Exclusive – Deserters Wary of Syrian Regime’s Pledge of Pardon

Destruction in Syria. (Reuters)
Destruction in Syria. (Reuters)
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Exclusive – Deserters Wary of Syrian Regime’s Pledge of Pardon

Destruction in Syria. (Reuters)
Destruction in Syria. (Reuters)

Syrian refugees, who shirked army conscription, have voiced skepticism of the regime’s amnesty from military service.

In October, the regime announced an amnesty for men who deserted the army or have avoided military service, giving them several months to report for duty without facing punishment.

The fear of conscription, and potential punishment for ducking it or for desertion, is frequently cited by aid groups as one of the main reasons refugees give for not wanting to return home.

Ahmed, 26, completed his university degree during the second year of the Syrian war and is wanted for mandatory military enlistment.

However, along with a group of his university friends, he sought refuge in any country out of fear of being forced to report to duty.

He said that the majority of his friends would like to return to their homeland, “but the regime cannot be trusted.”

“It had previously issued similar pardons. Some were fooled and turned themselves over to the authorities or were sent to the frontline where they were killed,” he explained.

“Ending mandatory enlistment and a regime change are the only ways I will return,” he added, saying that this sentiment is shared with many others.

Millions of Syrians fled their country with the eruption of the war in 2011. Many sought refuge in neighboring countries and Europe in search of a better life. The United Nations estimates that some 5.6 million Syrians are displaced abroad and some 7 million are internally displaced.

Many of the refugees fled out of fear of being forced to enlist in regime forces. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights estimated that some 150,000 Syrian deserted conscription since the beginning of the war.

Enlistment is mandatory for every man who turns 18. Prior to the war, conscription lasted some two years. Now and as the war rages on, it could last an indefinite time.

The regime often tries to convince deserters to head to service, resorting to various means, such as the pardon that was announced in October.

Syria’s al-Watan newspaper estimated that some 800,000 were wanted for conscription in the reserves.

Samer, an English teacher in his 30s, fled Syria to Turkey in 2014 once he found out that he was soon going to be called up to enlist in the reserves.

“Many deserters who believed the previous pardons were arrested by the regime and many have gone missing,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“Assuming many of them do return, how will the regime treat them? Will they be lavished with care or treated as traitors?” he wondered.

Sources from Syrian border crossings told Asharq Al-Awsat that “very few” Syrians responded to the regime’s promise of amnesty.

Under Syrian military law, deserters can face years of prison if they leave their posts and do not report for service within a set amount of time.

Syria’s conflict began in 2011 after mass protests against the regime, eventually leading to half a million deaths and drawing in world and regional powers.

Many soldiers deserted, some to join the opposition and others to escape the fighting. More than half the pre-war population fled their homes.

While the amnesty covers desertion, it does not cover fighting against the regime or joining the opposition factions, who are regarded by the regime as terrorists.



Israeli Attack Exposed Iran's Military 'Vulnerability', Say Analysts

 A building stands damaged in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
A building stands damaged in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
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Israeli Attack Exposed Iran's Military 'Vulnerability', Say Analysts

 A building stands damaged in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
A building stands damaged in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters

Israel's strikes on archfoe on Iran Friday exposed severe weaknesses for Tehran that have hampered its ability to respond militarily, analysts said.

Israel said it hit 100 targets including Iranian nuclear and military sites in the attacks, killing senior figures, among them the armed forces' chief and top nuclear scientists.

Supreme leader Ali Khamenei warned Israel it faces a "bitter and painful" fate over the attacks, but analysts say the country's options are limited.

"This is an intelligence defeat of existential proportions for Iran," said Ali Fathollah-Nejad, director of the Berlin-based Center for Middle East and Global Order (CMEG) think tank.

"It exposes the vital vulnerability of the regime's military and security apparatus and its key infrastructures, including nuclear, as well as its top political and military leadership," he told AFP.

"All this is meant, inter alia, to cripple Tehran's command and counter-strike capacities."

The United States and other Western countries, along with Israel, accuse Iran of seeking a nuclear weapon.

Tehran denies that, but has gradually broken away from its commitments under the 2015 nuclear deal it struck with world powers, after the United States pulled out of it.

The landmark accord provided Iran sanctions relief in exchange for curbs on its atomic program, but it fell apart after President Donald Trump halted US participation in 2018, during his first term.

Western nations in recent days accused Tehran of deliberately escalating its nuclear program, despite several rounds of US-Iran talks for a new accord.

Iran's Atomic Energy Organization said Thursday it would "significantly" increase production of enriched uranium, after the UN's nuclear watchdog found Tehran in breach of its obligations.

Israel has previously carried out attacks in Iran, including against military targets in October last year.

But Friday's attacks were unprecedented.

"The Israel campaign is sweeping in scope and sophistication," said Ali Vaez, of the International Crisis Group.

"We may still only be in the early stages of a prolonged operation that continues to expand, disrupting Iran's ability to either formulate or execute a response."

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned his country's military operation would "continue for as many days as it takes to remove this threat".

Friday's strikes killed Iran's highest-ranking military officer, armed forces chief of staff Mohammad Bagheri, and the head of the powerful Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, Hossein Salami, Iranian media reported.

A senior advisor to Khamenei was also wounded, state television said.

Clement Therme, of the Sorbonne University, said that "to retaliate, the regime seems to be in a bind".

"Either it targets US bases in the region and jeopardizes its future, or it targets Israel, but we see that its military capabilities are limited," he said.

The Israeli military said Iran launched around 100 drones against it, but its air defenses intercepted "most" of them outside Israeli territory.

Israel, which relies on US diplomatic and military support, carried out the attack despite Trump's public urging for it to give time for diplomacy.

Trump's Middle East pointman Steve Witkoff had been set to hold a sixth round of talks with Iran on Sunday in Oman.

A Western diplomat earlier this year described Iran's economy as "cataclysmic", saying the country had "a gigantic need for the lifting of sanctions, reforms, a cleanup of the banking system, foreign investments".

Ellie Geranmayeh, an Iran expert at the European Council on Foreign Relations, said the strikes were "designed to kill President Trump's chances of striking a deal to contain the Iranian nuclear program".

"It is highly unlikely that in these conditions, Iran will proceed with the Omani-mediated talks scheduled for Sunday," she added.

But, after the strikes, a US official said Washington still hoped the Sunday talks would go ahead.

Trump urged Iran to "make a deal, before there is nothing left", warning that otherwise there will be more "death and destruction".

Vaez warned the strategy may not work.

"Rather than prompt Iranian concessions it could also lead to a doubling down by Tehran," he said.

"Setbacks could lead Iran to reconstitute their operations with a more determined effort to obtain a nuclear deterrent."