London Copper Climbs as Tight Supply, Falling Oil Offer Support

TOPSHOT - Artisanal miners pass bags of copper ore to one another in a human chain inside the 110-meter-deep mine shaft in Kolwezi on September 27, 2026. (Photo by MARIE RUWET / AFP)
TOPSHOT - Artisanal miners pass bags of copper ore to one another in a human chain inside the 110-meter-deep mine shaft in Kolwezi on September 27, 2026. (Photo by MARIE RUWET / AFP)
TT

London Copper Climbs as Tight Supply, Falling Oil Offer Support

TOPSHOT - Artisanal miners pass bags of copper ore to one another in a human chain inside the 110-meter-deep mine shaft in Kolwezi on September 27, 2026. (Photo by MARIE RUWET / AFP)
TOPSHOT - Artisanal miners pass bags of copper ore to one another in a human chain inside the 110-meter-deep mine shaft in Kolwezi on September 27, 2026. (Photo by MARIE RUWET / AFP)

London copper recouped some of the previous week's losses on Monday, supported by supply concerns and lower oil prices, as talks to end the US-Israeli war on Iran continued.

Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was up 0.73% at $14,258.5 a metric ton by 0700 GMT. The most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange edged 0.27% lower to 108,720 yuan ($16,354.53) a ton, reported Reuters.

An inflow of stocks into US warehouses ‌ahead of ‌a potential tariff on imports of refined ‌copper ⁠has created regional bottlenecks ⁠and generated supply fears.

Chile's copper commission Cochilco on Friday sharply lowered its 2026 output forecast from the world's largest copper producer.

In China, the world's biggest consumer, tight supply had the closely watched Yangshan premium <SMM-CUYP-CN> end last week at $200 a ton, near its highest level in ⁠over a decade.

The premium shows good demand ‌for imported copper into China, ‌with inventories in SHFE-monitored warehouses <CU-STX-SGH> down more than 75% in ‌the last six months.

"Underlying fundamentals remain supportive, with ‌signs of tightness still evident across the physical market," analysts from ING said in a note.

Oil prices fell as Iranian and Qatari officials, who are acting as mediators, held a third straight ‌day of talks to end the Iran war.

Lower oil prices could ease the pressure ⁠on economic activity ⁠and on demand for growth-sensitive industrial metals such as copper. Concerns around high oil prices helped make October the first month since June that copper prices fell.

The US dollar index fell ahead of the US midterms, supporting greenback-denominated commodities by making them cheaper for buyers using other currencies.

Among LME metals, aluminium dipped 0.15%, zinc ticked 0.14% higher, lead fell 0.21%, nickel rose 1.5% and tin gained 0.68%.

On the SHFE, aluminium lost 0.93%, zinc fell 1.01%, lead dropped 0.59%, nickel lost 0.5% and tin lost 1.4%.



Trump Floats ‘Concept’ of US-Canada Deal That Includes Pipeline Talking to Carney

President Donald Trump greets Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney during a summit to support ending the more than two-year Israel-Hamas war in Gaza after a breakthrough ceasefire deal, Oct. 13, 2025, in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt. (AP)
President Donald Trump greets Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney during a summit to support ending the more than two-year Israel-Hamas war in Gaza after a breakthrough ceasefire deal, Oct. 13, 2025, in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt. (AP)
TT

Trump Floats ‘Concept’ of US-Canada Deal That Includes Pipeline Talking to Carney

President Donald Trump greets Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney during a summit to support ending the more than two-year Israel-Hamas war in Gaza after a breakthrough ceasefire deal, Oct. 13, 2025, in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt. (AP)
President Donald Trump greets Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney during a summit to support ending the more than two-year Israel-Hamas war in Gaza after a breakthrough ceasefire deal, Oct. 13, 2025, in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt. (AP)

US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that his administration has the "concept" of a new trade deal with Canada while Prime Minister Mark Carney said the two leaders had a good conversation on the future of trade between their countries.

"I spoke to him again yesterday, and we have the concept of a deal that's going to be great for our farmers, great for our country, and we'll be fine for that," Trump told reporters in Dubuque, Iowa.

Carney earlier on Sunday posted on social media that their exchange "builds on recent constructive ‌discussions on the outlines ‌of a mutually beneficial trade deal" that would create jobs, improve ‌affordability, ⁠and fully respect ⁠Canada’s languages, culture, and sovereignty.

"Our teams will now be working in the coming weeks to deliver that outcome," Carney wrote on X.

Canada and the United States have slapped billions of dollars in tariffs on each other in recent months. The imposition of tariffs on Canada has emerged as an issue in some northern US border states like Michigan and Maine before US midterm elections on Tuesday.

Trump said last week that a trade deal with Canada was coming soon, but Ottawa had previously reported limited ⁠progress in trade talks, despite efforts to ease tariffs on steel ‌and autos.

Trump said the scope of an agreement would include ‌the Keystone XL pipeline project that he supports, though it was not immediately clear how the project would ‌be revived. Former President Joe Biden in 2021 revoked a key permit for the project, which ‌was a private sector initiative.

"They're going to build the Keystone Pipeline," Trump said on Sunday. "They're going to pay for it. ... We're going to give them the route, and it's largely been determined."

A spokesperson for Dominic LeBlanc, Canada's minister responsible for trade with the US, had no further comment on Sunday evening beyond Carney's ‌remarks.

Trump said in August that the pipeline "may be awoken from the grave." The proposed pipeline would have carried 830,000 barrels per day of ⁠oil from the ⁠oil sands of northern Alberta to the major US storage hub at Cushing, Oklahoma, and then on to Gulf Coast refineries.

Canada, the world's fourth-largest oil exporter, sends more than 90% of its crude oil production to the US.

The company behind Keystone XL, Canada's TC Energy, lost billions when the pipeline was canceled. It later spun off its crude pipelines business into a new entity, South Bow, which has proposed a new pipeline project called Prairie Connector, in partnership with US company Bridger Pipeline.

The 550,000-barrel-per-day project would run from Alberta to Wyoming and would use some of the Keystone XL pipe that had been installed on the Canadian side of the border before that project was canceled. South Bow has said it will decide whether or not to go ahead with Prairie Connector in 2027.

South Bow was not immediately available for comment. A spokesperson for Canadian Energy Minister Tim Hodgson declined comment.


London Copper Climbs as Tight Supply, Falling Oil Offer Support

TOPSHOT - Artisanal miners pass bags of copper ore to one another in a human chain inside the 110-meter-deep mine shaft in Kolwezi on September 27, 2026. (Photo by MARIE RUWET / AFP)
TOPSHOT - Artisanal miners pass bags of copper ore to one another in a human chain inside the 110-meter-deep mine shaft in Kolwezi on September 27, 2026. (Photo by MARIE RUWET / AFP)
TT

London Copper Climbs as Tight Supply, Falling Oil Offer Support

TOPSHOT - Artisanal miners pass bags of copper ore to one another in a human chain inside the 110-meter-deep mine shaft in Kolwezi on September 27, 2026. (Photo by MARIE RUWET / AFP)
TOPSHOT - Artisanal miners pass bags of copper ore to one another in a human chain inside the 110-meter-deep mine shaft in Kolwezi on September 27, 2026. (Photo by MARIE RUWET / AFP)

London copper recouped some of the previous week's losses on Monday, supported by supply concerns and lower oil prices, as talks to end the US-Israeli war on Iran continued.

Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was up 0.73% at $14,258.5 a metric ton by 0700 GMT. The most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange edged 0.27% lower to 108,720 yuan ($16,354.53) a ton, reported Reuters.

An inflow of stocks into US warehouses ‌ahead of ‌a potential tariff on imports of refined ‌copper ⁠has created regional bottlenecks ⁠and generated supply fears.

Chile's copper commission Cochilco on Friday sharply lowered its 2026 output forecast from the world's largest copper producer.

In China, the world's biggest consumer, tight supply had the closely watched Yangshan premium <SMM-CUYP-CN> end last week at $200 a ton, near its highest level in ⁠over a decade.

The premium shows good demand ‌for imported copper into China, ‌with inventories in SHFE-monitored warehouses <CU-STX-SGH> down more than 75% in ‌the last six months.

"Underlying fundamentals remain supportive, with ‌signs of tightness still evident across the physical market," analysts from ING said in a note.

Oil prices fell as Iranian and Qatari officials, who are acting as mediators, held a third straight ‌day of talks to end the Iran war.

Lower oil prices could ease the pressure ⁠on economic activity ⁠and on demand for growth-sensitive industrial metals such as copper. Concerns around high oil prices helped make October the first month since June that copper prices fell.

The US dollar index fell ahead of the US midterms, supporting greenback-denominated commodities by making them cheaper for buyers using other currencies.

Among LME metals, aluminium dipped 0.15%, zinc ticked 0.14% higher, lead fell 0.21%, nickel rose 1.5% and tin gained 0.68%.

On the SHFE, aluminium lost 0.93%, zinc fell 1.01%, lead dropped 0.59%, nickel lost 0.5% and tin lost 1.4%.


Turkish Manufacturing Contracts in October at Fastest Pace Since June, PMI Shows

 People walk past displayed items in a clothes shop at Eminonu commercial area, in Istanbul, Türkiye, Thursday, March 26, 2026. (AP)
People walk past displayed items in a clothes shop at Eminonu commercial area, in Istanbul, Türkiye, Thursday, March 26, 2026. (AP)
TT

Turkish Manufacturing Contracts in October at Fastest Pace Since June, PMI Shows

 People walk past displayed items in a clothes shop at Eminonu commercial area, in Istanbul, Türkiye, Thursday, March 26, 2026. (AP)
People walk past displayed items in a clothes shop at Eminonu commercial area, in Istanbul, Türkiye, Thursday, March 26, 2026. (AP)

Türkiye's manufacturing sector ‌contracted in October at the fastest pace since June as sharper declines in output and new orders weighed on activity, a business survey showed on Monday.

The headline Istanbul Chamber of Industry Türkiye Manufacturing PMI, compiled by S&P Global, fell to 47.3 in October from 47.9 in September.

The 50 mark separates growth ‌from contraction.

"The ‌economic environment facing Turkish ‌manufacturers ⁠is such that they ⁠continued to find it difficult to generate growth as the final quarter of the year began," said Andrew Harker, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Output was cut for a fifth ⁠straight month and at the fastest ‌pace in four ‌months, while new orders fell for a ‌40th consecutive month. The decline in new ‌business was the sharpest since July, with export orders also continuing to soften.

Manufacturers reduced headcount again, but the pace of job shedding ‌eased for a second month and was the weakest since ⁠June.

Input costs and output prices both rose sharply, though their inflation rates eased from September. S&P Global said 29% of respondents reported higher input prices, citing oil, raw materials and exchange rate weakness.

Manufacturers still expected output to rise over the coming year, but confidence slipped to a three-month low. Suppliers' delivery times lengthened again, extending a run of monthly deterioration to a full year.