Chaos in Oil Markets as Saudi Arabia Discusses Scenarios to Appease Everyone

Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)
Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)
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Chaos in Oil Markets as Saudi Arabia Discusses Scenarios to Appease Everyone

Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)
Chaos reigned as in the market amid conflicting stances on oil policy. (AFP)

Chaos reigned on Wednesday as Russian officials said there was a need to increase the production of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its independent producers, known as OPEC Plus, while US President Donald Trump held OPEC responsible for the rise in oil prices.

Iran, however, announced its refusal to increase OPEC production at the next meeting, while rejecting the intervention of the US president in the policy of the organization, which it sees as independent and sovereign.

Saudi Arabia is trying to satisfy everyone, those supporting the increase of production and those opposing it, by offering several scenarios to increase production that will provide many solutions but at the same time not affect the price of oil significantly, sources told Bloomberg.

Saudi Arabia is mulling different scenarios to raise production over the coming months by between 500,000 barrels and one million barrels a day, Bloomberg added.

It said that one proposal envisages a single hike of just 500,000 barrels a day. Another idea would see an immediate increase of 500,000 barrels, followed by a similar rise in the fourth quarter. The Kingdom has also shared ideas with increases of around 600,000 to 700,000 barrels a day.

In contrast, Saudi Arabia and several other OPEC members, including the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait, and non-OPEC nation Oman would prefer a gradual production boost to avoid upsetting the oil market.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman will meet in Moscow to discuss oil policy on the sidelines of the opening match of the Football World Cup, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Wednesday.

Peskov said the two would discuss the global oil production cut agreement, which Saudi Arabia and Russia are leading, but did not plan to discuss an exit from the deal.



Oil Prices Stable on Monday as Data Offsets Surplus Concerns

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Stable on Monday as Data Offsets Surplus Concerns

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices stabilized on Monday after losses last week as lower-than-expected US inflation data offset investors' concerns about a supply surplus next year.

Brent crude futures were down by 38 cents, or 0.52%, to $72.56 a barrel by 1300 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 34 cents, or 0.49%, to $69.12 per barrel.

Oil prices rose in early trading after data on Friday that showed cooling US inflation helped alleviate investors' concerns after the Federal Reserve interest rate cut last week, IG markets analyst Tony Sycamore said, Reuters reported.

"I think the US Senate passing legislation to end the brief shutdown over the weekend has helped," he added.

But gains were reversed by a stronger US dollar, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo told Reuters.

"With the US dollar changing from weaker to stronger, oil prices have given up earlier gains," he said.

The dollar was hovering around two-year highs on Monday morning, after hitting that milestone on Friday.

Brent futures fell by around 2.1% last week, while WTI futures lost 2.6%, on concerns about global economic growth and oil demand after the US central bank signalled caution over further easing of monetary policy. Research from Asia's top refiner Sinopec pointing to China's oil consumption peaking in 2027 also weighed on prices.

Macquarie analysts projected a growing supply surplus for next year, which will hold Brent prices to an average of $70.50 a barrel, down from this year's average of $79.64, they said in a December report.

Concerns about European supply eased on reports the Druzhba pipeline, which sends Russian and Kazakh oil to Hungary, Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Germany, has restarted after halting on Thursday due to technical problems at a Russian pumping station.

US President-elect Donald Trump on Friday urged the European Union to increase US oil and gas imports or face tariffs on the bloc's exports.

Trump also threatened to reassert US control over the Panama Canal on Sunday, accusing Panama of charging excessive rates to use the Central American passage and drawing a sharp rebuke from Panamanian President Jose Raul Mulino.