Exclusive – Ahwaz Floods: Environment Catastrophe and Demographic Engineering

An aerial view of flooding in Khuzestan province, Iran, April 5, 2019. (Reuters)
An aerial view of flooding in Khuzestan province, Iran, April 5, 2019. (Reuters)
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Exclusive – Ahwaz Floods: Environment Catastrophe and Demographic Engineering

An aerial view of flooding in Khuzestan province, Iran, April 5, 2019. (Reuters)
An aerial view of flooding in Khuzestan province, Iran, April 5, 2019. (Reuters)

The floods in Iran, which have raged for more than 30 days, have imposed a stifling “siege” on Arab cities in the southwestern regions of the country, forcing some 500,000 people to leave their homes.

The floods, which have headed south, have left devastation in their wake in the Kurdistan, Kermanshah, Lorestan and Ilam provinces. Interior Ministry figures showed that 24 out of 31 provinces have been affected by the flooding.

“The recent floods are unprecedented... 25 provinces and more than 4,400 villages have been affected,” Interior Minister Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli was quoted as saying in parliament by state news agency IRNA on Sunday.

Fazli said the floods had caused around 350 trillion rials ($2.5 billion) worth of damage.

The European Commission said that 11 million Iranians have been affected and Iranian authorities revealed that 76 people were killed. State television said that the rainfall in the country was unprecedented in 300 years.

Political aspect
A week after the western provinces were struck by floods, President Hassan Rouhani headed to the Ahwaz area to inspect the damage. National Security chief Ali Shamkhani had previously warned that Ahwaz was vulnerable to a “humanitarian catastrophe”, speaking of challenges due to the flooding. The governor of Ahwaz, Gholamreza Shariati, denied these claims.

On Friday, head of the Khomeini Relief Foundation, Parviz Fattah, underscored the severity of the situation in the Arab regions, saying that “this could have been avoided and that the dams authority was mistaken in its estimates.”

Water management
Climate experts, meanwhile, dismissed the government’s assertion that the flooding has helped ease the effects of drought in Iran. They instead said that the flooding was a consequence of climate change, warning that more severe floods should be expected in the future. Meteorological Organization chief, Sahar Tajbakhsh, said that 60 to 65 percent Iranian territories were still suffering from drought. The government has ignored these claims, instead insisting that the drought was over.

Moreover, the floods and heavy rain have exposed the harm dam projects have had on the country’s rivers. The projects have also negatively affected the Hawizeh Marshes, which straddles the Iraq border.

The Ministries of Roads and Urban Development and Energy and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps’ (IRGC) agricultural arm, the Khatam-al Anbiya Construction Headquarters, have all collaborated in setting up dam projects in Iran. Since 1979, ten major dams have been built on the Karun and Karkheh Rivers. Dozens of smaller ones have been constructed to divert river routes and control water levels.

Arab residents of the southwestern region have expressed concern over the authorities’ plans to set up two other dams that could divert waters from Ahwaz to central Iran.

Oil facilities
The flooding has exposed the Energy Ministry’s plan to divide the Hawizeh Marshes into several basins to drain the marshes on the Iranian side of the border as part of its efforts to develop the Azadegan oilfield. Activists have launched campaigns in Persian and Arabic against these ambitions. The IRGC and Energy Minister Bijan Namdar Zangeneh have denied the plans and sought to contain local anger.

Arab displacement
The floods have also heightened concerns over the forced displacement of Arabs in the Ahwaz region. In 2005, hundreds of thousands of Arabs marched in protest against then President Mohammad Khatami’s plans to displace them to other regions and encourage non-Arabs to take up residence in their place.

The area has for years suffered from government negligence, most notably after the end of the Iraqi-Iranian war, where it has yet to recover from the impact of the conflict. The authorities have only sought to reconstruct oil facilities and neglected to revive and improve services.

In addition, since the 1990s, successive governments have sought to implement several major projects aimed at reducing agricultural land owned by Arabs and consequently force them to quit the area.

This year’s floods have revived concerns over displacement when the authorities ordered the evacuation of 12 cities and towns. Official sources said that only some ten percent of the locals heeded this call. Some social media users have also posted recordings of Ahwaz locals, who claimed that authorities deliberately caused the floods in order to displace the population.



US Lawmakers’ Bipartisan Taiwan Visit Signals Support Despite Harsh Words and Tariffs from Trump

 US Senator Pete Ricketts, right, and Chris Coons are interviewed by the Associated Press in Taipei, Taiwan, Thursday, April 17, 2025. (AP)
US Senator Pete Ricketts, right, and Chris Coons are interviewed by the Associated Press in Taipei, Taiwan, Thursday, April 17, 2025. (AP)
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US Lawmakers’ Bipartisan Taiwan Visit Signals Support Despite Harsh Words and Tariffs from Trump

 US Senator Pete Ricketts, right, and Chris Coons are interviewed by the Associated Press in Taipei, Taiwan, Thursday, April 17, 2025. (AP)
US Senator Pete Ricketts, right, and Chris Coons are interviewed by the Associated Press in Taipei, Taiwan, Thursday, April 17, 2025. (AP)

Republican and Democratic lawmakers made their first trip to Taiwan under the new Trump administration a bipartisan one, aiming to show both Taiwan and China that US support for Taiwan's defense remains broad, despite the harsh words and harsh tariffs President Donald Trump has had for the Taiwanese.

Taiwan's leaders so far in this week's trip by two Republican and one Democratic senator are messaging back just as hard, assuring the Republican US administration that they have taken in Trump's complaints and are acting on them.

Many Asia-Pacific nations are eschewing the retaliatory criticism and tariffs of some of the US's European allies after Trump earlier this month slapped broad tariffs on many countries around the world, including a 32% one for Taiwan.

Despite that hit, conversations in Taiwan this week were “optimistic and forward-looking,” Democratic Sen. Chris Coons said in Taipei. “And I'm optimistic that we're going to see a strong next chapter in US-Taiwan relations.”

That includes assurances from the Taiwanese that they are working fast to strike new trade and investment deals that suit the Trump administration, on top of the advanced-semiconductor giant's $100 billion investment this year alone in chip production in the US.

Taking all the lessons from Ukraine in its defense against Russia and criticism from Trump, Taiwan also says it is investing fast to make their military stronger, nimbler and less dependent on the US, as the island's strongest deterrent against China, the US lawmakers said. That includes seeking investment with Americans on drone warfare.

Sens. Pete Ricketts and Coons, the ranking Republican and Democrat on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee's East Asia subcommittee, spoke ahead of scheduled talks Friday with President Lai Ching-te, Defense Minister Wellington Koo and national security adviser Joseph Wu. Republican Sen. Ted Budd also is on the trip.

The mission comes at a time that an economy-shaking trade war between the US and China has some warning that China could strike out at Taiwan, a self-governed island with a vibrant democracy and the world's top production of the most advanced semiconductors. China claims Taiwan as its territory, to be retaken by force if necessary.

Trump has repeatedly accused Taiwan of “stealing” the United States’ computer chip industry. His criticism of Taiwan, and his insistence last year that “Taiwan should pay us” for its defense, have heightened concern that the US, Taiwan’s strongest military partner, might decide not to get too involved if China were ever to attack Taiwan.

The 32% tariffs on Taiwan included in Trump’s sweeping new tariffs on trade partners this month surprised many Taiwanese, who thought that their government had shown itself a true ally to Washington.

“Look past the rhetoric and look at the action,” Ricketts said, repeating a watchword of the Republicans on Trump’s statements.

After saying he was in no rush to finish trade deals, the president said he thought he could wrap up talks “over the next three or four weeks.”

Ricketts cited the priority that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has placed on helping the Asia-Pacific secure itself against China. That included making the region one of the first he visited in office, Ricketts said.

Ricketts said Taiwan's leaders already had reached out to Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick for negotiations, moving quickly in the 90-day pause that Trump announced before the United States starts enforcing the new tariffs on most countries.

Lai, Taiwan's president, has pledged to increase Taiwan's military spending to 3% of its gross domestic product, up from about 2.5%, bringing it up to nearly a fifth of its overall budget. Taiwan also is talking to Americans about partnerships in producing drones, part of taking a lesson from Ukraine in its defense against Russia in emphasizing fleet fighting forces working with portable Stingers, lawmakers said.

Taiwan's own defense industry is also producing advanced weapons from submarines to small arms and anti-air missiles.

“Of course, there is the possibility that Xi Jinping would decide that this is the right time for the Chinese Communist Party to take aggressive action,” Coons said of the Chinese president.

“I think it’s exactly the wrong thing for them to do,” Coons said. “I think they would find a forceful and united response.”