After US Strikes Against Qaeda's Rimi, Will the Organization's Presence End in Yemen?

US Air Force officer passes in front of a US Reaper drone (File photo: Reuters)
US Air Force officer passes in front of a US Reaper drone (File photo: Reuters)
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After US Strikes Against Qaeda's Rimi, Will the Organization's Presence End in Yemen?

US Air Force officer passes in front of a US Reaper drone (File photo: Reuters)
US Air Force officer passes in front of a US Reaper drone (File photo: Reuters)

US President Donald Trump retweeted journalists and researchers reporting the killing of Qaeda leader in Yemen Qassim al-Rimi, 41, while the US administration has not yet confirmed his death.

Analysts said DNA tests are ongoing to avoid falling into the same mistake when Rimi was previously falsely announced dead for at least five times.

The US President is eager to know the final result to announce Rimi’s death, as he announced that of ISIS leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, last October, and the killing of Iranian commander of al-Quds Force, Qassem Soleimani, earlier this year.

Asharq Al-Awsat spoke with Maerib governor, Sultan al-Arada, who reported that the past ten days witnessed two strikes in two different locations in the governorate, and the security authorities could not identify the targets inside the two houses, pointing out that the region is witnessing numerous Houthi strikes which made it more difficult for security services to determine the drone strikes.

Saudi Arabia was the most prominent country fighting Qaeda within its territories until it expelled it completely. Riyadh was also the first to include Rimi on a terrorist wanted list in 2009, the year in which Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula was established.

Disclosed documents revealed that Osama bin Laden, Qaeda’s leader, found a haven in Yemen especially after they targeted the destroyer, USS Cole.

The US added Rimi to the "most wanted terrorists" in May 2010, and five years later he assumed the leadership of the organization, succeeding Nasser al-Wuhayshi, who was also killed in a US drone strike in June.

Washington doubled the reward on giving information about Rimi from five million to ten million dollars.

The US administration accuses him of training terrorists in Qaeda camp in Afghanistan in the 1990s. He then returned to Yemen, became a military commander, and was sentenced to five years in prison in 2005 for plotting to assassinate the US ambassador to Yemen.

He later escaped, and in 2008, he was linked to the attack on the US embassy in Sanaa that killed 10 Yemeni guards, four civilians, and six terrorists.

Yemeni researcher specializing in tribal and conflict affairs, Nadwa Al-Dossary, believes Rimi's death is a major blow to Qaeda, saying the terrorist organization has weakened a lot since the death of its most important leader in Yemen.

Dossary believes there is no point in talking about terminating Qaeda before the war in Yemen is over. She said the organization tried to take advantage of the war's conditions in Yemen and succeeded in that at first in some cities like Hadramout, Aden, and Taiz.

Houthis’ control over those was the biggest factor in the expansion of Qaeda to them. After the legitimate government regained control over the region, the group’s role diminished significantly.

Qaeda in Yemen thrives on injustice and chaos, explains Dossary, however, it is still weak in the country and not welcomed among the community and the tribes.

But the Houthis' military expansion and their continuous crimes and adoption of a sectarian agenda may contribute to creating a sectarian conflict in Yemen, which would constitute a significant support factor for Qaeda and terrorist groups in general.

Political researcher al-Baraa Shaiban believes that Qaeda will not fundamentally change, because the organization was preparing for such an event and will not end with the death of its leader.

Shaiban goes further than that and says that top officials of the organization want a figure that links them to their Afghanistan era, the period of the group’s rise.

Qaeda tried to take advantage of the security and political vacuum created by the war in Yemen, but it is clear that the organization’s operations are limited until they manage to reach the top official, explained Shaiban.

The current US administration wants to confirm that it can target Qaeda and major leaders of the organization, especially as the elections approach, noted Shaiban.

Asked by Asharq Al-Awsat over the matter, the Yemeni researcher said he believes Qaeda will not be terminated because it is linked to law enforcement institutions such as judicial intelligence services and a local authority, which are weak in Yemen.

Shaiban argues that if the state regains its full authority, it will reduce the operations of the organization in a manner that will be noticeable, adding there are external factors that are not controlled by the Yemeni government or the Yemeni decision-maker, such as the US presence in the region.



Lebanon-Israel Talks Head for Stalemate

The US Embassy in Rome, Italy, where the seventh round of Lebanese-Israeli negotiations was held. (AP)
The US Embassy in Rome, Italy, where the seventh round of Lebanese-Israeli negotiations was held. (AP)
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Lebanon-Israel Talks Head for Stalemate

The US Embassy in Rome, Italy, where the seventh round of Lebanese-Israeli negotiations was held. (AP)
The US Embassy in Rome, Italy, where the seventh round of Lebanese-Israeli negotiations was held. (AP)

Lebanese-Israeli negotiations appear headed for a period of drift, with no serious signs that political and technical discussions will translate into practical steps.

The seventh round, held in Rome last week, ended without tangible results.

The next round will be held next month, a State Department official announced Tuesday.

"The political track will reconvene in Rome in early September, and conversations will continue in Beirut, Jerusalem, and Washington in the interim," the official said on condition of anonymity.

Lebanese ministerial sources following the negotiations said the deadlock was driven mainly by Israeli and US political calculations, making a meaningful breakthrough unlikely in the near term.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu does not appear ready to make concessions or take major steps before Israel’s elections in October, the sources told Asharq Al-Awsat.

With the outcome uncertain, they said, Netanyahu would be reluctant to approve a withdrawal from areas in southern Lebanon that could carry domestic political costs or be used against him during the campaign.

Limited US pressure

The sources said Washington was also unlikely to put heavy pressure on Netanyahu at this stage, despite continuing to sponsor the negotiations.

They linked that caution to US domestic politics ahead of the midterm elections and the administration’s desire to maintain strong ties with Israel and segments of the Jewish American electorate.

That leaves Washington with limited room to push the Israeli government, the sources said.

The United States appears keen to keep the talks alive and prevent their collapse, but not to press Israel into major steps before the Israeli political picture becomes clearer.

Talks, but no implementation

The seventh round underscored the limits of the current process, the sources said.

“If there had been a serious desire to make progress, it would at least have been possible to agree on the pilot areas and identify them by name as a prelude to implementation,” they said.

Instead, discussions shifted to border issues, working mechanisms and technical arrangements.

No practical steps were agreed, including Lebanon’s demand for an end to the war and destruction, the sources said.

The problem, they added, is that the talks are increasingly focused on mechanisms and details while the political decisions needed to begin implementation remain absent.

That risks turning the negotiations into an open-ended process with no tangible outcome.

Prisoners and remains

The sources said bringing the issue of Israeli remains into the talks and linking it to the prisoners’ file was also pulling attention away from the core issues.

If there were a serious and positive effort to address the prisoners’ issue, they said, the International Committee of the Red Cross should at least be allowed to meet them, something Israel continues to refuse.

Raising such issues without taking clear steps only prolongs the negotiations, the sources said, rather than moving toward the issues Lebanon wants addressed.

Against that backdrop, Beirut is using its channels with US officials to press Israel, at least to halt the continuing bulldozing and destruction in the south.

Lebanon is stressing to Washington that ongoing destruction, alongside negotiations, makes it difficult to portray the process as serious or capable of producing a settlement, the sources said.

Beirut hopes for some progress on that front in the near term.

Could Lebanon walk away?

On whether Lebanon might suspend its participation, the sources pointed to an episode during the seventh round in Rome.

Lebanese delegation head Ambassador Simon Karam wanted to withdraw after Israel threatened to strike the town of Mansouri and called for its evacuation, they said.

The Lebanese presidency, however, favored continuing the talks.

Its view was that any suspension should come from the other side, not Lebanon, so Beirut would not be blamed for derailing the negotiations.

Iran remains a factor

The US-Iranian negotiations are also feeding into the Lebanese-Israeli track, alongside Israel’s elections, the sources said.

Any progress between Washington and Tehran could affect the situation in Lebanon.

The main impact, they said, would be on efforts to disarm Hezbollah, ease tensions and push the group toward a more positive approach to Lebanon’s negotiating track.


Sources to Asharq Al-Awsat: Gaza Factions Assured Political Work after Disarmament

Members of Hamas’ Qassam Brigades. (Reuters file)
Members of Hamas’ Qassam Brigades. (Reuters file)
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Sources to Asharq Al-Awsat: Gaza Factions Assured Political Work after Disarmament

Members of Hamas’ Qassam Brigades. (Reuters file)
Members of Hamas’ Qassam Brigades. (Reuters file)

Israel has repeatedly vowed to eliminate Hamas and keep the group out of Gaza’s political, administrative and security future. But that goal, along with others, appears increasingly difficult to achieve.

Sources in Hamas and other Palestinian factions told Asharq Al-Awsat that months of talks in Cairo, particularly those held in recent days and weeks, included assurances that the factions would face no obstacle to continuing political activity in the Palestinian territories.

A Hamas source based abroad said the assurances amounted to guarantees from several parties, including mediators and the US administration, that Palestinian factions would be free to exercise their political rights under Palestinian law.

Their members and activists would also not be targeted or pursued over their political activity or previous political or security-related activities, the source said.

Another senior Hamas source said the issue had been clear since negotiations began around US President Donald Trump’s initiative in September and October 2025.

The negotiating team, the source said, had rejected Israeli efforts to dismantle Hamas completely, exclude it from Palestinian political life, and force its leaders into exile.

Those understandings were reaffirmed in the latest talks as Hamas agreed to the inventorying and storage of weapons, the source said.

Some factions had nevertheless raised concerns that parties could later use the new arrangements to launch unjustified campaigns against activists for their affiliations or political activity, particularly after the weapons inventory process was completed.

A source from a Palestinian faction that took part in the Cairo talks said the agreed roadmap contained nothing to prevent factions from operating politically as usual.

Those concerns have gained importance after Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas set Nov. 28 as the date for legislative elections, including in parts of the Gaza Strip where voting can be held, particularly central Gaza.

Palestinian sources told Asharq Al-Awsat more than a month ago that Arab and Islamic countries, along with other parties, were working to bridge differences between the factions and the Palestinian Authority so the elections could take place under broad national consensus in line with the new phase in Palestinian internal politics.

Hamas on Tuesday urged Palestinians to register or update their details on the electoral roll to secure their right to take part in the coming elections.


Syria Condemns Colombia's Recognition of Israeli Sovereignty over Golan Heights

Israeli soldiers operate in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights near the border with Syria, amid the conflict between Israel and the Palestinian group Hamas, December 28, 2023. (Reuters)
Israeli soldiers operate in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights near the border with Syria, amid the conflict between Israel and the Palestinian group Hamas, December 28, 2023. (Reuters)
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Syria Condemns Colombia's Recognition of Israeli Sovereignty over Golan Heights

Israeli soldiers operate in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights near the border with Syria, amid the conflict between Israel and the Palestinian group Hamas, December 28, 2023. (Reuters)
Israeli soldiers operate in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights near the border with Syria, amid the conflict between Israel and the Palestinian group Hamas, December 28, 2023. (Reuters)

Syria strongly condemned on Tuesday the Colombian government's statement recognizing what it described as "Israeli sovereignty" over the occupied Syrian Golan Heights, saying the position, which was reportedly based on security considerations, contradicts international law and relevant United Nations resolutions.

The Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates categorically rejected Colombia's position, reaffirming that the Golan Heights are an integral part of Syrian territory, said Syria’s state news agency SANA.

The ministry said the Colombian statement is a flagrant violation of the UN Charter and contradicts the position of the UN Secretary-General affirming that the Golan Heights are Syrian territory, as well as the established principle prohibiting the acquisition of territory by force and relevant UN Security Council resolutions.

The ministry welcomed growing international support for Syria's legitimate rights over the Golan Heights, saying this reflects continued international rejection of attempts to legitimize the occupation or recognize its consequences.

It stressed that the Golan Heights remain subject to the principles of international law and the relevant UN resolutions.

The Syrian foreign ministry also condemned the continued Israeli attacks and incursions into Syrian territory, calling on states and international organizations to uphold their responsibilities under international law and respect UN resolutions.

Syria will continue to employ diplomatic and legal means to defend its sovereignty, territorial integrity and established rights, and to work toward the restoration of its occupied territories, it vowed.