Saudi Arabia Raises Monthly Oil Production to Highest Level in 5 Years

Saudi Arabia raises monthly oil production to highest level in five years. (Reuters)
Saudi Arabia raises monthly oil production to highest level in five years. (Reuters)
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Saudi Arabia Raises Monthly Oil Production to Highest Level in 5 Years

Saudi Arabia raises monthly oil production to highest level in five years. (Reuters)
Saudi Arabia raises monthly oil production to highest level in five years. (Reuters)

It appears that Saudi Arabia responded to the world demand for its oil, as it began boosting output by 330,000 barrels a day in June to 10.3 million barrel per day, according to a Bloomberg News survey of analysts, oil companies and ship-tracking data.

That’s the biggest monthly jump in production since July 2013.

Based on Bloomberg’s preliminary calculations from vessel-tracking and ship-fixture data, Saudi Arabia is pushing more barrels onto world markets with shipments climbed to a 15-month high of 7.47 million bpd last month, compared with 7.15 million bpd in May.

Saudi Arabia's exports to India, Egypt and Singapore rose in June, while exports to China, Japan, South Korea and the United States dropped, the data showed. Official Saudi oil prices in May and June were high for many Asian customers.

Last week, Bloomberg quoted sources as saying that Saudi Arabia aims to raise its oil production in July to a historic level of 10.8 million bpd, as the Kingdom seeks to calm the fears of customers about rising oil prices and any potential shortage of supplies.

This is the highest level recorded so far, higher than the previous level of 10.72 million bpd recorded in November 2016.

It seems clear that Riyadh was preparing to raise production earlier this month, as explained by Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih, in his remarks in Vienna last month, saying that Aramco has been instructed to equip to raise production.

Reuters figures are much higher than Bloomberg’s figures, as it said Saudi production in June reached 10.7 million bpd, up from 10 million bpd in May.

Production from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) increased by 320,000 bpd in June, according to a Reuters survey published Monday.

At a meeting on June 23, OPEC agreed to increase supplies to 100 percent by returning to the commitment level of production cuts in force since January 2017, after months of substandard production from countries, including Venezuela and Angola.

Saudi Arabia said the measure would translate into an increase in production by about 1 million bpd.

The Reuters survey also indicated that the 12 OPEC members with supply reduction targets increased output by 680,000 bpd compared to May.

Russian average monthly oil output exceeded 11 million bpd in June for the first time since April 2017 as leading global oil producers started to ease output curbs, energy ministry data showed on Monday.

Production rose to 11.06 million bpd in June from 10.97 million bpd in May, up around 100,000 bpd. In tons, Russian oil output was 45.276 million versus 46.377 million in May.

OPEC and some other leading global oil producers led by Russia agreed last month to return to 100 percent compliance with previously agreed oil output cuts, after months of underproduction by some OPEC countries.

Russia has pledged to restore output by 200,000 bpd in the second half of the year.

Russia's largest oil producer Rosneft led the output increase, ratcheting up extraction by 1.6 percent last month to 3.89 million bpd, the data showed. The energy ministry's data does not include some of Rosneft's joint ventures.

Saudi Arabia also boosted supply to 10.70 million bpd in June, close to a record high.

Russia's natural gas production was at 53.57 billion cubic meters (bcm) last month, or 1.79 bcm a day, versus 58.12 bcm in May.



Türkiye Cenbank Cuts Rates by 250 Points to 45% as Expected

14 January 2025, Türkiye, Istanbul: A man seen rowing his boat along the Moda beach. Photo: Onur Dogman/SOPA Images via ZUMA Press Wire/dpa
14 January 2025, Türkiye, Istanbul: A man seen rowing his boat along the Moda beach. Photo: Onur Dogman/SOPA Images via ZUMA Press Wire/dpa
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Türkiye Cenbank Cuts Rates by 250 Points to 45% as Expected

14 January 2025, Türkiye, Istanbul: A man seen rowing his boat along the Moda beach. Photo: Onur Dogman/SOPA Images via ZUMA Press Wire/dpa
14 January 2025, Türkiye, Istanbul: A man seen rowing his boat along the Moda beach. Photo: Onur Dogman/SOPA Images via ZUMA Press Wire/dpa

Türkiye's central bank cut its key interest rate by 250 basis points to 45% as expected on Thursday, carrying on an easing cycle it launched last month alongside a decline in annual inflation that is expected to continue.

The central bank indicated it would continue to ease policy in the months ahead, noting that it anticipated a rise in trend inflation in January, when economists expect a higher minimum wage to lift the monthly price readings, Reuters reported.
In a slight change to its guidance, the bank said it will maintain a tight stance "until price stability is achieved via a sustained decline in inflation."
Last month, it said it would be maintained until "a significant and sustained decline in the underlying trend of monthly inflation is observed and inflation expectations converge to the projected forecast range."
In a Reuters poll, all 13 respondents forecast a cut to 45% from 47.5% in the one-week repo rate. They expect it to hit 30% by year end, according to the poll median.
In December, the central bank cut rates for the first time after 18-month tightening effort that reversed years of unorthodox economic policies and easy money championed by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has since supported the steps.
To tackle inflation that has soared for years, the bank had raised its policy rate by 4,150 basis points in total since mid-2023 and kept it at 50% for eight months before beginning easing.
Annual inflation dipped to 44.38% last month in what the central bank believes is a sustained fall toward a 5% target over a few more years. It topped 75% in May last year.
"While inflation expectations and pricing behavior tend to improve, they continue to pose risks to the disinflation process," the bank's policy committee said after its rate decision.
A 30% administered rise in the minimum wage for 2025 was lower than workers had requested, though it is expected to boost monthly inflation readings this month and next, economists say.
The expected January inflation rise "is mainly driven by services items with time-dependent pricing and backward indexation," the bank said.
The central bank has eight monetary policy meetings set for this year, down from 12 last year.