Policies of Most Countries Do Not Meet Objectives of Paris Agreement, Expert Says

Hundreds of environmentalists arrange their bodies to form a message of hope and peace in front of the Eiffel Tower in Paris, France, December 6, 2015 | Benoit Tessier/ Reuters
Hundreds of environmentalists arrange their bodies to form a message of hope and peace in front of the Eiffel Tower in Paris, France, December 6, 2015 | Benoit Tessier/ Reuters
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Policies of Most Countries Do Not Meet Objectives of Paris Agreement, Expert Says

Hundreds of environmentalists arrange their bodies to form a message of hope and peace in front of the Eiffel Tower in Paris, France, December 6, 2015 | Benoit Tessier/ Reuters
Hundreds of environmentalists arrange their bodies to form a message of hope and peace in front of the Eiffel Tower in Paris, France, December 6, 2015 | Benoit Tessier/ Reuters

Fatih Birol, a Turkish economic expert and the executive director of the International Energy Agency (IEA), said that "the environmental policies adopted by most countries, whether industrial or developing, do not help achieve the goals set in the Paris Agreement on Climate Change, and may even contribute to exacerbating the climate crisis if urgent and effective measures are not taken to reverse the current situation."

In an exclusive interview with Asharq Al-Awsat after presenting the Agency's annual report to the climate summit held in Madrid, Birol said: "The support of many governments for fossil fuels is three times higher than the support for renewable fuels, making the choice clear for consumers who automatically shift to less expensive energy, and will not change their behavior as long as this equation is not changed. Think about the electric cars that have made headlines for years, they are still expensive, while the four-wheel drive cars, considered a major environmental problem, are invading global markets."

"Environmental awareness about climate change risks and consumer behavioral decisions are important, but government policies are more important, particularly in the energy sector, which accounts for 80 percent of CO2 emissions. Without addressing this problem, there is absolutely no hope of achieving the goals of Paris Agreement," he added.

IEA Director expressed concerns about the divergence between the scientific evidence provided by experts and the foundations on which governments base their policies and use when negotiating actions to combat climate change. "Experts sound alarm bells and call for accelerating the adoption of ambitious measures before it is too late, while the governments are maneuvering to extend deadlines and loosen goals related to greenhouse gas emissions, although they are aware of the enormity of the crisis and the urgency of addressing it. It would be enough to recall the Paris agreement and its ambitious goals set in 2015, and admit that since then, gas emissions have not stopped rising."

Birol saw that the four-wheel-drive cars are causing "environmental chaos" on the global level.

He said: "In 2010, these cars accounted for 18 percent of all cars in the world, and now 10 years later, they account for 42 percent, and are expected to hit 50 percent in the US before the end of the coming decade. The four-wheel-drive cars consume 25 percent more oil than regular cars, but all indicators suggest the global demand on these cars is increasing."

This invalidates the importance of electric cars and shows us how setting goals without actions cannot lead to the desired results.

"Good intentions alone are not enough. Consumers are looking for a quick and effective response to the climate change crisis as it directly affects our lives and the future of our children. I live in Paris, where this year we have seen an unprecedented rise in temperatures that has led to the deaths of hundreds of elderly and sick people. In Africa, food crops failed in many countries because of drought, but government measures are still moving in the opposite direction," said the economist, who does not hesitate to criticize his country's consumer patterns.

"I regret to say that I don't expect much from this summit. The world powers are focusing on the trade war, feverish competition on markets, and undermining multilateralism. These are not the best conditions for confronting such a global crisis that requires everyone's contribution to successfully address it," Birol concluded.

In a related context, researchers have scooped up and measured tens of thousands of birds that died after crashing into buildings in Chicago during spring and fall migrations. Their work has documented what might be called the incredible shrinking bird.

A study published on Wednesday involving 70,716 birds killed from 1978 through 2016 in such collisions in the third-largest US city found that their average body sizes steadily declined over that time, though their wingspans increased.

The results suggest that a warming climate is driving down the size of certain bird species in North America and perhaps around the world, the researchers said. They cited a phenomenon called Bergmann's rule, in which individuals within a species tend to be smaller in warmer regions and larger in colder regions. The study focused on 52 species, mostly songbirds that breed in cold regions of North America and spend their winters in locations south of Chicago. The researchers measured and weighed a parade of birds that crashed into building windows and went splat onto the ground.

Over the four decades, body size decreased in all 52 species: the average body mass fell by 2.6%, and the leg bone length dropped by 2.4%. The wingspans increased by 1.3%, possibly to enable the species to continue to make long migrations even with smaller bodies.

"This means climate change seems to be changing both the size and shape of these species," said Biologist Brian Weeks of the University of Michigan's School for Environment and Sustainability, lead author of the study published in the journal Ecology Letter.

For his part, Dave Willard, collections manager emeritus at the Field Museum in Chicago who measured all the birds, said: "Virtually everyone agrees that the climate is warming, but examples of just how that is affecting the natural world are only now coming to light."



IAEA Demands Access to Iran’s Nuclear Facilities

IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi speaks during a press conference on the opening day of his agency's quarterly Board of Governors meeting in Vienna, Austria, March 3, 2025. (Reuters) 
IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi speaks during a press conference on the opening day of his agency's quarterly Board of Governors meeting in Vienna, Austria, March 3, 2025. (Reuters) 
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IAEA Demands Access to Iran’s Nuclear Facilities

IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi speaks during a press conference on the opening day of his agency's quarterly Board of Governors meeting in Vienna, Austria, March 3, 2025. (Reuters) 
IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi speaks during a press conference on the opening day of his agency's quarterly Board of Governors meeting in Vienna, Austria, March 3, 2025. (Reuters) 

US bombing probably caused “very significant” damage to the underground areas of Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment plant dug into a mountain, though no one can yet tell the extent, UN nuclear watchdog chief Rafael Grossi said on Monday.

In a statement to an emergency meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) 35-nation Board of Governors, Grossi appealed for immediate access to Iran’s targeted sites to assess the damage.

The United States dropped the biggest conventional bombs in its arsenal on Iranian nuclear facilities on Sunday, using those bunker-busting munitions in combat for the first time to try to eliminate sites including the Fordow uranium-enrichment plant dug into a mountain.

“At this time, no one, including the IAEA, is in a position to have fully assessed the underground damage at Fordow,” Grossi said.

He said that taking into account the highly explosive payload used in the US attacks, “very significant damage is expected to have occurred” to the highly sensitive centrifuge machinery used to enrich uranium at Fordow.

Grossi then voiced fears over “potential widening” of the Middle East conflict. “We have a window of opportunity to return to dialogue and diplomacy,” he said.

Beyond the level of damage done to Fordow's underground enrichment halls, one of the biggest open questions is the status of its stock of enriched uranium, particularly its more than 400 kg of uranium enriched to up to 60% purity, a short step from the roughly 90% that is weapons grade.

That is enough, if enriched further, for nine nuclear weapons, according to an IAEA yardstick, though Iran says its intentions are peaceful and it does not seek atomic bombs.

Iran did, however, inform the IAEA on June 13 that it would take “special measures” to protect its nuclear materials and equipment that are under so-called IAEA safeguards, the oversight provided for by the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, Grossi said.

“In my response that same day, I indicated that any transfer of nuclear material from a safeguarded facility to another location in Iran must be declared to the agency,” Grossi said.

He noted that craters are visible at the Fordow site, indicating the use by the United States of ground penetrating munitions.

For his part, McCoy Pitt, Senior Bureau Official, Bureau of International Organization Affairs said at the IAEA meeting on Monday that the urgent threat from Iran’s enrichment program cannot be ignored or explained away.

He said any allegation that the IAEA played any role in the US actions is baseless and should be rejected.

This week, a parliamentary committee had proposed a bill to Iran’s Supreme National Security Council to ban Grossi from visiting Iran.

Meanwhile, the ambassadors of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries accredited to the IAEA have jointly called for an immediate halt to regional escalation.

The GCC statement reaffirmed the group’s unwavering support for peaceful conflict resolution, highlighting the importance of learning from past crises.