Saudi Arabia Raises Monthly Oil Production to Highest Level in 5 Years

Saudi Arabia raises monthly oil production to highest level in five years. (Reuters)
Saudi Arabia raises monthly oil production to highest level in five years. (Reuters)
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Saudi Arabia Raises Monthly Oil Production to Highest Level in 5 Years

Saudi Arabia raises monthly oil production to highest level in five years. (Reuters)
Saudi Arabia raises monthly oil production to highest level in five years. (Reuters)

It appears that Saudi Arabia responded to the world demand for its oil, as it began boosting output by 330,000 barrels a day in June to 10.3 million barrel per day, according to a Bloomberg News survey of analysts, oil companies and ship-tracking data.

That’s the biggest monthly jump in production since July 2013.

Based on Bloomberg’s preliminary calculations from vessel-tracking and ship-fixture data, Saudi Arabia is pushing more barrels onto world markets with shipments climbed to a 15-month high of 7.47 million bpd last month, compared with 7.15 million bpd in May.

Saudi Arabia's exports to India, Egypt and Singapore rose in June, while exports to China, Japan, South Korea and the United States dropped, the data showed. Official Saudi oil prices in May and June were high for many Asian customers.

Last week, Bloomberg quoted sources as saying that Saudi Arabia aims to raise its oil production in July to a historic level of 10.8 million bpd, as the Kingdom seeks to calm the fears of customers about rising oil prices and any potential shortage of supplies.

This is the highest level recorded so far, higher than the previous level of 10.72 million bpd recorded in November 2016.

It seems clear that Riyadh was preparing to raise production earlier this month, as explained by Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih, in his remarks in Vienna last month, saying that Aramco has been instructed to equip to raise production.

Reuters figures are much higher than Bloomberg’s figures, as it said Saudi production in June reached 10.7 million bpd, up from 10 million bpd in May.

Production from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) increased by 320,000 bpd in June, according to a Reuters survey published Monday.

At a meeting on June 23, OPEC agreed to increase supplies to 100 percent by returning to the commitment level of production cuts in force since January 2017, after months of substandard production from countries, including Venezuela and Angola.

Saudi Arabia said the measure would translate into an increase in production by about 1 million bpd.

The Reuters survey also indicated that the 12 OPEC members with supply reduction targets increased output by 680,000 bpd compared to May.

Russian average monthly oil output exceeded 11 million bpd in June for the first time since April 2017 as leading global oil producers started to ease output curbs, energy ministry data showed on Monday.

Production rose to 11.06 million bpd in June from 10.97 million bpd in May, up around 100,000 bpd. In tons, Russian oil output was 45.276 million versus 46.377 million in May.

OPEC and some other leading global oil producers led by Russia agreed last month to return to 100 percent compliance with previously agreed oil output cuts, after months of underproduction by some OPEC countries.

Russia has pledged to restore output by 200,000 bpd in the second half of the year.

Russia's largest oil producer Rosneft led the output increase, ratcheting up extraction by 1.6 percent last month to 3.89 million bpd, the data showed. The energy ministry's data does not include some of Rosneft's joint ventures.

Saudi Arabia also boosted supply to 10.70 million bpd in June, close to a record high.

Russia's natural gas production was at 53.57 billion cubic meters (bcm) last month, or 1.79 bcm a day, versus 58.12 bcm in May.



Pakistan Central Bank Receives $2 billion from Saudi Arabia as Part of Broader Financial Support Package

Mohammed Al-Jadaan and Muhammad Aurangzeb following the agreement for Saudi Arabia to provide an additional $3 billion in support to Pakistan (X).
Mohammed Al-Jadaan and Muhammad Aurangzeb following the agreement for Saudi Arabia to provide an additional $3 billion in support to Pakistan (X).
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Pakistan Central Bank Receives $2 billion from Saudi Arabia as Part of Broader Financial Support Package

Mohammed Al-Jadaan and Muhammad Aurangzeb following the agreement for Saudi Arabia to provide an additional $3 billion in support to Pakistan (X).
Mohammed Al-Jadaan and Muhammad Aurangzeb following the agreement for Saudi Arabia to provide an additional $3 billion in support to Pakistan (X).

Pakistan announced that it has received $2 billion from Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Finance as part of a broader financial support package.

Earlier, Pakistan’s Finance Minister, Muhammad Aurangzeb, said that Saudi Arabia had committed to depositing an additional $3 billion, while extending an existing $5 billion loan for three years instead of renewing it annually.

This support comes as Pakistan faces repayment of $3.5 billion to the United Arab Emirates, putting pressure on its reserves, which stand at about $16.4 billion.

Saudi Arabia has a history of assisting Pakistan during economic crises, including a $6 billion support package in 2018 that included deposits and deferred oil payments.


Gold Rises as Middle East Optimism Calms Inflation Fears

Samples of gold displayed in a program affiliated with the Brazilian Federal Police specializing in tracking gold in Brasilia (Reuters)
Samples of gold displayed in a program affiliated with the Brazilian Federal Police specializing in tracking gold in Brasilia (Reuters)
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Gold Rises as Middle East Optimism Calms Inflation Fears

Samples of gold displayed in a program affiliated with the Brazilian Federal Police specializing in tracking gold in Brasilia (Reuters)
Samples of gold displayed in a program affiliated with the Brazilian Federal Police specializing in tracking gold in Brasilia (Reuters)

Gold prices rose on Thursday as growing optimism about a possible end to conflicts in the Middle East calmed inflation worries and improved prospects for lower interest rates.

Spot gold rose 0.5% to $4,815.15 per ounce by 0926 GMT, after rising to a one-month high in the previous session. US gold futures for June delivery gained 0.3% to $4,836.50.

"For the month of March gold was under pressure because of the need for liquidity in the metal following the war, but that is kind of mostly run its course, that need for liquidity," said Nitesh Shah, commodity strategist at WisdomTree.

Shah added that he expects gold prices to remain very well supported as concerns surrounding central bank independence and dollar debasement risk still remain prevalent, Reuters reported.

Optimism grew on Thursday that the war in the Middle East may be near an end, with a key Pakistani mediator in Tehran and the administration of US President Donald Trump talking up hopes for a deal that would open the crucial Strait of Hormuz.

Crude oil prices were up more than 1% on Thursday, but remained well below the $100-a-barrel mark.

"Gold remains supported amid renewed optimism around de-escalation. The pullback in oil prices is easing some of the inflation concerns that weighed on prices earlier in the conflict. The move reflects a broader shift in market focus," ING analysts said.

Global equities vaulted past their previous all-time highs in Asian trading as optimism grew about a deal to end the Iran war.

Gold prices fell to as low as $4,097.99 an ounce on March 23 as high inflation concerns due to soaring energy prices raised expectations of a more hawkish approach to intrest rates by the US Federal Reserve, weighing on the non-yielding metal's demand.

Prices have since recovered as investors now see a more than 34% chance of at least one US interest rate cut by 2026-end, up from 32% a day prior, as per CME's FedWatch Tool.

Among other metals, spot silver rose 1.4% to $80.12 per ounce, platinum gained 1% to $2,130.25, and palladium was up 0.9% at $1,587.25.


UK Economy Surged Ahead of Iran War, but Energy Shock to Test Resilience

Buses pass in front of the Bank of England building in London (Reuters)
Buses pass in front of the Bank of England building in London (Reuters)
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UK Economy Surged Ahead of Iran War, but Energy Shock to Test Resilience

Buses pass in front of the Bank of England building in London (Reuters)
Buses pass in front of the Bank of England building in London (Reuters)

Britain's economy put on a burst of growth in February, suggesting it was in slightly better shape before the start of the Iran war than many economists had feared, official figures showed on Thursday.

Gross domestic product expanded 0.5% month-on-month in February, the biggest increase since January 2024, the Office for National Statistics said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast a much more modest reading of 0.2%.

While the figures are likely to cheer finance minister Rachel Reeves, economists said Britain remained ⁠vulnerable to the fallout from ⁠the Middle East conflict, being highly dependent on imported energy and prone to higher inflation than peers.

"Unfortunately, the latest energy price shock has likely pulled the rug on this momentum, with another year of above-target inflation and a softening labour market likely to come," said Fergus Jiminez-England, associate economist from the National Institute for Economic and Social Research.

Britain suffered the sharpest cut to economic growth forecasts for large rich economies by the International ⁠Monetary Fund due largely to the Iran war, in forecasts published on Tuesday.

"Growth increased further in the three months to February led by broad-based increases across services," ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner said.

"Meanwhile car production recovered from the effects of the autumn cyber incident."

Economic growth for the three months to February was 0.5%, the ONS said, putting Britain's economy on track for a conspicuously strong first quarter, for a third year running.

That pattern has led to suspicions among some economists that the ONS' process of seasonal adjustment has gone awry following unusually large swings in output during the COVID-19 pandemic - something the ONS rejects.

"We're confident in our figures and seasonal adjustment processes," ⁠an ONS spokesperson ⁠said on Thursday, adding that statisticians had looked thoroughly at the issue.

James Smith, economist at ING, said he still doubted whether the ONS had fully accounted for the influence of the last period of high inflation in its seasonal adjustment process, and the timing of price increases.

"We wrote in our reaction to the January data that February or March could see a strong bounce back for exactly this reason," Smith said.

"Suffice to say, all of this is old news anyway, given the crisis we find ourselves in today."

Separate ONS data showed Britain's total trade deficit, excluding the volatile movements of precious metals, rose in inflation-adjusted terms in February to 5.627 billion pounds ($7.62 billion), its highest since November 2024.

The widening was driven by imports rising to their second-highest reading on record, after December 2022.