Gulf States Hold Closed-Door Talks in Berlin to Change ‘Image’ of Iran Relations

Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel earlier this month. (WAM)
Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel earlier this month. (WAM)
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Gulf States Hold Closed-Door Talks in Berlin to Change ‘Image’ of Iran Relations

Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel earlier this month. (WAM)
Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel earlier this month. (WAM)

Gulf countries apprehensively approach Germany given its seemingly close political ties with Iran and its somewhat “lenient” approach towards its regime. Efforts have been increasing in Berlin to change this image among Gulf countries. To that end, a forum, described as the first of its kind, was held in the German capital to discuss the ties with the Gulf. The meeting brought together decision-makers from the Gulf and Germany to hold frank, rather than diplomatic, talks.

The two-day meeting was organized by the Federal Academy for Security Policy and the German-Arab Friendship Association and held away from the media spotlight. Iran took center stage at the discussions given recent tensions in the Gulf. The situation in each of Yemen, Syria and Iraq were also covered. Gulf officials did not hesitate in blaming Iran for stoking tensions, while also accusing Germany of failing to play a bigger role in easing them. They also spoke of “economic interests” binding Berlin to Tehran that was limiting Germany’s political policy.

German officials at the talks, however were keen to underline that Berlin and Tehran did not enjoy a “special” relationship. German officials included figures from the defense and foreign ministries and lawmakers. They stressed that economic relations do not dictate Germany’s behavior.

Accusations of “special” relations between Germany and Iran are not unfounded and date back to several decades and continued even after the 1979 revolution. In 1984, then German Foreign Minister Hans-Dietrich Genscher visited Tehran, becoming the first European official to do so since the revolution. Since then, Germany became a main trade partner to Iran. In 2014, it was estimated that German exports to Iran exceeded more than 3.5 billion euros.

After the 2015 nuclear deal, this exchange increased even further. German Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel was among the first European officials to visit Tehran after the deal was signed. In 2015, the trade exchange between the two countries reached 2.5 billion euros and these numbers increased in early 2016. They have, however, started to steadily decline after the US withdrew from the nuclear accord in May 2018.

Despite this, Germany remains one of the greatest defenders of the nuclear pact and it was among the European countries that reaped the most benefits from it, which explains why Berlin is working tirelessly to salvage it, prompting accusations that its relations with Tehran were dictated by its economic interests.

Officials at the forum refuted these claims, saying that their country was seeking to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, which would lead to an arms race in the region. They said that the 2015 pact was the best solution to the situation, reiterating their opposition to Washington’s withdrawal from the deal.

MP Johann David Wadephul told Asharq Al-Awsat that disputes between Germany and the Gulf were not a big as they are being portrayed. He pointed out that two sides are in agreement that Iran should not acquire nuclear arms, but they had differences over how to implement this. They were also in agreement that Iran’s policies in the Middle East were aggressive and hostile, which is a danger to peace in the region. On whether Germany and Iran enjoy special relations, he said: “We do not share any strategic values or goals with Iran.”

Moreover, Wadephul said that after the US withdrawal from the nuclear deal, many opportunities were available to reach a common strategy on Iran. “We must seize the opportunity to draft a new pact because the old agreement is over.”

“This will give us a chance to reach a comprehensive deal that covers all of Iran’s policies, including its hostile behavior that allows it to make gains in Syria and other areas,” he remarked.

In addition, he said that economic ties were not dictating relations between Berlin and Tehran. “We do not have an important economic relationship with Iran. We have very important economic ties with the Gulf states, especially Saudi Arabia,” he stressed.

According to the German Foreign Ministry, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are Berlin’s two greatest trade partners in the region. In 2017, German imports to the Kingdom exceeded 6.5 billion euros.

Relations between Riyadh and Berlin have returned to normal after previous tensions that saw the Kingdom withdraw its ambassador in 2017 over the then German foreign minister’s accusation that Saudi Arabia was behind the resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri from his post. Relations went back on track after current Foreign Minister Heiko Maas offered a public apology during a joint press conference with then Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly.

Saudi Arabia has since then appointed a new ambassador, Prince Faisal bin Farhan al-Saud, who was born in Germany.

The envoy took part in the opening of the Berlin forum. He told Asharq Al-Awsat that since assuming his post earlier this year, he sensed “great interest” from Germany in relations with Saudi Arabia and the important role it plays. He echoed Wadephul’s comments that Germany was not close to Iran.

“I think they realize that the greatest source of instability in the region is currently Iran,” he stated.

Indeed, the side discussions at the forum focused on Yemen and Tehran’s role there. The Gulf participants said that Tehran is the main backer of the Houthi militias and it was obstructing the UN-sponsored political dialogue. They urged Germany to exploit its relationship with Iran to pressure the Houthis to accept political dialogue based on international resolutions. They also called on it to “quit playing the role of silent mediator and play an active one.”

Despite German officials’ acknowledgment that Iran was involved in the conflict, they asserted that the Yemenis alone could end the war. They did admit, however, that Tehran has a hand in hindering progress, in contrast to Riyadh and Abu Dhabi’s positive role that facilitated the Stockholm agreement.

Head of the Federal Academy for Security Policy Karl-Heinz Kamp said that the forum served as a platform for Gulf-German talks, acknowledging the problems between the two sides. He hoped that the forum would be held on an annual basis.

“We realize that Iran poses a danger to us too,” he added, saying that Germany’s foreign policy was closest to the Gulf policy.



Hezbollah’s ‘Statelet’ in Syria’s Qusayr Under Israeli Fire

Smoke billows from al-Qusayr in western Syria following an attack. (SANA)
Smoke billows from al-Qusayr in western Syria following an attack. (SANA)
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Hezbollah’s ‘Statelet’ in Syria’s Qusayr Under Israeli Fire

Smoke billows from al-Qusayr in western Syria following an attack. (SANA)
Smoke billows from al-Qusayr in western Syria following an attack. (SANA)

Israel has expanded its strikes against Hezbollah in Syria by targeting the al-Qusayr region in Homs.

Israel intensified its campaign against Hezbollah in Lebanon in September and has in the process struck legal and illegal borders between Lebanon and Syria that are used to smuggle weapons to the Iran-backed party. Now, it has expanded its operations to areas of Hezbollah influence inside Syria itself.

Qusayr is located around 20 kms from the Lebanese border. Israeli strikes have destroyed several bridges in the area, including one stretching over the Assi River that is a vital connection between Qusayr and several towns in Homs’ eastern and western countrysides.

Israel has also hit main and side roads and Syrian regime checkpoints in the area.

The Israeli army announced that the latest attacks targeted roads that connect the Syrian side of the border to Lebanon and that are used to smuggle weapons to Hezbollah.

Qusayr is strategic position for Hezbollah. The Iran-backed party joined the fight alongside the Syrian regime against opposition factions in the early years of the Syrian conflict, which began in 2011. Hezbollah confirmed its involvement in Syria in 2013.

Hezbollah waged its earliest battles in Syria against the “Free Syrian Army” in Qusayr. After two months of fighting, the party captured the region in mid-June 2013. By then, it was completely destroyed and its population fled to Lebanon.

A source from the Syrian opposition said Hezbollah has turned Qusayr and its countryside to its own “statelet”.

It is now the backbone of its military power and the party has the final say in the area even though regime forces are deployed there, it told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“Qusayr is critical for Hezbollah because of its close proximity to the Lebanese border,” it added.

Several of Qusayr’s residents have since returned to their homes. But the source clarified that only regime loyalists and people whom Hezbollah “approves” of have returned.

The region has become militarized by Hezbollah. It houses training centers for the party and Shiite militias loyal to Iran whose fighters are trained by Hezbollah, continued the source.

Since Israel intensified its attacks against Hezbollah in Lebanon, the party moved the majority of its fighters to Qusayr, where the party also stores large amounts of its weapons, it went on to say.

In 2016, Shiite Hezbollah staged a large military parade at the al-Dabaa airport in Qusayr that was seen as a message to the displaced residents, who are predominantly Sunni, that their return home will be impossible, stressed the source.

Even though the regime has deployed its forces in Qusayr, Hezbollah ultimately holds the greatest sway in the area.

Qusayr is therefore of paramount importance to Hezbollah, which will be in no way willing to cede control of.

Lebanese military expert Brig. Gen Saeed Al-Qazah told Asharq Al-Awsat that Qusayr is a “fundamental logistic position for Hezbollah.”

He explained that it is where the party builds its rockets and drones that are delivered from Iran. It is also where the party builds the launchpads for firing its Katyusha and grad rockets.

Qazah added that Qusayr is also significant for its proximity to Lebanon’s al-Hermel city and northeastern Bekaa region where Hezbollah enjoys popular support and where its arms deliveries pass through on their way to the South.

Qazah noted that Israel has not limited its strikes in Qusayr to bridges and main and side roads, but it has also hit trucks headed to Lebanon, stressing that Israel has its eyes focused deep inside Syria, not just the border.