OPEC Secretary General: Oil Demand to Remain Robust, No Change to Estimates

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
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OPEC Secretary General: Oil Demand to Remain Robust, No Change to Estimates

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)

OPEC expects robust oil demand growth and is not changing its estimates, Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on Thursday at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, despite the Middle East conflict and closure of the ⁠Strait of Hormuz.

"Despite ⁠all the commentary out there that oil demand is declining, we have not registered signs of that yet," ⁠Reuters quoted Al Ghais as saying.

"We still see robust demand growth at 1.2 million barrels a day for this year," he said.

He also said that investments in the oil industry should not be affected by "one-off events" that happen ⁠anywhere ⁠in the world.

"We need to invest well ahead of time to be prepared for the demand that we see in the future," he said.



Japan Records Trade Deficit as Oil Imports Soar Due to Mideast War

A person looks at an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)
A person looks at an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)
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Japan Records Trade Deficit as Oil Imports Soar Due to Mideast War

A person looks at an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)
A person looks at an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei index at a securities firm Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko)

Japan’s trade deficit reached 2.81 trillion yen ($17.8 billion) for the first fiscal half, according to government data released Wednesday, as the war in Iran sent oil import prices soaring.

The Finance Ministry’s preliminary data showed that Japan’s exports for the April-September period grew 18.4% from the same period the previous year to 63.5 trillion yen, while imports soared to 66.3 trillion yen, up 20.4% year-over-year.

Both were record highs for Japan. The soaring price of oil affects a wide range of sectors, including plastic goods and shipping costs.

Resource-poor Japan imports virtually all its oil and has relied on access to the Strait of Hormuz in the Middle East for its oil shipments. That’s now basically blocked, and Japan has had to pay more to get shipments from other routes.

Brent crude, the international standard, has soared from $70 a barrel in February to about $100 a barrel lately, after shooting up to above $110 a barrel in recent months. Analysts say prices are unlikely to ease soon.

For the month of September, Japan’s trade deficit totaled 536.6 billion yen, marking the fifth month of deficits, but down from 1.1 trillion yen in August.

Japan’s September imports grew 18.9% from the previous year, while exports rose 16.7%, The Associated Press reported.

One sore point is the weakening yen, which drives up the cost of imports. The US dollar is lately trading at 150-yen levels.

The central bank, which kept borrowing costs at below or near zero for years to help keep a shaky economy going, has been gradually raising interest rates, in part to prop up the yen.

Last month, the Bank of Japan raised the benchmark interest rate to 1.25% from 1.0%, a 31-year high. Its monetary policy board meets again next week. The bank has an inflation target of about 2%.

The Japanese government has repeatedly stressed it’s working closely with the Bank of Japan. The government of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is promising a tax cut on food to 1% from 8% to help lower-income families cope with soaring prices. That bill is now being debated in Parliament.


Saudi Railways Carry 40.9 Million Passengers in Q3 2026

The King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) Station on the Riyadh Metro. (Siemens Mobility)
The King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) Station on the Riyadh Metro. (Siemens Mobility)
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Saudi Railways Carry 40.9 Million Passengers in Q3 2026

The King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) Station on the Riyadh Metro. (Siemens Mobility)
The King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) Station on the Riyadh Metro. (Siemens Mobility)

Saudi Arabia's railways transported more than 40.9 million passengers and 3.9 million tons of freight and 46,300 containers in the third quarter of 2026, according to the Transport General Authority (TGA).

Meanwhile, Riyadh is moving to expand the capacity of its metro system, supplying 27 new driverless trains and 52 additional carriages for the Riyadh Metro.

In its quarterly report, TGA said passenger numbers rose compared with the same period last year, reflecting growing demand for rail travel in the Kingdom.

Intra-city rail services carried 38.3 million passengers, including 30.4 million on Riyadh Metro, seven million on the King Abdulaziz International Airport Automated Train, and about 911,200 on the Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University line.

The TGA report added that intercity services carried more than 2.5 million passengers. The Haramain High Speed Railway, linking Makkah and Madinah via Jeddah, King Abdulaziz International Airport, and King Abdullah Economic City, carried over 1.9 million.

Saudi Arabia Railways' Eastern Network, connecting Riyadh, Abqaiq, Hofuf, and Dammam, served about 393,900, and its Northern Network, linking Riyadh, Al-Majmaah, Qassim, Hail, Al-Jouf, and Al-Qurayyat, carried 258,600.

Siemens Mobility to supply new trains for Riyadh Metro

Germany's Siemens Mobility has signed a contract with the Royal Commission for Riyadh City (RCRC) to supply 27 new driverless trains and 52 additional carriages for the Riyadh Metro.

Each new train will comprise four carriages, while the additional carriages will be used to expand the capacity of existing two-carriage trains.

The expansion is aimed at increasing passenger capacity on the metro's Blue and Red lines, also known as Lines 1 and 2, to meet growing public transport demand in the Saudi capital.

All vehicles will be built on the proven design of the current Riyadh Metro fleet, ensuring seamless integration and full system compatibility.

“This fleet expansion marks an important step in strengthening Riyadh’s public transport network,” said Frank Hagemeier, Managing Director, Siemens Mobility Saudi Arabia.

“By delivering state-of-the-art, driverless trains for Lines 1 and 2, we are supporting the Royal Commission for Riyadh City in operating a reliable, high-capacity metro system for millions of people every day,” Hagemeier said, adding that Siemens Mobility is proud to contribute to a system that strengthens sustainable mobility and supports the Kingdom’s long-term vision to enhance the daily life of residents.


Goldman Says High Freight Costs Pose Upside Risk to its Brent Forecast

A drone view shows fuel vessels docked at the Baniyas oil terminal in Baniyas, Syria, October 12, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
A drone view shows fuel vessels docked at the Baniyas oil terminal in Baniyas, Syria, October 12, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
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Goldman Says High Freight Costs Pose Upside Risk to its Brent Forecast

A drone view shows fuel vessels docked at the Baniyas oil terminal in Baniyas, Syria, October 12, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
A drone view shows fuel vessels docked at the Baniyas oil terminal in Baniyas, Syria, October 12, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri

The global average crude freight rate remains seven times higher than a year ago and is unlikely to fall sharply while the Middle East conflict persists, posing some upside risk to Goldman Sachs' Brent price forecast, the bank said in a note dated Tuesday.

The global average crude freight rate surged above $20/bbl from $3/bbl a year ago, with rates on Middle Eastern routes rising above $35/bbl, the bank said.

According to Reuters, Goldman said the war-risk premium for ⁠crossing the Strait of ⁠Hormuz and ship-to-ship transfers account for more than half of the year-over-year increase in global crude freight rates.

Higher freight rates are expanding differentials between crude grades by altering trade patterns and lending support to prices for ⁠refined products, but weighing on refiners' net margins, the bank said.

The bank said a rebound in Gulf crude exports may ease crude prices but push up freight rates if ship-to-ship transfers are driving the export increase.

Goldman said even in its baseline scenario of Brent falling to $90/bbl by year-end and averaging $80/bbl in 2027, Gulf production recovery and stable exports would still ⁠require ship-to-ship transfers ⁠in the absence of reliable navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.

The bank sees upside risk to its Brent forecast from prolonged elevated freight rates along with the potential for more intense attacks on shipping, damage to oil infrastructure and a stickier geopolitical risk premium.

A lack of progress in restoring Middle Eastern refined product exports suggests that bunker fuel supplies may remain tight for longer, it added.