Egypt Issues New Unified Law for the General Budget

Ministry of Finance in Cairo, Egypt (File Photo: Reuters)
Ministry of Finance in Cairo, Egypt (File Photo: Reuters)
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Egypt Issues New Unified Law for the General Budget

Ministry of Finance in Cairo, Egypt (File Photo: Reuters)
Ministry of Finance in Cairo, Egypt (File Photo: Reuters)

Egypt’s Minister of Finance Mohamed Maaet announced Sunday that a draft unified law for the general budget and government accounting has been completed and is ready for submission to the cabinet and parliament during its next session.

Maaet said in a press statement obtained by Asharq Al-Awsat that this draft law applies a “program performance” budget, which helps rationalize public expenditure and entrench the concepts of accounting and accountability.

“In addition, it helps outline the budget for better financial planning and put a future vision for financial performance of the state’s administrative institutions,” he said.

He explained that the new law was drafted in the light of international experiences in drafting, executing and monitoring the budget, taking into account the digital transformation that Egypt has recently witnessed and current financial legislation.

He added that there are many motives behind the drafting of a unified law for the budget and government accounting, pointing out that there are two laws governing the financial performance in Egypt.

These laws had been amended several times. However, it became evident that they do not meet the changes in the budget, especially in light of recent developments and the transition to mechanized systems.

The draft law aims to remain flexible in applying the budget, while maintaining the financial allocations for reuse in the following years, if circumstances prevent disbursement during the “adoption year” based on governing controls.

Over the next three years, the government aims to gradually reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio to reach 77.5 percent by the end of June 2022. It also wants to achieve average annual growth rates of at least 6 percent, and a sustained initial annual budget surplus of around 2 percent.

The fiscal year 2012-2022 will see a decline in debt-to-GDP ratio to less than it was during 2011, according to a statement by the Ministry of Finance.

It explained that the government succeeded in reducing the ratio from 108 percent at the end of June 2017, to 98 percent by the end of June 2018, then 90.5 percent by the end of June 2019.

The target is to reach a ratio of 82.5 percent by the end of June 2020 and 77.5 percent by the end of June 2022.

The statement pointed out that the Ministry diversifies its funding sources between instruments and local and foreign markets.



US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
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US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)

US shoppers are coming out in force this holiday season, but the festiveness is being tempered by inflationary pressures that have abated but not completely faded.

After the sticker shock during the latter stages of the pandemic, a familiar frustration has settled in towards consumer prices that remain broadly elevated even if they have stopped rising rapidly.

Americans are "ready to open their wallets this holiday season," said the Conference Board ahead of Black Friday -- the day after Thanksgiving, which this year, falls on November 28 -- that traditionally sees US stores kick off the Christmas shopping season with steep discounts.

"US consumers plan to spend more than last year, but inflation reduces how far their dollars can go."

In this environment, nobody expects to pay the full price for items.

"Holiday shoppers are likely to increase their budgets this year versus last year but remain selective and are looking for discounts," said a note from Morgan Stanley.

The investment bank's survey found that 35 percent planned to spend more this holiday season. But nearly two-thirds would skip a purchase if an item is not adequately discounted, meaning a price cut of more than 20 percent.

"It's gonna be a good year, but I don't think that growth is going to be spectacular because consumers are still under pressure," predicted Neil Saunders of GlobalData.

Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's two percent long-term target, rising in October to 2.6 percent on an annual basis from 2.4 percent in September. But that's significantly below the peak level of 9.1 percent in June 2022.

Other recent economic data has been solid. Unemployment remains low at 4.1 percent, while a preliminary GDP reading for the third quarter came in at 2.8 percent.

But Joe Biden's presidency coincided with about a 20 percent rise in consumer prices as Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns gave way to supply chain bottlenecks.

That inflation played a central role in the 2024 US presidential election, with Republican Donald Trump defeating Biden's appointed Democratic successor, Vice President Kamala Harris.

"There is still a perception among consumers that things are quite difficult," Saunders said. "So people are being quite cautious and careful in their spending."

- Tariff hit? -

How Trump's looming presidency will affect inflation remains to be seen. Industry groups have warned that tariffs favored by the Republican could reignite pricing pressures.

The National Retail Federation projected that a Trump tariff proposal floated during the campaign would dent US consumer budgets by as much as $78 billion annually.

But while tough potential trade actions are already preoccupying Washington trade groups, tariffs are not on consumer radars for the 2024 season, according to Saunders.

One challenge this year will be the shortness of the season.

Black Friday falls at the latest possible date on November 29, shortening the stretch between Turkey Day and Christmas on December 25.

But the impact of that dynamic on 2024 sales should not be overstated. Retailers in recent years have pulled the holiday shopping season ahead, with some vendors launching online "Black Friday" promotions as early as October.

Among the companies that have already begun discounts: the big-box chains Walmart and Target, electronics giant Best Buy and home-improvement retailer Home Depot.

Amazon officially launched "Black Friday Week" on Thursday.

NRF has projected holiday spending growth of between 2.5 and 3.5 percent in the 2024 season compared with the year-ago period, to as much as $989 billion over the two-month period.

Economists with the trade group have pointed to an easing of gasoline prices as a supportive factor.

Online sales are projected to grow as much as nine percent this season, extending a long-term trend. Black Friday itself has become a big occasion for online shopping, along with "Cyber Monday" three days later.

"Over time, we've moved from a period where it was just Black Friday, and maybe a little of the weekend, to it being a period of discounting that starts very early," said Saunders. "It's seasonal discounts."

There has been a diminishment of "doorbuster" sales that are known to draw hordes of waiting crowds, sometimes resulting in injury or worse.

Instead, increasing numbers of consumers are spreading out their purchases or opting to click through Black Friday promotions at home.