Assad’s Fall Followed Years of Bloodshed and Division

Syrians celebrate the arrival of opposition fighters as they step on a picture of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in Damascus, Syria, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP)
Syrians celebrate the arrival of opposition fighters as they step on a picture of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in Damascus, Syria, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP)
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Assad’s Fall Followed Years of Bloodshed and Division

Syrians celebrate the arrival of opposition fighters as they step on a picture of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in Damascus, Syria, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP)
Syrians celebrate the arrival of opposition fighters as they step on a picture of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in Damascus, Syria, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP)

The sudden collapse of Bashar al-Assad's rule over Syria marks the culmination of a nearly 14-year uprising and a key moment in a civil war that killed hundreds of thousands of people, displaced half the population and drew in outside powers.

This is how it unfolded:

* 2011 - The first protests against Assad quickly spread across the country, and are met by security forces with a wave of arrests and shootings.

Some protesters take up guns and military units defect as the uprising becomes an armed revolt that will gain support from Western and Arab countries and Türkiye.

* 2012 - A bombing in Damascus is the first by al-Qaeda's new Syrian affiliate, the Nusra Front, which gains in power and starts crushing groups with a nationalist ideology.

World powers meet in Geneva and agree on the need for a political transition, but their divisions on how to achieve it will foil years of UN-sponsored peace efforts.

Assad turns his air force on opposition strongholds, as the fighters gain ground and the war escalates with massacres on both sides.

* 2013 - Lebanon's Hezbollah helps Assad to victory at Qusayr, halting opposition momentum and showing the Iran-backed group's growing role in the conflict.

Washington has declared chemical weapons use a red line, but a gas attack on opposition-held eastern Ghouta near Damascus kills scores of civilians without triggering a US military response.

* 2014 - The ISIS group suddenly seizes Raqqa in the northeast and swathes more territory in Syria and Iraq.

The opposition figters in the Old City of Homs surrender, agreeing to move to an outer suburb - their first big defeat in a major urban area and a precursor to future "evacuation" deals.

Washington builds an anti-ISIS coalition and starts air strikes, helping Kurdish forces turn the extremist tide but creating friction with its ally Türkiye.

* 2015 - With better cooperation and more arms from abroad, opposition groups gain more ground and seize northwestern Idlib, but extremist militants are taking a bigger role.

Russia joins the war on Assad's side with air strikes that turn the conflict against the opposition for years to come.

* 2016 - Alarmed by Kurdish advances on the border, Türkiye launches an incursion with allied opposition groups, making a new zone of Turkish control.

The Syrian army and its allies defeat the opposition in Aleppo, seen at the time as Assad's biggest victory of the war.

The Nusra Front splits from al-Qaeda and starts trying to present itself in a moderate light, adopting a series of new names and eventually settling on Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS).

* 2017 - Israel acknowledges air strikes against Hezbollah in Syria, aiming to degrade the growing strength of Iran and its allies.

US-backed, Kurdish-led forces defeat ISIS in Raqqa. That offensive, and a rival one by the Syrian army, drive the extremist group from nearly all its land.

* 2018 - The Syrian army recaptures eastern Ghouta, before quickly retaking the other opposition enclaves in central Syria, and then the opposition’s southern bastion of Daraa.

* 2019 - ISIS loses its last scrap of territory in Syria. The US decides to keep some troops in the country to prevent attacks on its Kurdish allies.

* 2020 - Russia backs a government offensive that ends with a ceasefire with Türkiye that freezes most front lines. Assad holds most territory and all main cities, appearing deeply entrenched. The opposition holds the northwest. A Türkiye-backed force holds a border strip. Kurdish-led forces control the northeast.

* 2023 - The Hamas attack on Israel on Oct. 7 triggers fighting between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, ultimately reducing the group's presence in Syria and fatally undermining Assad.

* 2024 – The opposition launches a new assault on Aleppo. With Assad's allies focused elsewhere his army quickly collapses. Eight days after the fall of Aleppo the opposition fighters have taken most major cities and enter Damascus, driving Assad from power.



Why Türkiye is So Influential in Post-Assad Syria

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, left, sits with Ahmad Al-Sharaa during their meeting in Damascus, Syria, Sunday, Dec. 22, 2024. (AP file photo)
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, left, sits with Ahmad Al-Sharaa during their meeting in Damascus, Syria, Sunday, Dec. 22, 2024. (AP file photo)
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Why Türkiye is So Influential in Post-Assad Syria

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, left, sits with Ahmad Al-Sharaa during their meeting in Damascus, Syria, Sunday, Dec. 22, 2024. (AP file photo)
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, left, sits with Ahmad Al-Sharaa during their meeting in Damascus, Syria, Sunday, Dec. 22, 2024. (AP file photo)

Türkiye has emerged as one of the most influential power brokers in Syria after the opposition factions toppled Bashar al-Assad last month, ending his family's brutal five-decade rule.
NATO member Türkiye is now in a position to influence its neighbor's future diplomatically, economically and militarily.
Here are details of Türkiye's connections with Syria and how it hopes to use its influence there.
WHY IS TURKIYE IMPORTANT?
Türkiye, which shares a 911 km (566-mile) border with Syria, was the main backer of the opposition groups fighting under the banner of the Syrian National Army during the 13-year uprising against Assad. It cut diplomatic ties with Damascus in 2012.
It is the biggest host of Syrians who fled the civil war, taking in some 3 million people, and is the main entry-point for aid.
Since 2016, Türkiye, with its Syrian allies, has mounted several cross-border military campaigns against Kurdish militants based in Syria's northeast that it sees as a threat to its national security.
Syria's new administration, led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) is friendly towards Ankara.
WHAT DOES TURKIYE WANT?
With its strong ties to Syria's new leadership, Türkiye stands to benefit from intensified trade and cooperation in areas including reconstruction, energy and defense.
Assad's fall has presented Ankara with a window of opportunity to try to end the presence of the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG) along its borders.
Ankara views the YPG as an extension of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), which has been waging an insurgency against the Turkish state since 1984 and is deemed a terrorist group by Türkiye, the United States and the European Union.
The YPG militia spearheads the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) alliance, which is the United States' main local partner in the fight against Islamic State and controls swathes of territory in the northeast.
Washington's longtime support of the Kurdish factions has been a source of tension with Ankara, but Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has said he believes incoming US president Donald Trump will take a different approach.
Trump has not said publicly what his plans might be but has said that he thinks "Türkiye is going to hold the key to Syria."
Syria's de facto leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, who heads HTS, has said he does not want Syria becoming a platform for the PKK to launch attacks against Türkiye.
As the opposition factions led by Sharaa took control of Damascus last month, fighting flared between Turkish-backed and Kurdish-led forces in the northeast.
The SDF has shown flexibility regarding some of Türkiye’s demands, telling Reuters last month that its foreign fighters, including PKK members, would leave Syria if Ankara agrees to a ceasefire.
Intensive talks are underway to try to resolve the conflict in the region.
WHAT HAS TURKIYE SAID AND DONE?
Türkiye’s intelligence chief, Ibrahim Kalin, was in Damascus days after Assad was ousted, and its top diplomat, Fidan, was the first foreign minister to visit. Türkiye was also the first nation to reopen its embassy.
Fidan has said that Türkiye is proud to have been "on the right side of history" in Syria but has no desire to "dominate" it.
Türkiye has promised to support Syria's reconstruction, offering to help rebuild infrastructure, draft a new constitution, supply electricity and resume flights.
It hopes Syrians it is hosting will start returning home but has said it will not force them to leave.
Türkiye has also called repeatedly for the YPG to be disbanded, while warning of a new military offensive if authorities in Damascus do not address the issue. Its officials have met repeatedly with US and Syrian counterparts about the issue.
The SDF has said it would be willing to integrate with Syria's defense ministry, but only as "a military bloc".