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UAE Request Delay of Expo 2020 until October 2021 due to Coronavirus

An aerial view taken after the recent crowning of Al Wasl dome shows the progress of construction at the Expo 2020 site in Dubai, UAE, in this undated picture obtained Sept. 19, 2019. (Reuters)
An aerial view taken after the recent crowning of Al Wasl dome shows the progress of construction at the Expo 2020 site in Dubai, UAE, in this undated picture obtained Sept. 19, 2019. (Reuters)
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UAE Request Delay of Expo 2020 until October 2021 due to Coronavirus

An aerial view taken after the recent crowning of Al Wasl dome shows the progress of construction at the Expo 2020 site in Dubai, UAE, in this undated picture obtained Sept. 19, 2019. (Reuters)
An aerial view taken after the recent crowning of Al Wasl dome shows the progress of construction at the Expo 2020 site in Dubai, UAE, in this undated picture obtained Sept. 19, 2019. (Reuters)

The United Arab Emirates has officially requested to postpone the start of the Expo 2020 Dubai until October next year due to the coronavirus pandemic, the Bureau International des Expositions (BIE) said on Saturday.

"Following consultations with the BIE, participating countries and key stakeholders, the UAE has proposed 1 October 2021 - 31 March 2022 as the new opening dates of Expo 2020 Dubai."

Expo is a major business and cultural event held every five years in cities around the world selected by the BIE based in Paris.

The UAE government also requested approval to continue using Expo 2020 Dubai as the event's official name.

The BIE said in a statement it would hold a virtual meeting on April 21 to discuss "options for a change of dates".

"The request of the UAE government has been sent following in-depth discussions by the Expo 2020 Dubai steering committee with the organizer and the BIE on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic," said the statement.

"A final decision on a change of dates can only be made by a two-thirds majority vote of BIE member states."

The Expo following Dubai is due to be held in Osaka, Japan, in 2025.

Dubai organizers last month backed a proposal to postpone the event due to start on Oct. 20 this year and run until April 10 because of the pandemic.

Two-thirds of the BIE’s 170 member states must support the proposal for the dates to be changed. A final decision is expected in June when member states meet.

"Many countries have been significantly impacted by COVID-19 and they have therefore expressed a need to postpone the opening of Expo 2020 Dubai by one year," Expo 2020 Dubai director-general Reem al-Hashimi said in a statement.

"The UAE and Expo 2020 Dubai have listened. And in the spirit of solidarity and unity, we supported the proposal to explore a one-year postponement."

The UAE has reported 1,505 COVID-19 cases and 10 deaths. It has enforced extensive lockdown measures to curb the spread of the disease including an ongoing nighttime curfew.

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Investors Weigh Market Risks as Israeli-Iranian Tensions Rise

Traders monitoring the movement of stocks on Wall Street (Reuters)
Traders monitoring the movement of stocks on Wall Street (Reuters)
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Investors Weigh Market Risks as Israeli-Iranian Tensions Rise

Traders monitoring the movement of stocks on Wall Street (Reuters)
Traders monitoring the movement of stocks on Wall Street (Reuters)

As the conflict between Israel and Iran escalates, investors are analyzing several potential market scenarios, especially if the United States deepens its involvement. A key concern is a sharp increase in energy prices, which could amplify economic consequences across global markets.

Rising oil prices could fuel inflation, weaken consumer confidence, and diminish the likelihood of interest rate cuts in the near term. This may prompt initial stock market sell-offs and a flight to the US dollar as a safe-haven asset.

While US crude oil prices have surged by around 10% over the past week, the S&P 500 index has remained relatively stable, following a brief decline after the initial Israeli strikes.

Analysts suggest that if Iranian oil supplies are disrupted, market reactions could intensify significantly. A serious supply disruption would likely ripple through global petroleum markets and push oil prices higher, leading to broader economic consequences.

Oxford Economics has outlined three possible scenarios: a de-escalation of conflict, a full suspension of Iranian oil production, and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Each scenario carries escalating risks to global oil prices. In the most severe case, prices could soar to $130 per barrel, pushing US inflation to nearly 6% by year-end. In such a scenario, consumer spending would likely contract due to declining real income, and any possibility of interest rate cuts this year would likely vanish under rising inflationary pressure.

So far, the most direct impact has been felt in oil markets, where Brent crude futures have jumped as much as 18% since June 10, reaching nearly $79 a barrel, the highest level in five months. Volatility expectations in the oil market now exceed those of major asset classes like equities and bonds.

Although equities have largely brushed off the geopolitical turmoil, analysts believe this could change if energy prices continue to climb. Rising oil prices could weigh on corporate earnings and consumer demand, indirectly pressuring stock markets.

While US stocks have held steady for now, further American involvement in the conflict could spark market anxiety. Historical patterns suggest any sell-off might be short-lived. For instance, during the 2003 Iraq invasion, stocks initially dropped but recovered in subsequent months.

As for the US dollar, its performance amid escalating tensions could vary. It may strengthen initially due to safe-haven demand, although past conflicts have sometimes led to long-term weakness, especially during prolonged military engagements.