Syrian Refugees in Lebanon’s Bekaa Fear Return

Syrian refugees near their camps in the Bekaa. Asharq Al-Awsat
Syrian refugees near their camps in the Bekaa. Asharq Al-Awsat
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Syrian Refugees in Lebanon’s Bekaa Fear Return

Syrian refugees near their camps in the Bekaa. Asharq Al-Awsat
Syrian refugees near their camps in the Bekaa. Asharq Al-Awsat

The sign “Supermarket, Shop, Grocery” is written on top of a tent located at the entrance of a Syrian refugee camp in eastern Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley, which hosts around 400,000 Syrians who have fled their country’s war.

The “strategic” location of the supermarket tent is an indication of the power its owner wields. His son was born in Lebanon 15 years ago, unlike the camp's other Syrians, who are all refugees.

There are around 72 tents with the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) written on them.

According to the UNHCR, 88 percent of refugees want to return to their homeland. However, the displaced Syrians are hesitant, not because they are waiting for a political solution or the reconstruction process in Syria, but they are rather concerned over their properties and documentation papers, in addition to their legal status back home.

At the camp, a Shawish or officer is seen as the link between the camp and the outside world. The brother of the supermarket owner, Ahmad Taleb, assumes this mission and he explains to Asharq Al-Awsat the reasons behind the refugees’ fears to return to Syria.

“We do not only fear war and the regime, but also gangsters who prepare false reports accusing us of being terrorists, and have us arrested although I haven’t engaged any political activity against the State,” Taleb said.

He explained that the refugees’ needs are met at the camp. “The UN is helping us,” Taleb said, adding that sometimes, refugees work in agriculture and receive a daily wage of $4.

Most refugees in the Bekaa camp came from villages in the countryside of Aleppo, Raqqa, Deir Ezzor and Homs.

Aisha, a refugee at the camp, said she fears returning to Syria because the future became vague with the death of her husband. “Here, it is safe. When our villages become secure and when our houses are rebuilt, we will return,” she said, adding that her family used to plant wheat in Syria.

“What will become of us if we do not recuperate our land there?” she asked.



What Happens When Russian Gas to Europe Via Ukraine Stops?

A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo
A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo
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What Happens When Russian Gas to Europe Via Ukraine Stops?

A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo
A view shows a board with the logo of Russian gas producer Gazprom at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia June 5, 2024. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov/File Photo

Austria's energy company OMV was informed by Gazprom that the Russian gas producer would halt deliveries of natural gas via Ukraine to OMV from 0500 GMT on Nov. 16 following OMV winning an arbitration case. Supplies of Russian gas to Europe via Ukraine may completely stop from Jan. 1 2025 after the current five-year deal expires as Kyiv has refused to negotiate the new terms of the transit with Moscow during the war.
Here is what happens if Russian gas transit via Ukraine is completely turned off and who will be affected most, according to Reuters.
HOW BIG ARE THE VOLUMES?
Russian gas supplies to Europe via Ukraine are relatively small. Russia shipped about 15 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas via Ukraine in 2023 - only 8% of peak Russian gas flows to Europe via various routes in 2018-2019.
Russia spent half a century building its European gas market share, which at its peak stood at 35%.
Moscow lost its share to rivals such as Norway, the United States and Qatar since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, prompting the EU to cut its dependence on Russian gas.
EU gas prices rallied in 2022 to record highs after the loss of Russian supplies. The rally won't be repeated given modest volumes and a small number of customers for the remaining volumes, according to EU officials and traders.
UKRAINIAN ROUTE
The Soviet-era Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod pipeline brings gas from Siberia via the town of Sudzha - now under control of Ukrainian military forces - in Russia's Kursk region. It then flows through Ukraine to Slovakia.
In Slovakia, the gas pipeline splits into branches going to the Czech Republic and Austria.
Austria still receives most of its gas via Ukraine, while Russia accounts for around two-thirds of Hungary's gas imports.
Slovakia takes around 3 bcm from energy giant Gazprom per year, also about two-thirds of its needs.
Czech Republic almost completely cut gas imports from the east last year, but has started taking gas from Russia in 2024.
Most other Russian gas routes to Europe are shut including Yamal-Europe via Belarus and Nord Stream under the Baltic.
The only other operational Russian gas pipeline route to Europe is the Blue Stream and TurkStream to Türkiye under the Black Sea. Türkiye sends some Russian gas volumes onward to Europe including to Hungary.
WHY DOES THE UKRAINIAN ROUTE STILL WORK?
While remaining Russian gas transit volumes are small, the issue remains a dilemma for the EU. Many EU members such as France and Germany have said they would not buy Russian gas anymore but the stance of Slovakia, Hungary and Austria, which have closer ties to Moscow, challenges the EU common approach.
The countries, who still receive Russian gas, argue it is the most economic fuel and also blame neighboring EU countries for imposing high transit fees for alternative supplies.
Ukraine still earns $0.8-$1 billion in transit fees from Russian gas transit. Russia earns over $3 billion on sales via Ukraine based on an average gas price of $200 per 1,000 cubic meters, according to Reuters calculations.
Russia's gas pipeline export monopoly Gazprom plunged to a net loss of $7 billion in 2023, its first annual loss since 1999, because of the loss EU's gas markets.
Russia has said it would be ready to extend the transit deal but Kyiv has repeatedly said it won't do it.
Another option is for Gazprom to supply some of the gas via another route, for example via TurkStream, Bulgaria, Serbia or Hungary. However, capacity via these routes is limited.
The EU and Ukraine have also asked Azerbaijan to facilitate discussions with Russia regarding the gas transit deal, an Azeri presidential advisor told Reuters, who declined to give further details.