prices.

Another question is around the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global oil supply pass through each day. Middle East exporters Saudi Arabia, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates send most of their exports through the strait. However analysts say Iran has no incentive to try to close the strait because it would cut off its own exports and hurt its only big customer, China.

Limited strikes on Iran’s nuclear program and the Revolutionary Guard that avoid regime change or all-out war could see prices jump $5-$10 based on fear alone, according to Rystad Energy in a prewar scenario.

A wider war involving Iranian disruption of tanker traffic could see crude push past $90 per barrel and US gas prices “well above” $3 per gallon, according to another prewar scenario from Clayton Seigle at the Center for Strategic & International Studies. US gas prices averaged $2.98 per gallon last week according to US motoring club AAA.


Israel Shuts Down Gas Fields After US-Israel Strikes on Iran

The gas platform for Leviathan, Israel's largest gas field is seen from a helicopter near Haifa bay, northern Israel, August 1, 2023. REUTERS/Ari Rabinovitch
The gas platform for Leviathan, Israel's largest gas field is seen from a helicopter near Haifa bay, northern Israel, August 1, 2023. REUTERS/Ari Rabinovitch
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Israel Shuts Down Gas Fields After US-Israel Strikes on Iran

The gas platform for Leviathan, Israel's largest gas field is seen from a helicopter near Haifa bay, northern Israel, August 1, 2023. REUTERS/Ari Rabinovitch
The gas platform for Leviathan, Israel's largest gas field is seen from a helicopter near Haifa bay, northern Israel, August 1, 2023. REUTERS/Ari Rabinovitch

The Israeli Energy Ministry has ordered the temporary shutdown of parts of the country's natural gas reservoirs after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran on Saturday.

The Leviathan gas field offshore Israel, operated by Chevron has been shut down, three sources told Reuters. Energean’s production vessel that serves several Israeli fields has also been shut down, the company said in a statement.

Israel’s ministry said the decision was based on “the current situation and in accordance with security assessments”, Reuters reported.

It said country’s energy needs would be met through alternative sources and that the electricity sector was prepared to operate power stations using alternative fuels if necessary.


Emirati Firm Suspends Supplies from Major Iraq Gas Complex

Smoke rises following an Iranian drone attack on Erbil airport in Erbil, Iraq, 28 February 2026.EPA/GAILAN HAJI
Smoke rises following an Iranian drone attack on Erbil airport in Erbil, Iraq, 28 February 2026.EPA/GAILAN HAJI
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Emirati Firm Suspends Supplies from Major Iraq Gas Complex

Smoke rises following an Iranian drone attack on Erbil airport in Erbil, Iraq, 28 February 2026.EPA/GAILAN HAJI
Smoke rises following an Iranian drone attack on Erbil airport in Erbil, Iraq, 28 February 2026.EPA/GAILAN HAJI

Emirati company Dana Gas has suspended natural gas supplies from a major gas complex in northern Iraq amid the regional escalation, said authorities in Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region.

Kurdistan's electricity and natural resources ministries said in a statement that "due to the extraordinary circumstances and ongoing events in the region, and to protect employees at the Khor Mor field, Dana Gas has suspended natural gas exports to power plants".

The Khor Mor complex, which supplies most of Kurdistan's power stations, has been hit several times in recent years in attacks blamed on pro-Iran Iraqi groups.