Egypt's Inflation in Lowest Rate since Floating Currency

Sellers and shoppers in Sooq El Atba, Cairo. Reuters
Sellers and shoppers in Sooq El Atba, Cairo. Reuters
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Egypt's Inflation in Lowest Rate since Floating Currency

Sellers and shoppers in Sooq El Atba, Cairo. Reuters
Sellers and shoppers in Sooq El Atba, Cairo. Reuters

Annual urban inflation fell to 21.9 percent in December from 26 percent the previous month for the first time since November 2016 when the currency was floated, the official statistics agency, CAPMAS, said on Wednesday.

Egypt decided in 2016 to fully float its local currency, which lost half its value in a country that relies heavily on imports.

“We expect inflation to continue its decline until it reaches around 12 percent mid this year,” said Reham El Desoki, senior economist at Arqaam Capital.

Inflation has climbed since Egypt floated its currency, the pound, in November 2016, reaching a record high of 35.3 percent in July after energy subsidies were cut. It has gradually eased since July. Urban consumer price inflation month-on-month rate fell to -0.2 percent, in Dec 2015, from 1 percent in November.

Egypt’s inflation is expected to fall below 20 percent next month and to 10-12 percent during 2018, said Finance Minister Amr El Garhy.

The World Bank forecast Tuesday Egypt’s economy to grow 4.9 percent in 2018, compared to 4.4 percent in 2017, becoming the second highest growing economy in MENA after Djibouti (expected growth of 7 percent).

In January 2018, in the Global Economic Prospects report about MENA, the World Bank said that Egypt’s economy would grow 5.6 percent in 2019 while growth in the MENA is expected to jump to 3 percent in 2018 and 3.2 percent in 2019.



Gold Hits Two-week High on Fed Rate-cut Bets, Slowdown Worries

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
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Gold Hits Two-week High on Fed Rate-cut Bets, Slowdown Worries

FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A goldsmith weighs gold jewelry inside a showroom in Ahmedabad, India, July 31, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo

Gold prices jumped to a two-week high on Monday, helped by expectations of another Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December and a slew of weak economic data that raised global slowdown worries.

Spot gold climbed 1.8% to $4,070.99 per ounce by 0643 GMT, hitting its highest since October 27. US gold futures for December delivery rose 1.8% to $4,079.70 per ounce, Reuters reported.

"Gold is catching a solid bid from traders to kick off the week, with the precious metal rising on anticipation that a rate cut could still arrive next month, even though the Fed has been downplaying the chances of it occurring," KCM Trade Chief Market Analyst Tim Waterer said.

The US economy shed jobs in October amid losses in the government and retail sectors, while cost-cutting and artificial intelligence adoption by businesses led to a surge in announced layoffs, data showed last week.

US consumer sentiment weakened to the lowest level in nearly 3-1/2 years in early November amid worries about the economic fallout from the longest ever government shutdown, a survey showed on Friday.

Market participants now see a 67% chance of a December rate cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Non-yielding gold tends to do well in a low-interest-rate environment and during economic uncertainties.

On Sunday, the US Senate appeared poised to move forward with a measure aimed at reopening the federal government and ending a 40-day shutdown that has sidelined federal workers, delayed food aid and snarled air travel.

"While it looks like we could be moving towards an end to the shutdown, with this comes greater visibility over key economic indicators, which have been short on the ground since the shutdown commenced," Waterer said.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 0.16% to 1,042.06 metric tons on Friday from 1,040.35 tons on Thursday.

Elsewhere, spot silver rose 2.5% to $49.52 per ounce, platinum rose 1.3% to $1,565.22 and palladium added 1.1% to $1,396.37.


Markets Boosted by Hopes for Deal to End US Shutdown

Investors have been boosted by reports US lawmakers have reached a deal to end the record government shutdown. Anna Rose Layden / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA/AFP
Investors have been boosted by reports US lawmakers have reached a deal to end the record government shutdown. Anna Rose Layden / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA/AFP
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Markets Boosted by Hopes for Deal to End US Shutdown

Investors have been boosted by reports US lawmakers have reached a deal to end the record government shutdown. Anna Rose Layden / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA/AFP
Investors have been boosted by reports US lawmakers have reached a deal to end the record government shutdown. Anna Rose Layden / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA/AFP

Equities rallied Monday on hopes that the US government shutdown could be nearing an end after reports said lawmakers had reached a deal to break the record-breaking 40-day impasse.

The prospect of a resumption of operations in the world's biggest economy helped temper lingering worries about extended tech valuations amid talk of an AI bubble following this year's eye-watering rally, AFP reported.

Investors have been growing increasingly concerned about the financial impact of the shutdown, which saw several government services halted, including air travel heading into the Thanksgiving holiday.

A University of Michigan survey last week showed a decline in consumer sentiment in November compared with October.

But CNN and Fox News reported on Sunday that senators had reached a bipartisan stopgap deal to fund operations through January after wrangling over health care subsidies, food benefits and Donald Trump's firings of federal employees.

The US president told reporters that "it looks like we're getting close to the shutdown ending".

A procedural vote is due to take place later Sunday.

Lawmakers said it would restore funding for food stamps, reverse Trump's firings of thousands of federal workers and assure a vote on extending health care subsidies.

"There is a growing sense of urgency to reach a compromise," wrote National Australia Bank's Rodrigo Catril.

"The economic consequences are mounting: the Congressional Budget Office estimates the shutdown could shave 1.5 percentage (annualized) points off quarterly GDP growth by mid-November".

Optimism for an end to the standoff helped equities higher in Asia.

Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Taipei and Manila were all up, though there were losses in Singapore and Wellington.

The reopening would allow officials to resume the release of key economic data, including on the labor market, which is a key gauge for the Federal Reserve as it considers whether to cut interest rates again next month.

Traders have been forced to use private data to get an idea about the state of the economy, with a report from outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas last week showing US layoffs hit the highest level in 22 years in October.

That boosted talk of another rate cut, though several key members of the central bank have said their main concern is stubbornly elevated inflation, rather than jobs.

Chris Weston at Pepperstone said: "Markets currently price a 67 percent chance of a December rate cut.

"However, recent comments from non-voting Fed members (Beth) Hammack and (Lorie) Logan -- both suggesting they wouldn't have supported the October cut -- hint at a higher bar for additional easing.

"The next wave of Tier 1 data, once government operations resume, will be critical for December expectations."

While markets are on the up at the start of the week, sentiment has been dented of late by concerns that stocks are overvalued and doubts over tens of billions of dollars in new artificial intelligence investments.


Saudi Arabia, Qatar Sign MoU to Cooperate in Tourism Promotion 

Saudi and Qatari officials are seen at the signing ceremony on Sunday. (SPA)
Saudi and Qatari officials are seen at the signing ceremony on Sunday. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia, Qatar Sign MoU to Cooperate in Tourism Promotion 

Saudi and Qatari officials are seen at the signing ceremony on Sunday. (SPA)
Saudi and Qatari officials are seen at the signing ceremony on Sunday. (SPA)

The Saudi Tourism Authority and Qatar Tourism signed on Sunday a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to cooperate in tourism promotion and marketing, supporting the development and growth of the sector in both countries.

The signing was carried out on behalf of the two parties by CEO and Board Member of the Saudi Tourism Authority Fahd Hamidaddin and Chief of Marketing and Promotion Officer at Qatar Tourism Eng. Abdulaziz bin Ali Al-Mawlawi.

During their meeting, the Saudi and Qatari delegations discussed ways to coordinate at international tourism forums and organizations, aiming to support areas of mutual interest and to exchange views on best practices for sector development.

These bilateral meetings reflect the Saudi Tourism Authority's commitment to building bridges of cooperation with leading tourism sector officials regionally and globally, to exchange expertise and information, and work toward achieving shared objectives.