A Year After Restructuring, Petro Rabigh Posts $709 Million Profit

Engineers are seen at a Petro Rabigh facility. (Petro Rabigh on X)
Engineers are seen at a Petro Rabigh facility. (Petro Rabigh on X)
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A Year After Restructuring, Petro Rabigh Posts $709 Million Profit

Engineers are seen at a Petro Rabigh facility. (Petro Rabigh on X)
Engineers are seen at a Petro Rabigh facility. (Petro Rabigh on X)

Just one year after facing financial challenges that forced a capital restructuring, the Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company (Petro Rabigh) has returned to posting billions of riyals in profits. This turnaround raises questions regarding the sustainability of the recovery following a period of operational pressures and accumulated losses.

Petro Rabigh achieved a turnaround in its financial performance during the second quarter of 2026, recording a net profit of 2.66 billion riyals ($709.3 million), compared to losses of 1.37 billion riyals ($365.3 million) during the same period last year.

Petro Rabigh's stock reacted positively to the financial results announcement, rising by about 5 percent to 16.01 riyals during trading, while also recording gains of approximately 117.53 percent over a year, supported by the improvement in the company's performance.

Improved operations support return to profitability

The improvement came less than a year after the company launched a capital restructuring plan to address accumulated losses that had reached 7.3 billion riyals ($1.95 billion) by the end of June 2025, which at the time represented 43.9 percent of its capital.

The company's results, announced on the Saudi Exchange (Tadawul), showed that second-quarter profits rose by 81.5 percent compared to the 1.47 billion riyals ($392 million) recorded in the first quarter of this year.

The company attributed this turnaround to higher plant operating rates, increased sales volume, and improved margins on refined and petrochemical products, supported by favorable market conditions and supply-demand imbalances in global markets during the quarter, alongside lower financing costs resulting from the early repayment of certain long-term loans and a decline in reference interest rates.

The results for the second quarter of 2025 had been impacted by comprehensive periodic maintenance work that lasted about 60 days, which at the time led to decreased production and sales, causing the company to incur significant losses.

Petro Rabigh recorded revenues of 20.37 billion riyals ($5.43 billion) during the second quarter of 2026, compared to 3.95 billion riyals ($1.05 billion) in the same period of the previous year, representing a 416 percent increase.

For the first half of this year, the company swung to profitability, posting a net profit of 4.13 billion riyals ($1.10 billion), compared to losses of 2.06 billion riyals ($549.3 million) during the same period in 2025.

Capital restructuring to address losses

The company had embarked during the past year on implementing a capital restructuring plan, which includes an injection of 5.26 billion riyals ($1.4 billion) from major shareholders Saudi Aramco and Sumitomo Chemical to reduce debt and strengthen the financial position, alongside accounting measures to address accumulated losses without cancelling shareholder shares.

A Petro Rabigh facility. (Petro Rabigh on X)

The primary driver of the turnaround

Mohammed Al Farraj, Senior Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that Petro Rabigh's recent financial results reflect the beginning of a tangible turnaround toward recovery after years of financial and operational pressures.

The return to profitability resulted from a combination of improved operational efficiency and financial support linked to the restructuring, he noted.

Al Farraj explained that the operational side was the primary driver of the improvement, driven by higher operating, production, and sales rates following the completion of periodic maintenance, alongside an enhanced product mix.

He pointed out that the refining sector's contribution to revenue rose to approximately 77 percent, compared to about 71 percent previously, while the petrochemical sector's contribution fell to around 23 percent.

Lower financing costs and the restructuring of liabilities provided additional support to the net profit, he remarked, stressing that the sustainability of the improvement will depend on the company's ability to achieve recurring operating profits and enhance cash flows, rather than solely benefiting from favorable market conditions.

Sustainability of profits

Dr. Hussein Al-Attas stated that Petro Rabigh's shift to profitability represents a positive development and an indicator of improved operational performance, but it does not constitute conclusive evidence of sustainable profitability at this stage.

He explained that higher plant operating rates and increased sales volumes reflect a genuine operational improvement.

Al-Attas added that the company also benefited from cyclical factors related to improved refining and petrochemical margins, which are influenced by global market cycles.

Judging the sustainability of performance requires monitoring the company's ability to maintain high operating levels and generate positive cash flows, even if market conditions change, he went on to say.

Investor confidence

Regarding the accumulated losses and capital restructuring file, Al-Attas explained that achieving more than 4 billion riyals in profits during the first half represents an important step in the right direction, but does not mean that the challenges have completely ended, as the company is still required to strengthen its financial structure, reduce debt, and maintain operational cash flows.

On the company's stock, Al-Attas said that the markets are expected to receive the results positively as an indicator of the success of the corrective measures.

However, investors will focus on Petro Rabigh's ability to replicate these results over the coming quarters, as the sustainability of profits will be the decisive factor in re-evaluating the stock and boosting investor confidence, he added.

The shift to profitability during the first half of this year points to a noticeable improvement in the company's financial position compared to the period that drove it to launch the restructuring plan, at a time when investors are monitoring the sustainability of this improvement over the coming quarters.



France Lowers Growth Forecast, Will Miss Deficit Target

French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure gestures as he speaks during a press conference to update the governments growth and fiscal deficit forecasts for the 2027 budget, at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, September 11, 2026. REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq
French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure gestures as he speaks during a press conference to update the governments growth and fiscal deficit forecasts for the 2027 budget, at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, September 11, 2026. REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq
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France Lowers Growth Forecast, Will Miss Deficit Target

French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure gestures as he speaks during a press conference to update the governments growth and fiscal deficit forecasts for the 2027 budget, at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, September 11, 2026. REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq
French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure gestures as he speaks during a press conference to update the governments growth and fiscal deficit forecasts for the 2027 budget, at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, September 11, 2026. REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq

France's economy will grow less than expected this year and the government will miss its budget deficit target, Finance Minister Roland Lescure said on Friday.

The downgraded outlook complicates the government's task of getting its 2027 budget passed in the coming months in a deeply divided parliament, where parties have hardened their positions before an April-May two-round presidential election.

Lescure told journalists he was lowering the government's 2026 economic growth forecast to 0.5% from 0.7% previously, but stuck with a ⁠projection of 1.0% ⁠for next year.

"This year has been marked by extreme crises involving four different types of shocks," Lescure told reporters, according to Reuters.

Slower growth will make it more difficult for the government to trim its fiscal budget deficit as planned to 5.0% of economic output this year.

"The ⁠reality is that the budget was built on a 5% assumption. And the reality is that, today, 5% is no longer an option," Lescure said.

The minister did not give a new deficit target.

The economic fallout from the war in the Middle East and summer heatwaves and drought that hit agriculture output have dragged down growth and put the government's fiscal targets out of reach.

"I think it is reasonable to say that economic ⁠uncertainty has ⁠never been greater than it is today," Lescure said. "We are operating under tight budgetary constraints; there is no more fat to trim."

Further complicating the picture, French borrowing rates have surged in recent weeks as investors have identified France as one of the weaker links in a global bond selloff due to its weak public finances and serial slippage on its deficit-reduction plans.

Lescure stressed that France had no difficulties in issuing debt, but acknowledged that it now cost more.


ECB Policymakers Open Door to More Rate Hikes on Energy Risk

The logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) is pictured outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, April 26, 2018. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
The logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) is pictured outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, April 26, 2018. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
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ECB Policymakers Open Door to More Rate Hikes on Energy Risk

The logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) is pictured outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, April 26, 2018. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
The logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) is pictured outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, April 26, 2018. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo

Two European Central Bank policymakers opened the door on Friday to further interest rate increases if a war-fueled rise in energy prices continues and pushes up other prices in the euro zone.

The ECB raised borrowing costs on Thursday for the second time this year and sources told Reuters policymakers expect further policy tightening in the months ahead, with a move possible as early ⁠as October.

The central ⁠bankers of Germany and Estonia acknowledged this prospect on Friday although they both stressed any move would depend on how oil and gas prices develop.

Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said the ECB might need to raise rates to a level that mildly curbs the economy.

"I will not exclude that we have to ⁠go into the mild restrictive territory, but as I said, it's very much dependent on how the energy prices evolve, how the price picture is evolving over the course of maybe the next month," he told CNBC in an interview, according to Reuters.

The euro zone central bank increased its key rate from 2.25% to 2.50%, bringing it to the upper end of its estimated neutral range, which neither stimulates nor slows down the economy.

Money markets have started pricing in at least another three ECB rate hikes over the next ⁠year.

Ülo Kaasik, ⁠Estonia's central bank governor, said such expectations were "understandable" given the latest increase in fuel prices and the risk that food would also become more expensive.

"Recent developments in energy markets, for example, indicate the possibility that the price increase for gas and fuels will be much larger and last longer than expected in the forecast," he said in a blog post.

Slovenia's central bank governor Primož Dolenc also warned in a blog post about "rising energy and electricity costs in the autumn and winter months".

The ECB on Thursday slightly increased its projections for growth and inflation but these did not capture the latest energy price moves.


Dollar Holds Gains, Yen Slips as Middle East Energy Shock Deepens

14 January 2020, Iraq, Baghdad: US dollar banknotes are pictured at a currency exchange service provider. (dpa)
14 January 2020, Iraq, Baghdad: US dollar banknotes are pictured at a currency exchange service provider. (dpa)
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Dollar Holds Gains, Yen Slips as Middle East Energy Shock Deepens

14 January 2020, Iraq, Baghdad: US dollar banknotes are pictured at a currency exchange service provider. (dpa)
14 January 2020, Iraq, Baghdad: US dollar banknotes are pictured at a currency exchange service provider. (dpa)

The dollar held near its highest levels of the past week in Asian trading on Friday as renewed fears of energy supply disruptions in the Middle East pushed up bond yields and oil prices.

The US dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading flat at 99.084, after strengthening to its highest level since September 7 during the previous session. The rise followed the release of data showing US producer prices increased 0.4% in August, meeting market expectations as energy prices rebounded during the month.

"The safe-haven US dollar gained on risk-aversion flows, helped by higher energy prices that have lifted the chance of a Fed hike next week to 70%," said ‌Tony Sycamore, market ‌analyst at IG in Sydney.

Energy prices snapped a five-day gaining streak, with Brent crude ‌futures ⁠down 0.6% at $106.99 ⁠a barrel in Asian trade.

But both major benchmarks remained above the $100 mark earlier this week, with WTI futures surging across the threshold on Thursday for the first time since May 21.

Against the yen, the US dollar was down 0.2% at 154.105 yen and on track for its second consecutive week of declines, while the euro slipped 0.2% to 178.99 yen after the European Central Bank hiked interest rates on Thursday for the second time this year.

The Japanese currency regained ⁠some strength after data released on Friday showed wholesale inflation rose 7.6% in August ‌from a year earlier, bolstering the case for a rate ‌hike this month.

The Bank of Japan is set to raise interest rates next week, most likely by 25 basis points, and ‌may signal faster future tightening if price pressures heighten risks of an inflation overshoot, four sources familiar with ‌its thinking told Reuters.

The kiwi dollar was up 0.5% at $0.5827, retracing a selloff on Thursday that has put the currency on track for its third week of declines. New Zealand's 10-year government bond yields rose by 15.5 basis points to 5.06% on Friday, extending the biggest two-day jump in borrowing costs since last year's "Liberation Day" selloff.

"New Zealand seems to have been hit harder ‌than most in the latest leg of the bond market sell-off," said Thomas Mathews, head of markets for Asia Pacific at Capital Economics in Wellington.

The Australian dollar ⁠was up 0.2% at $0.7167.

Both ⁠the euro and the British pound were level against the dollar at $1.1609 and $1.3503, respectively.

PRESSURE BUILDS ON FEDERAL RESERVE

Markets are awaiting the release of US CPI later on Friday, one of the last major economic data points released before the Federal Reserve meets next week.

Fed funds futures are pricing an implied 71.1% probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the US central bank's next two-day meeting ending on September 16, compared with a 61.2% chance in the previous trading session, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Fixed-income markets remained uneasy after the US Treasury Department tripled the size of its long-dated bond repurchase, with a gauge of bond volatility rising to its highest level in a month. The yield on US 10-year government bonds was up 1.5 basis points at 4.957%.

"10-year US Treasury yields are within striking distance of 5%, as the markets have reassessed the Fed's path higher while term premium is appropriately hovering near pre-GFC levels," Barclays analysts wrote. "We remain of the view that bonds are not cheap yet and catalysts for a rally do not appear imminent."

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was down 0.2% at $77,094.41 while ether was 0.1% lower at $2,457.96.