Lebanese Army Faces Challenge of Protecting Stability

Lebanese Army soldiers take part in a parade marking the 72nd Army Day, at a military academy in Fayadyeh, near Beirut, August 1, 2017. (Reuters/ Aziz Taher)
Lebanese Army soldiers take part in a parade marking the 72nd Army Day, at a military academy in Fayadyeh, near Beirut, August 1, 2017. (Reuters/ Aziz Taher)
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Lebanese Army Faces Challenge of Protecting Stability

Lebanese Army soldiers take part in a parade marking the 72nd Army Day, at a military academy in Fayadyeh, near Beirut, August 1, 2017. (Reuters/ Aziz Taher)
Lebanese Army soldiers take part in a parade marking the 72nd Army Day, at a military academy in Fayadyeh, near Beirut, August 1, 2017. (Reuters/ Aziz Taher)

Lebanon celebrates this first of August the 73rd anniversary of the establishment of its army. This year’s celebration has a special meaning as it coincides with major achievements by the army in the fight against terrorism and the ousting of terrorist groups from the eastern Lebanese borders.

The Lebanese Army has proved its combat effectiveness, starting with the battle against Fatah al-Islam in the Nahr al-Bared camp in northern Lebanon in 2007, leading to the fierce battle against ISIS which took place in Arsal on the eastern borders in August last year.

In the last three years, the army has recorded a series of achievements that have raised the interest of major international powers, which are now seeking to strengthen the Lebanese military institutions by providing it with training, arms and information capabilities.

The qualitative operations carried out by the army in recent years are the result of the bulk of military, security and intelligence work that the organization has achieved.

A military source told Asharq Al-Awsat that the most significant achievement under the leadership of General Joseph Aoun was in the battle of “Fajr al-Jouroud” in Arsal, in addition to stopping the flow of car bombs inside the country and easing the security pressure on Lebanon.

The sources emphasized that the army’s fast victory in Arsal has allowed it to focus its efforts on the protection of internal security, by chasing terrorist networks and uncovering dormant cells in successful preemptive operations.

Although the achievements of the army are a source of confidence for the Lebanese, the army has many challenges ahead, according to its leader General Joseph Aoun.

The military sources noted that among important challenges facing the army were security concerns and the protection of the borders, to prevent the risk of the infiltration of armed militants into Lebanon.

The army is also facing the threat of any Israeli attack on Lebanon’s southern border, and chasing espionage networks operating for Israel.

The director of the Middle East Institute for Strategic Affairs, Dr. Sami Nader, said that the army “has become the last resort for the Lebanese and is constantly present to protect national sovereignty, and thus lacks a single political decision to extend its absolute authority over the entire Lebanese territory.”

Since 2006, Lebanon has been trying to develop a defense strategy that would give the state a decision on war and peace, and prevent any weapons from being left outside the legitimacy. However, all dialogues have so far failed because Hezbollah refuses to handover its weapons.



Hamas Faces Leadership Void amid Complex Challenges

Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar during the 31st anniversary celebrations of his movement in 2018 (EPA)
Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar during the 31st anniversary celebrations of his movement in 2018 (EPA)
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Hamas Faces Leadership Void amid Complex Challenges

Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar during the 31st anniversary celebrations of his movement in 2018 (EPA)
Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar during the 31st anniversary celebrations of his movement in 2018 (EPA)

Palestinian sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that the assassination of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar is the “biggest blow” to the group since it was founded, even more significant than the deaths of its other leaders.
They said his killing leaves “a difficult gap to fill” and is likely to impact the situation in Gaza, the future of Hamas, and possibly the wider conflict between Iran and Israel.
Sinwar wasn’t just another Hamas leader. After launching the “Al-Aqsa Flood” on Oct. 7 last year, he became the group’s most iconic figure.
He was the “mastermind” behind the operation that exposed one of Israel’s greatest intelligence failures. Sinwar had unmatched control over Hamas’ military wing, the Al-Qassam Brigades, which is still battling in a devastated Gaza, where over 40,000 people have died.
He also strengthened Hamas’ ties with Iran, securing financial, military, and technical support from Tehran.
Under Sinwar, Hamas saw something new: both political and military decisions were controlled by one man, with strong public support in Gaza. Sinwar was seen by Hamas members as a charismatic leader, untouched by internal power struggles.
His assassination is a major win for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who had promised to go after everyone involved in the Al-Aqsa Flood operation.
This adds to Netanyahu’s list of high-profile assassinations, which includes Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. The killing also shows that the issue of hostages held by Hamas is no longer a major factor in Israel’s decision-making.
Key points from sources:
Hamas has a leadership structure to handle the loss of its leaders, but no one with Sinwar’s unique skills is left, especially after the deaths of key figures behind the Al-Aqsa Flood.
Unlike Hezbollah, Hamas is trapped in a besieged area, making it harder to receive help. Hezbollah, in contrast, can easily get support from Iran, including leadership aid.
Sinwar’s death won’t end Hamas, but it will weaken the group.
Decision-making will likely slow down, especially in balancing the political and military wings.
Sinwar’s assassination raises questions about the ongoing fighting in Gaza and the fate of hostages. His death could spark a wave of suicide attacks.
Without Sinwar, it will be hard for any new Hamas leader to accept a ceasefire, especially after the heavy Israeli strikes and the loss of key leaders, including Ismail Haniyeh, who was killed in Tehran.
The killing comes at a tense time, with Israel preparing for a possible strike on Iran, increasing the risk of a wider regional conflict.
It’s unclear how Sinwar’s death will impact Israel’s approach, or if it will bring the hostages back into focus, as some Israeli leaders suggest a ceasefire may now be possible.