Egypt Conducts Unprecedented Reforms in Attempt to Activate Investment

Nuts are sold at a market, ahead of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan in Cairo, Egypt, May 6, 2018. (Reuters)
Nuts are sold at a market, ahead of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan in Cairo, Egypt, May 6, 2018. (Reuters)
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Egypt Conducts Unprecedented Reforms in Attempt to Activate Investment

Nuts are sold at a market, ahead of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan in Cairo, Egypt, May 6, 2018. (Reuters)
Nuts are sold at a market, ahead of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan in Cairo, Egypt, May 6, 2018. (Reuters)

The International Monetary Fund on Friday approved the fourth installment of a $12 billion, three-year loan for Egypt, bringing the total released to date to just over $8 billion.

The IMF board approved the latest $2 billion disbursement under the aid deal signed in November 2016 to support Cairo's economic reform program, which the Washington-based lender has repeatedly praised.

Since then, Egypt has imposed harsh austerity measures and started to phase out subsidies on many goods and services, including this month's move hiking fuel prices as much as 50 percent, and electricity rates by about 25 percent.

Consumer prices have soared as the authorities floated Egypt's currency and adopted a value-added tax. Meanwhile, a fiscal crisis caused the deficit to balloon to 12.5 percent of GDP in the 2015-2016 tax year.

The government said the subsidy cuts are needed, and acknowledged they would lead to sharp increase in taxi fares.

The IMF said Egypt is beginning to reap the benefits of the reforms, and estimates the economy will grow 5.2 percent this year. Inflation is expected to fall to 20 percent by the end of 2018 from 33 percent last year.

However, IMF staff in May stressed that the government still needs to strengthen its social safety net

Since the 2011 revolt toppled former president Hosni Mubarak, the economy of the Arab world's most populous country has received multiple shocks caused by political instability and security issues.

The government in Egypt seeks to implement a bunch of reforms for the sake of reinforcing its capabilities to attract direct foreign investment. After more than one year and a half on agreeing over a loan with the IMF, it managed to bring back exchange markets to stability but its debts aggravated.

Egypt borrowed from the IMF in November 2016, after the difference in foreign currencies increased.

The CBE has raised interest rates by a total of 7 percent since the flotation in late 2016 in a bid to curb inflation. The reforms program, adopted by the government in the meantime, included issuance of a new law of investment motifs – the program is backed by the IMF and other international donors.

Egypt sought years ago to lessen procedures for establishing firms, and it developed this service through the center of investors services in which it has become possible to fulfill the establishment in a couple of hours.

Yasser Abbas, head of investors services sectors at General Authority For Investment & Free Zones, told Asharq Al-Awsat that during this period between January and February, for the first time there is a center for investors services representatives from 60 parties concerned with issuing licenses. These parties represent the majority of entities which the investors needs to deal with.

Abbas points out that the investment law was enacted following consultation with relevant bodies and no party objected over the proposed duration. The law also suggests issuing a unified guide of steps that the investor needs.

According to the latest reports of the International Finance Corporation, the investor needs around 172 days to finish the construction licenses in Egypt in return for an average of 132.1 to finish the same licenses in MENA. Egypt comes in rank 66 among 190 states.

Ministry of Investment and International Cooperation looks forward to not repeat the problems of granting licenses for newly established projects. A source from the ministry told Asharq Al-Awsat that the authority allows a number of mechanisms to coordinate between the investor and the party issuing the licenses.



EUROPE GAS-Prices Continue to Decline

Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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EUROPE GAS-Prices Continue to Decline

Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
Model of natural gas pipeline and Gazprom logo, July 18, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Dutch and British wholesale gas prices continued to declined on Tuesday morning on milder weather forecasts for next week, high wind speeds and stable supply.

The benchmark front-month contract at the Dutch TTF hub was down 0.61 euros at 46.65 euros per megawatt hour (MWh) at 0947 GMT, according to LSEG data.

The contract for March was down 0.52 euro at 46.63 euros/MWh.

In Britain, the front-month contract fell by 2.04 pence to 116.76 pence per therm.

In north-west Europe, although another cold snap is forecast from Friday over the weekend, the latest forecasts are showing milder temperatures than yesterday from Jan. 15, according to LSEG data, Reuters reported.

Wind speeds are expected to remain quite strong today, limiting gas demand.

However, in north-west Europe, gas-for-power demand is expected 36 million cubic metres (mcm) per day higher at 78 mcm/day on the day-ahead.

"Wind speeds are expected still high today, before dropping sharply tomorrow with the cold spell arriving," said LSEG gas analyst Saku Jussila.

In Britain, Peak wind generation is forecast at around 15.1 gigawatts (GW) today and 14.7 GW tomorrow, Elexon data showed.

Analysts at Engie EnergyScan said EU net storage withdrawals have slowed due to a more comfortable spot balance but the storage gap compared to last year remains high. On 5 January, EU gas stocks were 69.94% full on average, compared to 84.96% last year.

Looking further ahead, analysts at Jefferies expect a tight year for global gas markets due to project delays and higher-than-expected demand.

"European and Asian LNG spot gas prices in 2025 could surpass those of 2024, driven by Europe's increased gas injection needs and the loss of Russian exports outpacing the expected growth in global LNG supply," they said.

"Post 2025, the market is expected to loosen with an additional 175 million tonnes of new supply coming online between 2026 and 2030, primarily from the US and Qatar," they added.

In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract was down 0.91 euro at 73.45 euros a metric ton.