Saudi Arabia: Aramco’s IPO Waits to Align With SABIC, Add Value

Saudi Minister of Energy, Industry and Mineral Resources inaugurates Modon’s new identity in Riyadh on October 7, 2018. (SPA)
Saudi Minister of Energy, Industry and Mineral Resources inaugurates Modon’s new identity in Riyadh on October 7, 2018. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia: Aramco’s IPO Waits to Align With SABIC, Add Value

Saudi Minister of Energy, Industry and Mineral Resources inaugurates Modon’s new identity in Riyadh on October 7, 2018. (SPA)
Saudi Minister of Energy, Industry and Mineral Resources inaugurates Modon’s new identity in Riyadh on October 7, 2018. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy, Industry and Mineral Resources Khalid al-Falih has attributed "some delays in Aramco's initial public offering to its aligning with SABIC along with adding to its value.”

He said this is likely to produce very impressive results on the market valuation of Saudi Aramco from which the Kingdom will enjoy significant benefits on various levels.

This came during the Minister’s inauguration of the new identity of Saudi Organization for Industrial Estates & Technology Zones (Modon) on Sunday along with the launching of a new phase of enabling the national industry and the advancement of the industrial sector in the Kingdom.

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that negotiations between the Public Investment Fund (PIF) and Aramco to buy the PIF’s share in SABIC are taking place.

This step will open up a great opportunity for integration in the hydrocarbon chain of production and exploration that can be done by Aramco and the refining sector, Falih noted.

He also pointed out that Aramco is one of the major companies in the refining sector that can integrate with the petrochemical sector.

“We are proud that SABIC is one of the most advanced and expanding companies in the world. Therefore, this will be a qualitative leap for the Saudi industry and for the integration of two key sectors," he stressed.

"Accordingly, there will be some delay in Aramco's IPO until the two companies are aligned and their value is added, which will have very impressive results on the market valuation of Aramco.”

SABIC will be more efficient and secure and investors will benefit from that, he said.

He revealed the approval on the establishment of new funds and banks, such as the Export-Import Bank (EX-IM Bank) to enable manufacturers in industrial cities to access the world markets as one of the targets through easy financing.

Through these banks and the new financing methods, the PIF will contribute to the transfer of the technique.

Regarding Modon’s new identity, Falih said he has launched a workshop with 33 government agencies working through the National Industrial Development and Logistics Program to promote the program, which is the most economically viable in achieving the Kingdom’s Vision 2030.

He explained that the program works on the integration among all energy sectors in their traditional types, renewable energy, atomic energy, supply chains and mining sector, including those currently being developed such as aluminum, copper, gold and phosphate, and new minerals that are explored and then manufactured.



After Trump’s Victory, Arab Demands for Competitive Advantages Due to Regional Tensions

Donald Trump addresses his supporters at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in Florida on Wednesday. (EPA)
Donald Trump addresses his supporters at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in Florida on Wednesday. (EPA)
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After Trump’s Victory, Arab Demands for Competitive Advantages Due to Regional Tensions

Donald Trump addresses his supporters at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in Florida on Wednesday. (EPA)
Donald Trump addresses his supporters at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in Florida on Wednesday. (EPA)

With the election of Donald Trump as US president, the global economy has gained direction for the coming years. Trump’s policies favor corporate tax cuts, increased investment, and expansionary monetary policies. He also promotes local production to boost job creation, which involves imposing significant tariffs on trade partners, particularly in Asia. This approach could trigger a trade war, affecting inflation in both the US and worldwide.

The US economy is already grappling with high prices, slower economic growth, and rising unemployment, alongside a national debt nearing 99% of GDP. This backdrop underscores the importance of economic issues in the recent election.

For the new US administration, domestic concerns will not be the sole priority. Ongoing geopolitical tensions, especially recent Middle Eastern conflicts, will also impact the US economy. To gain regional insights, Asharq Al-Awsat consulted economists from various Arab nations on their expectations and requests from the US president regarding the Middle East.

Priority of Regional Stability

Dr. Mohamed Youssef, an Egyptian economist, emphasized that regional stability is crucial, benefiting the economy and paving the way for resolving complex issues like the Nile Dam dispute affecting Egypt. He highlighted the American role in fostering calm in the region.

Iraqi economist Durgham Mohamed Ali noted that US relations vary across the Middle East; while Lebanon and Yemen remain outside current US alliances, Sudan and Somalia require international aid to rebuild infrastructure.

Competitive Advantage for Arab Countries

Ahmed Moaty, a global markets expert from Egypt, suggested that reduced US tariffs would improve Arab economies’ competitiveness. However, he pointed out the American high debt could motivate the administration to impose tariffs to protect local industries and reduce imports. Ali observed that US tariffs are interest-driven and selective, favoring allies like Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea while being stringent toward BRICS members, such as China, Brazil, and South Africa. He linked tariff policies to regional geopolitics, especially the conflicts involving Israel, Lebanon, Palestine, and Iran, which could influence US economic decisions.

Dr. Mohamed Youssef also argued that easing US-China competition could benefit the global economy, as high tariffs on Chinese goods reduce China’s growth, decreasing demand for key commodities like oil.

Ibrahim Al-Nwaibet, CEO of Saudi Arabia’s Value Capital, predicted that a Republican win could positively impact oil and interest rates, revitalizing the petrochemical and trade finance sectors.

On currency, Moaty noted the strong US dollar pressures emerging markets, especially in the Middle East. He suggested offering US Treasury bonds with higher yields to Arab countries as a counterbalance. Ali added that the dollar’s strength poses challenges for countries heavily reliant on US currency amid global liquidity shortages.

The BRICS Bloc

Ali also mentioned the high levels of US debt, explaining: “In general, the entire world is concerned about rising US debt, slowing growth rates... and is wary of the BRICS alliance, which some Arab countries hope to join. The question remains whether a cold economic war will ensue.”

Youssef also discussed the BRICS, which could play a role in attracting the new US president’s attention to countries joining the alliance. He added: “This may provide new competitive advantages for countries in the region, particularly as countries like Egypt, the UAE, and Iran recently joined BRICS, while Saudi Arabia is still evaluating the benefits of such move.”