OPEC, non-OPEC States Commit to Production Reduction

Ministers during a press conference following the Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) (SPA)
Ministers during a press conference following the Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) (SPA)
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OPEC, non-OPEC States Commit to Production Reduction

Ministers during a press conference following the Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) (SPA)
Ministers during a press conference following the Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) (SPA)

After ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC independent producers finished their meeting in Jeddah and attended a luncheon, US President Donald Trump bashed on oil prices, which he considered "artificially" high.

“Looks like OPEC is at it again. With record amounts of Oil all over the place, including the fully loaded ships at sea. Oil prices are artificially Very High! No good and will not be accepted!” Trump Tweeted.

Energy ministers, including Russian Minister Alexander Novak and OPEC Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo, defended their position strongly, saying that without OPEC, the US oil industry could not continue its production, given that US producers are the first to benefit from high prices.

The Russian minister said that prices are determined by the market.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazroui, who heads OPEC's ministerial conference this year, told reporters after lunch that there was no such thing as artificial prices.

The Joint OPEC/Non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC), which monitors the deal, met on Friday in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, to discuss producers' commitment to implementing a cut-off agreement and discuss prices.

Following the meeting, OPEC issued a statement announcing that, based on the Report of the Joint Technical Committee (JTC) for the month of March 2018, following successive months of record-breaking performances, OPEC and participating non-OPEC countries have achieved a conformity level of 149 percent with their voluntary production adjustments, the highest level so far.

The meeting reviewed the developments in the oil markets and levels of production of the participating countries, the work of the committee and the results of decisions issued in the previous meetings.

It is noteworthy that JMMC hold a meeting every two months under the chairmanship of the Kingdom, to discuss the commitment of countries to the agreement, which includes Kuwait, Venezuela, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Russia and Oman.

OPEC Sec-Gen Mohammad Barkindo said members of the oil producers group were friends of the US and have a vested interest in its growth and prosperity.

Barkindo made his remarks after Trump sent a tweet criticizing OPEC over high oil prices.

"The Declaration of Cooperation by 24 producing countries in Dec. 2016 which was implemented faithfully since 2017 has not only arrested the decline but rescued the oil industry from imminent collapse," Barkindo said.

Iraqi Oil Minister Jabar al-Luaibi said oil prices are “not very high” following Trump's tweet. “Everything is now fine and the market is stabilizing,” Luaibi told the press.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail Mohamad al-Mazrouei also said oil prices were not artificially high.

Oil prices fell after the US president criticized OPEC, but it is still heading for a weekly gain.

Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 gained 28 cents, or 0.4 percent, to settle at $74.06 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc2 for delivery in June, the most active US contract, were up 7 cents at $68.40. The May WTI contract, which expired on Friday, CLc1 gained 9 cents, or 0.1 percent, to settle at $68.38.

The United States can only legitimately influence oil by withdrawing from its strategic reserve, which it has done from time to time.

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said OPEC and its allies were far from reaching their goal and that the reduction of oil stocks needs to continue.

"The countries involved in the reduction of oil production have shown a commitment to seeking a balance in the global oil market where the levels of the OECD's trade stock have been adjusted from a peak of 3.12 billion barrels in July 2016 to 2.83 billion barrels in March 2018, a decrease of 300 million barrels," Falih was quoted by Saudi Press Agency (SPA).

Falih expressed his appreciation to the importance of Russia's role in the declaration of cooperation describing Russia as an effective element in reaching the agreement and its success over the past months. He also praised the important role played by the Russian Energy Minister who co-chaired the JMMC since its inception at the beginning of 2017.

Falih stressed the importance of monitoring the market and the commitment of the oil-producing countries, indicating that the success achieved at the level of the Joint Ministerial Committee to monitor oil production in 2017 will be going on in 2018.

Aside from OPEC's supply management, crude prices also received support from expectations that the US would re-impose sanctions on Iran, a member of the organization.

OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers could begin easing up on output curbs before the end of the year, according to Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak.

“The agreement lasts until the end of the year. In June, we can discuss, among other issues, a question about reduction of some quotas during this time, if it is expedient from the market’s point of view,” Novak said ahead of the JMMC meeting, TASS news agency reported.

Sources familiar with the meeting told Reuters that Novak told his OPEC and non-OPEC counterparts in a closed-door meeting that Moscow was committed to the deal on cutting output until the end of 2018.

The OPEC, non-OPEC ministerial panel said commercial oil stock levels of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) were 2.83 billion bbl in March 2018, still above the level seen before the oil market downturn.

Three industry informed sources stated this week Saudi Arabia would be happy to see crude rise to $80 or even $100 a barrel indicating Riyadh will likely seek no changes to the deal in June.

Energy Minister Falih said OPEC and non-OPEC compliance with the output deal reached 149 percent in March. The deal’s success has helped relations between Russia and Saudi Arabia.

Germany’s Handelsblatt newspaper reported on Friday UAE oil minister Mazrouei saying that he believes more oil producers need to join OPEC and non-OPEC producers in curbing supply.



Trump Set to Lead Largest-Ever US Delegation to World Economic Forum in Davos Next Week

This photograph shows a sign of the World Economic Forum (WEF) at the Congress center, during the WEF annual meeting in Davos on January 20, 2025. (AFP)
This photograph shows a sign of the World Economic Forum (WEF) at the Congress center, during the WEF annual meeting in Davos on January 20, 2025. (AFP)
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Trump Set to Lead Largest-Ever US Delegation to World Economic Forum in Davos Next Week

This photograph shows a sign of the World Economic Forum (WEF) at the Congress center, during the WEF annual meeting in Davos on January 20, 2025. (AFP)
This photograph shows a sign of the World Economic Forum (WEF) at the Congress center, during the WEF annual meeting in Davos on January 20, 2025. (AFP)

US President Donald Trump will return to the World Economic Forum's annual meeting of business, political and cultural elites in Davos, Switzerland next week, leading a record-large US delegation, organizers said Tuesday.

The Geneva-based think tank says Trump, whose assertive foreign policy on issues as diverse as Venezuela and Greenland in recent months has stirred concerns among US friends and foes alike, will be accompanied by five Cabinet secretaries and other top officials for the event running from Monday through Jan. 23.

A total of 850 CEOs and chairs of the world's top companies will be among the 3,000 participants from 130 countries expected in the Alpine resort this year, the forum says.

Forum President Borge Brende says six of seven G7 leaders — including Trump — will attend, as well as presidents Volodymyr Zelenskky of Ukraine, Ahmed al-Sharaa of Syria and others. A total of 64 heads of state or government are expected so far — also a record — though that number could increase before the start of the event, he said.

China's delegation will be headed by Vice Premier He Lifeng, Beijing's top trade official, Brende said.

The forum, which held its first annual meeting in 1971, has long been a hub of dialogue, debate and deal-making. Trump has already attended twice while president and was beamed in by video last year just days after being inaugurated for his second term.

Critics call it a venue for the world’s elites to hobnob and do business that sometimes comes at the expense of workers, the impoverished or people on the margins of society. The forum counters that its stated goal is “improving the state of the world” and insists many advocacy groups, academics and cultural leaders have an important role too.


World Bank: Global Economy Shows Resilience Amid Historic Trade, Policy Uncertainty

A woman places coins inside a red wallet in Germany. (dpa)
A woman places coins inside a red wallet in Germany. (dpa)
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World Bank: Global Economy Shows Resilience Amid Historic Trade, Policy Uncertainty

A woman places coins inside a red wallet in Germany. (dpa)
A woman places coins inside a red wallet in Germany. (dpa)

The global economy is proving more resilient than anticipated despite persistent trade tensions and policy uncertainty, according to the World Bank’s latest Global Economic Prospects report. Global growth is projected to remain broadly steady over the next two years, easing to 2.6% in 2026 before rising to 2.7% in 2027, an upward revision from the June forecast.

The resilience reflects better-than-expected growth, especially in the United States, which accounts for about two-thirds of the upward revision to the forecast in 2026. Even so, if these forecasts hold, the 2020s are on track to be the weakest decade for global growth since the 1960s. The sluggish pace is widening the gap in living standards across the world, the report finds: at the end of 2025, nearly all advanced economies enjoyed per capita incomes exceeding their 2019 levels, but about one in four developing economies had lower per capita incomes.

In 2025, growth was supported by a surge in trade ahead of policy changes and swift readjustments in global supply chains. These boosts are expected to fade in 2026 as trade and domestic demand soften. However, the easing global financial conditions and fiscal expansion in several large economies should help cushion the slowdown, according to the report. Global inflation is projected to edge down to 2.6% in 2026, reflecting softer labor markets and lower energy prices. Growth is expected to pick up in 2027 as trade flows adjust and policy uncertainty diminishes.

“With each passing year, the global economy has become less capable of generating growth and seemingly more resilient to policy uncertainty,” said Indermit Gill, the World Bank Group’s Chief Economist and Senior Vice President for Development Economics. “But economic dynamism and resilience cannot diverge for long without fracturing public finance and credit markets.”

“Over the coming years, the world economy is set to grow slower than it did in the troubled 1990s, while carrying record levels of public and private debt. To avert stagnation and joblessness, governments in emerging and advanced economies must aggressively liberalize private investment and trade, rein in public consumption, and invest in new technologies and education.”

In 2026, growth in developing economies is expected to slow to 4% from 4.2% in 2025 before edging up to 4.1% in 2027 as trade tensions ease, commodity prices stabilize, financial conditions improve, and investment flows strengthen. Growth is projected to be higher in low-income countries, reaching an average of 5.6% over 2026-27, buoyed by firming domestic demand, recovering exports, and moderating inflation. However, this will not be sufficient to narrow the income gap between developing and advanced economies.

Per capita income growth in developing economies is projected to be 3% in 2026 - about a percentage point below its 2000-2019 average. At this pace, per capita income in developing economies is expected to be only 12% of the level in advanced economies.

These trends could intensify the job-creation challenge confronting developing economies, where 1.2 billion young people will reach working age over the next decade. Overcoming the jobs challenge will require a comprehensive policy effort centered on three pillars.

The first is strengthening physical, digital, and human capital to raise productivity and employability. The second is improving the business environment by enhancing policy credibility and regulatory certainty so firms can expand. The third is mobilizing private capital at scale to support investment. Together, these measures can help shift job creation toward more productive and formal employment, supporting income growth and poverty alleviation.

In addition, developing economies need to bolster their fiscal sustainability, which has been eroded in recent years by overlapping shocks, growing development needs, and rising debt-servicing costs. A special-focus chapter of the report provides a comprehensive analysis of the use of fiscal rules by developing economies, which set clear limits on government borrowing and spending to help manage public finances. These rules are generally linked to stronger growth, higher private investment, more stable financial sectors, and a greater capacity to cope with external shocks.

“With public debt in emerging and developing economies at its highest level in more than half a century, restoring fiscal credibility has become an urgent priority,” said M. Ayhan Kose, the World Bank Group’s Deputy Chief Economist and Director of the Prospects Group.

“Well-designed fiscal rules can help governments stabilize debt, rebuild policy buffers, and respond more effectively to shocks. But rules alone are not enough: credibility, enforcement, and political commitment ultimately determine whether fiscal rules deliver stability and growth.”

More than half of developing economies now have at least one fiscal rule in place. These can include limits on fiscal deficits, public debt, government expenditures, or revenue collection. Developing economies that adopt fiscal rules typically see their budget balance improve by 1.4 percentage points of GDP after five years, once interest payments and the ups and downs of the business cycle are accounted for.

Use of fiscal rules also increases by 9 percentage points the likelihood of a multi-year improvement in budget balances. However, the medium- and long-term benefits of fiscal rules depend heavily on the strength of institutions, the economic context in which the rules are introduced, and how the rules are designed, the report finds.


Saudi Industry Minister Discusses Automotive Manufacturing Cooperation with China's BYD

The Saudi and Chinese delegations meet in Riyadh on Tuesday. (SPA)
The Saudi and Chinese delegations meet in Riyadh on Tuesday. (SPA)
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Saudi Industry Minister Discusses Automotive Manufacturing Cooperation with China's BYD

The Saudi and Chinese delegations meet in Riyadh on Tuesday. (SPA)
The Saudi and Chinese delegations meet in Riyadh on Tuesday. (SPA)

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef held talks in Riyadh on Tuesday with Chinese company BYD Founder and Chairman Wang Chuanfu to discuss cooperation in automotive manufacturing and the transfer of advanced vehicle technologies to the Kingdom.

They explored ways to strengthen industrial cooperation and expand promising investment opportunities to localize the automotive industry in the Kingdom, with particular focus on electric vehicle manufacturing to meet growing domestic demand and reinforce Saudi Arabia’s position as a leading regional and global hub for automotive production.

Discussions tackled the incentives and enablers offered to investors in high-value industries, including the automotive sector, as well as the Kingdom’s significant investments in electric vehicle charging infrastructure.

The meeting highlighted the objectives of the comprehensive strategy for the mining and mineral industries, which emphasizes support for the electric vehicle ecosystem and the development of local supply chains for battery manufacturing and advanced materials.

These efforts help in localizing the automotive industry and advancing the goals of Saudi Vision 2030 to diversify the national economy.