Nike Trips as Forecast of Another Sales Decline Dims Quick Turnaround Hopes 

Nike shoes are seen displayed at a sporting goods store in New York City, New York, US, May 14, 2019. (Reuters)
Nike shoes are seen displayed at a sporting goods store in New York City, New York, US, May 14, 2019. (Reuters)
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Nike Trips as Forecast of Another Sales Decline Dims Quick Turnaround Hopes 

Nike shoes are seen displayed at a sporting goods store in New York City, New York, US, May 14, 2019. (Reuters)
Nike shoes are seen displayed at a sporting goods store in New York City, New York, US, May 14, 2019. (Reuters)

Nike shares slipped nearly 6% premarket on Friday after the sportswear giant warned of another quarter of sales decline, leaving some investors worried about the pace of a crucial turnaround under new CEO Elliott Hill.

The company on Thursday forecast a steeper-than-expected drop in fourth-quarter revenue and also reported a 17% slump in China quarterly sales amid weaker discretionary spending in the country.

Hill - who took on the role in October to help the sportswear maker regain lost market share - has laid out what he called a "Win Now" strategy, which includes boosting on-the-ground presence in five key cities including Shanghai and Beijing.

"It is too early to be confident in the turnaround," Sheraz Mian, director of research at Zacks Investment Research, said.

The new management will take time to rebuild relations with other retailers that were weakened by its focus on selling directly via its stores and website and develop a more compelling line of products, he said.

Nike shares are down about 11% since Hill's CEO announcement in September, giving up all the gains following his appointment.

To be sure, Hill has fast-tracked certain sneaker launches such as Pegasus premium and Vomero 18 that helped lift sales in the reported third quarter. Still, Nike is working to move past the previous management's strategy missteps that led to a lack of innovation for its product lines.

Nike's Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said the company would take "several quarters" to clear out its dated stock, which would involve margin-hitting discounts.

"Nike is emerging from quite a deep hole from prior management in terms of excess inventory, lack of innovation and brand equity, which we expect will take multiple seasons to correct," Barclays analyst Adrienne Yih said.

Analysts at Barclays also projected that the earliest they foresee a turnaround is in the second half of Nike's fiscal year ending May 2026.

The company's forward price-to-earnings ratio for the next 12 months, a benchmark for valuing stocks, was 30.08, compared with 17.33 for Deckers and 25.91 for Adidas.

"We continue to like the recovery story but don't expect to see much short-term progress," Bernstein analysts said.



Analysts: Shein's Planned Hong Kong Listing to Benefit from Wider Capital Pool

FILE PHOTO: A company logo for fashion brand Shein is seen on a rail of clothing on its Christmas bus as part of a nationwide promotional tour in Liverpool, Britain, December 14, 2024. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A company logo for fashion brand Shein is seen on a rail of clothing on its Christmas bus as part of a nationwide promotional tour in Liverpool, Britain, December 14, 2024. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File Photo
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Analysts: Shein's Planned Hong Kong Listing to Benefit from Wider Capital Pool

FILE PHOTO: A company logo for fashion brand Shein is seen on a rail of clothing on its Christmas bus as part of a nationwide promotional tour in Liverpool, Britain, December 14, 2024. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A company logo for fashion brand Shein is seen on a rail of clothing on its Christmas bus as part of a nationwide promotional tour in Liverpool, Britain, December 14, 2024. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File Photo

Shein's planned listing in Hong Kong will help the online fast-fashion retailer avoid sharp investor scrutiny of its supply chains while tapping into capital from the mainland and emerging market investors, analysts said.

The Singapore-headquartered company has turned its public market debut ambitions to Hong Kong after failing to win Chinese securities regulatory approval to proceed with a London initial public offering, Reuters reported last month, citing sources.

While a listing, if successful, would be a big boost for Hong Kong, the move would cast a cloud over the company's efforts in recent years to gain legitimacy as a global, rather than a Chinese company. Shein, which sells products including $5 bike shorts and $18 sundresses, has faced political and environmental group pressure in the UK over its cotton sourcing and supply chain practices.

It has also faced allegations that its clothes contain cotton from China's Xinjiang region, where the US and NGOs have accused the Chinese government of human rights abuses and forced labor. Beijing denies any abuses.

The company, which moved its headquarters from China to Singapore in 2022, has previously said it has a zero-tolerance policy for forced labor and requires its contract manufacturers to only source cotton from approved regions.

"If it is the only option now open to them, the Hong Kong market does make sense as a place where you could list a global business with a mainland supply chain," said Eliot Fisk, a Hong Kong capital markets consultant and former JPMorgan banker.

Shein did not respond to a Reuters request for comment. Before its attempt to list in London, Shein had pursued a listing in New York. The China-founded company had also faced regulatory hurdles and pushback from US lawmakers in its attempt to list in the United States.

"Listing in Hong Kong would also likely dodge the protests and political pushback it might face in the UK," said Craig Coben, former Bank of America co-head of capital markets in Hong Kong.

While it is not known whether Shein plans to seek any waivers for a potential Hong Kong listing, several waivers, including disclosure-related waivers, can be sought by large IPO hopefuls in the Asian financial hub, according to capital market lawyers.

A Hong Kong listing would also allow Shein to eventually be added to the city's Stock Connect scheme which gives easier access for mainland and Hong Kong-based investors to buy shares on each country's respective markets more easily.

Shein would easily meet the market capitalization and other criteria for inclusion in the connect scheme and for attracting mainland investment, said Hong Kong-based advisory firm Emmer Capital Partners CEO Manishi Raychaudhuri.

There was a 255% year-on-year increase in average daily turnover in the first three months of the year in Southbound trading, mainland investors buying and selling Hong Kong stocks, the Hong Kong Exchange said in its first quarter results.

"Hong Kong would have a dominant presence of Asia and emerging market-focused investors. London on the other hand, would have a significant presence of global and developed market investors," Raychaudhuri said.

"The supply chain issues would have been a more important consideration for the latter set of investors."