Unemployment in Egypt Drops to 2011 levels

Workers remove leather from a machine in the factory at El Robbiki Leather City in Badr City, east of Cairo, Egypt, August 14, 2017. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh
Workers remove leather from a machine in the factory at El Robbiki Leather City in Badr City, east of Cairo, Egypt, August 14, 2017. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh
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Unemployment in Egypt Drops to 2011 levels

Workers remove leather from a machine in the factory at El Robbiki Leather City in Badr City, east of Cairo, Egypt, August 14, 2017. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh
Workers remove leather from a machine in the factory at El Robbiki Leather City in Badr City, east of Cairo, Egypt, August 14, 2017. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh

Unemployment rates in Egypt fell during the third quarter of 2017 registering the lowest rate since 2011’s first quarter, as national economic growth.

Egypt's unemployment rate had worsened with a popular uprising to oust former President Hosni Mubarak in January 2011, rising from 8.9 % in the fourth quarter of 2010 to 11.9 in the first quarter of the following year.

However, unemployment fell to 12 % in the first three months of this year, its lowest level in more than five years, and then fell in the following months to 11.9 percent in the third quarter.

The economic growth in the country has been negatively affected by prolonged political instability after the former president stepped down, coupled with the mixed ripple effect of energy crises and global economic slowdown.

However, the International Monetary Fund’s forecasts reflect a relative recovery of the country's economy.

First, growth is expected to rise to 4.5% in the current fiscal year, from 4.1% in 2016 to 2017, and the fiscal year will begin on July 1 and end in June.

According to a statement issued by the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS), the largest percentage of workers during the third quarter of 2017 was operating in the agriculture and fishing sector, which accounted for 21.4% of total employment.

The wholesale and retail trade sector accounted for 13.5% and the construction sector by 13.3%.

The manufacturing sector registered 12.5 % and the transport and storage sector by 8 %.

According to the latest data available on the Central Bank of Egypt website, economic growth in the period from 2016 to April 2017, the agriculture sector grew by 3.1%, the wholesale and retail sector by 4.7%, while the construction index grew by 8.5%. Manufacturing industries recorded the lowest growth rate among these sectors at 2.7 %.

But despite the fact that youth call for greater opportunities in the economy was one of the most demands at the January 2011 demonstrations, unemployment data for the third quarter of this year reflect the inability of economic growth to respond to these requests.

Statistics indicate that 79.5% of the total unemployed belong to the age group between 15 and 29 years old.

Recent data on the labor market in Egypt show that the majority of those unemployed are holders of intermediate and university degrees, amounting to 92.9%.

According to the Statistics Service, 40.6 % of the unemployed have university qualifications and above, and 52.3 % of those with intermediate qualifications.



Ukraine Threatens to Halt Transit of Russian Oil to Europe

A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo
A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo
TT

Ukraine Threatens to Halt Transit of Russian Oil to Europe

A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo
A view of storage tanks and pipelines at the Mero central oil tank farm, which moves crude through the Druzhba oil pipeline, near Nelahozeves, Czech Republic, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/David W Cerny/File Photo

A top aide to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Friday said Kyiv would halt the transit of Russian oil across its territory at the end of the year, when the current contract expires and is not renewed.

Mykhailo Podolyak said in an interview with the Novini.Live broadcaster that current transit contracts for Russian supplies that run through the end of the year will not be renewed.

“There is no doubt that it will all end on January 1, 2025,” he said.

Kiev says it is prepared to transport gas from the Central Asian countries or Azerbaijan to Europe, but not from Russia, as it is crucial for Ukraine to deprive Russia of its sources of income from the sale of raw materials after it attacked its neighbor well over two years ago.

The contract for the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine to Europe between the state-owned companies Gazprom and Naftogaz ends on December 31.

Despite the launch of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the Ukrainians have fulfilled the contract terms - in part at the insistence of its European neighbors, especially Hungary.

But the leadership in Kiev has repeatedly made it clear that it wants the shipments to end.

Meanwhile, the Czech Republic energy security envoy Vaclav Bartuska said on Friday that any potential halt in oil supplies via the Druzhba pipeline through Ukraine from Russia from next year would not be a problem for the country.

Responding to a Reuters question – on comments by Ukrainian presidential aide Mykhailo Podolyak that flows of Russian oil may stop from January – Bartuska said Ukraine had also in the past warned of a potential halt.

“This is not the first time, this time maybe they mean it seriously – we shall see,” Bartuska said in a text message. “For the Czech Republic, it is not a problem.”

To end partial dependency on the Druzhba pipeline, Czech state-owned pipeline operator MERO has been investing in raising the capacity of the TAL pipeline from Italy to Germany, which connects to the IKL pipeline supplying the Czech Republic.

From next year, the increased capacity would be sufficient for the total needs of the country’s two refineries, owned by Poland’s Orlen, of up to 8 million tons of crude per year.

MERO has said it planned to achieve the country’s independence from Russian oil from the start of 2025, although the TAL upgrade would be finished by June 2025.

On Friday, oil prices stabilized, heading for a weekly increase, as disruptions in Libyan production and Iraq’s plans to curb output raised concerns about supply.

Meanwhile, data showing that the US economy grew faster than initially estimated eased recession fears.

However, signs of weakening demand, particularly in China, capped gains.

Brent crude futures for October delivery, which expire on Friday, fell by 7 cents, or 0.09%, to $79.87 per barrel. The more actively traded November contract rose 5 cents, or 0.06%, to $78.87.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures added 6 cents, or 0.08%, to $75.97 per barrel.

The day before, both benchmarks had risen by more than $1, and so far this week, they have gained 1.1% and 1.6%, respectively.

Additionally, a drop in Libyan exports and the prospect of lower Iraqi crude production in September are expected to help keep the oil market undersupplied.

Over half of Libya’s oil production, around 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), was halted on Thursday, and exports were suspended at several ports due to a standoff between rival political factions.

Elsewhere, Iraq plans to reduce oil output in September as part of a plan to compensate for producing over the quota agreed with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a source with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters on Thursday.

Iraq, which produced 4.25 million bpd in July, will cut output to between 3.85 million and 3.9 million bpd next month, the source said.