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Inflation Woes and Firmer Dollar Drag Gold Lower as US-Iran Tensions Revive

A display of gold bars, each weighing 1000 grams, at a gold and silver refinery in Vienna (AFP)
A display of gold bars, each weighing 1000 grams, at a gold and silver refinery in Vienna (AFP)
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Inflation Woes and Firmer Dollar Drag Gold Lower as US-Iran Tensions Revive

A display of gold bars, each weighing 1000 grams, at a gold and silver refinery in Vienna (AFP)
A display of gold bars, each weighing 1000 grams, at a gold and silver refinery in Vienna (AFP)

Gold prices fell on Monday owing to a stronger US dollar and renewed inflation fears after another closure of the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices higher.

Spot gold was down 0.8% at $4,790.59 per ounce, as of 1103 GMT, after hitting its lowest since April 13 earlier in the session.

US gold futures for June delivery fell 1.4% to $4,811.

"Oil's surge after the weekend's chaotic events surrounding the Strait of Hormuz ensure that inflation risks remain palpable, offsetting gold's allure as a safe-haven asset. The precious metal has taken a backseat to the dollar's role as the preferred safe haven throughout the conflict so far," said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Bybit, Reuters reported.

"Barring meaningful and sustained de-escalations in the ongoing conflict, spot gold is expected to keep treading water in these sub-$5,000 levels."

The US said on Sunday that it had took over an Iranian cargo ship that tried to break through its blockade while Iran said it would retaliate, heightening fears of a resumption of hostilities.

Oil prices jumped around 5% on fears that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran could collapse and traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained largely halted.

The dollar index strengthened, making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies. Benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields gained, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Although gold is considered an inflation hedge and a safe haven during geopolitical and economic uncertainty, rising energy costs stemming from the war in Iran have stoked inflation concerns and pushed the yellow metal lower on expectations of monetary tightening by the US Federal Reserve.

"Nonetheless, gold retains the ability to extend its recent rebound as structural demand drivers persist. Central bank buying, de-dollarization and currency debasement trends may have faded but remain alive and can support bullion," said Nikos Tzabouras, senior market analyst at Jefferies-owned Tradu.com.

Among other metals, spot silver lost 2.1% to $79.07 per ounce, platinum fell 1.7% to $2,066.90, and palladium was down 1.6% at $1,533.64.

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Business

European Shares Slip as Hopes for US-Iran Peace Fade

The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, April 17, 2026. (Reuters)
The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, April 17, 2026. (Reuters)
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European Shares Slip as Hopes for US-Iran Peace Fade

The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, April 17, 2026. (Reuters)
The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, April 17, 2026. (Reuters)

European ‌shares declined on Monday, as hopes for peace in the Middle East ebbed with tensions reigniting after Washington seized an Iranian cargo ship that tried to run its blockade and Tehran vowed to retaliate.

Investors have grown increasingly jittery as the US-Iran ceasefire, set to expire Tuesday, appears fragile.

Iran rejected fresh peace talks with the US just hours after President Donald Trump said he would dispatch envoys to Pakistan ‌while threatening new ‌strikes unless Tehran accepts his terms.

The ‌pan-European ⁠STOXX 600 index ⁠was down 0.8% to 621.52 points as of 0717 GMT.

Major regional markets also fell, with France's CAC and Germany's DAX down 0.9% and 1%, respectively.

The uncertainty marks a sharp reversal from Friday's optimism, when the STOXX 600 jumped more than 1% and ⁠secured its fourth consecutive weekly gain after ‌Iran declared the Strait ‌of Hormuz open.

Energy shares gained 1.9% as crude prices ‌surged., while utilities and telecommunication stocks rose 0.7% and 0.2%, ‌respectively.

Travel and leisure sector led the declines, bearing, down 2%. Banks and automobile stocks dropped 1.8% each.

Among other movers, cash logistics company Loomis was top loser on the European ‌benchmark index after Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to "neutral" from "buy".

The setback in the ⁠Middle ⁠East conflict comes despite tentative signs of normalization at the Strait of Hormuz.

Although Iran has reimposed a closure of the critical waterway, Kpler data revealed more than 20 vessels carrying oil, metals, gas, and fertilizer passed through on Saturday - the busiest traffic day since March 1.

Elevated oil prices continue to weigh heavily on energy-dependent European economies, keeping investors cautious.

The strait is a conduit for one-fifth of global energy shipments. Brent crude futures advanced 5.3% to $95.19 a barrel after tumbling 9% on Friday.

Business

Saudi Central Bank Governor Says National Model Has Shielded Economy from Shocks

Saudi Central Bank Governor Ayman Alsayari. (International Monetary Fund)
Saudi Central Bank Governor Ayman Alsayari. (International Monetary Fund)
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Saudi Central Bank Governor Says National Model Has Shielded Economy from Shocks

Saudi Central Bank Governor Ayman Alsayari. (International Monetary Fund)
Saudi Central Bank Governor Ayman Alsayari. (International Monetary Fund)

Saudi Arabia’s economy has emerged as a model of resilience and crisis readiness, Central Bank Governor Ayman Alsayari said, citing steady progress under the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 reform agenda.

He stressed that continued implementation of the plan has helped protect the economy from regional shocks, underpinned by solid growth, contained inflation and prudent monetary and fiscal policies.

This strength, he noted, reflects decades of structural reforms and strategic investment in infrastructure and institutions, equipping the Kingdom with the capacity and flexibility to absorb shocks while sustaining investor and consumer confidence.

Addressing the International Monetary and Financial Committee of the International Monetary Fund, chaired by Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan, Alsayari highlighted the importance of Saudi Arabia’s diversified energy and trade infrastructure in maintaining supply flows under pressure.

He pointed to long-term investments such as the East-West pipeline, which runs to Red Sea ports in Yanbu, describing it as a vital artery for both Saudi exports and global energy supplies.

The ability to reroute exports and secure access to Red Sea ports and strategic facilities, he said, underscores the importance of long-term planning in preventing supply disruptions.

It also reinforces the need to treat energy security as integral to global financial stability, while avoiding policies that sideline the role of fossil fuels in sustaining trade and growth.

Alsayari warned that the war in the Middle East poses a serious test for the global economy and could revive conditions reminiscent of the stagflation era of the 1970s.

He welcomed progress on the “Diriyah Guiding Principles,” describing them as a milestone in efforts to reform IMF governance after nearly two decades of stagnation. The principles, reflecting the Diriyah Declaration, combine realism and ambition and provide a basis for strengthening the fund’s representation of the global economy.

Alsayari said that the step is essential to enabling the IMF to carry out its core functions in surveillance and lending, while keeping pace with technological shifts such as artificial intelligence and digital assets, and safeguarding the international monetary system against geopolitical risks and stagflation.

Saudi Arabia is translating its economic gains into tangible international support, including a $279 million pledge for IMF capacity development and the opening of a regional office in Riyadh to strengthen cooperation with countries in the region and beyond, Alsayari added.

He also cited platforms such as the AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies as tools to share expertise and advance reforms that support resilience and long-term growth.

Business

IEA Proposes Building Iraq-Türkiye Pipeline to Bypass Hormuz

A general view of oil tanks at Türkiye's Mediterranean port of Ceyhan, February 19, 2014. (Reuters)
A general view of oil tanks at Türkiye's Mediterranean port of Ceyhan, February 19, 2014. (Reuters)
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IEA Proposes Building Iraq-Türkiye Pipeline to Bypass Hormuz

A general view of oil tanks at Türkiye's Mediterranean port of Ceyhan, February 19, 2014. (Reuters)
A general view of oil tanks at Türkiye's Mediterranean port of Ceyhan, February 19, 2014. (Reuters)

International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol proposed building a new oil pipeline linking Iraq’s Basra oil fields and Türkiye’s Mediterranean oil terminal in Ceyhan to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, according to Turkish newspaper Hürriyet.

“I believe a Basra-Ceyhan pipeline could be extremely attractive and a very important project for both Iraq and Türkiye, as well as for regional supply security, especially from Europe’s perspective,” Birol said in an interview with the newspaper.

“I also believe the financing issue can be overcome. Now is exactly the right time.”

He said, “The vase has been broken once, and it is very difficult to fix,” referring to the Strait of Hormuz.

A new oil pipeline “is a necessity for Iraq and an opportunity for Türkiye. It is also a major opportunity for Europe in terms of supply security. I think this should be considered a strategic project,” Birol added.

The war on Iran has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the strategic choke point through which 20% of the world’s oil supply flows, bringing global economic pain in the form of higher prices for gasoline, fertilizer and other staples.

Iraq and Türkiye share the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline, a strategic corridor for transporting crude oil from northern Iraq to the Turkish port of Ceyhan, which began operation in 1976.

Iraq is seeking to rehabilitate the pipeline to overcome export problems, proposing to establish a new line from Basra to Ceyhan as a safe alternative to the Strait of Hormuz and to boost European energy security. On Sunday, Birol suggested building the new line.