ISIS Resurfaces in Syria, Iraq

A Free Syrian Army fighter takes cover during fighting with the Syrian regime forces in Azaz, Syria in 2013. (AP)
A Free Syrian Army fighter takes cover during fighting with the Syrian regime forces in Azaz, Syria in 2013. (AP)
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ISIS Resurfaces in Syria, Iraq

A Free Syrian Army fighter takes cover during fighting with the Syrian regime forces in Azaz, Syria in 2013. (AP)
A Free Syrian Army fighter takes cover during fighting with the Syrian regime forces in Azaz, Syria in 2013. (AP)

Experts and officials have warned that the defeat of ISIS geographically, by taking down the extremist group’s final Syria stronghold in the eastern city of Baghouz, does not deter the threat of resurgence and sleeper cells in western Iraq and eastern Syria.

Political divisions, the absence of proper representation of all sects, economic turmoil, chaos and regional pull in Syria and Iraq present ISIS with a golden opportunity to reach out to local communities and rebuild its base.

These factors have persisted, and some have deepened since the defeat of ISIS in Iraq three years ago and in Syria a year ago.

More so, the emergence of the novel coronavirus in these two countries exposed political, economic and social shortcomings, setting the stage for an ISIS return.

In Iraq, ISIS has intensified its attacks against security forces and government institutions, taking advantage of the preoccupation of Iraqi forces with government formation consultations, the coronavirus and internal tensions, some of which are linked to the US assassination of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani.

In Syria, the past weeks have witnessed two waves of ISIS attacks: The first took place at the beginning of April, when violent clashes erupted in the desert of Sukhna in the eastern Homs countryside, following a surprise attack that killed about 30 members of the regime forces and loyalists. The second took place last Thursday, when ISIS launched a new attack near Deir Ezzour countryside, in which 11 regime forces were killed.

It became clear that ISIS is still able to gather its forces to execute attacks and kidnappings against both civil and military targets. The group has focused its attacks on oil facilities near the Sukhna desert, where it lost control in 2017.

In the region east of the Euphrates River, where the international coalition forces are deployed, the Kurdish-Arab Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) frequently launch preemptive strikes on ISIS pockets in the area, and the US military conducts airstrikes in search of ISIS leaders.



Lebanon to Seek US Guarantees in Response to Proposal

US envoy to Beirut Tom Barrack in Lebanon last week (Reuters)
US envoy to Beirut Tom Barrack in Lebanon last week (Reuters)
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Lebanon to Seek US Guarantees in Response to Proposal

US envoy to Beirut Tom Barrack in Lebanon last week (Reuters)
US envoy to Beirut Tom Barrack in Lebanon last week (Reuters)

Lebanon plans to seek assurances from Washington on the implementation of any future deal involving Hezbollah’s disarmament, Lebanese political sources told Asharq Al-Awsat, ahead of a visit by US envoy to Beirut Tom Barrack early next week.

The question of US guarantees tops Lebanon’s concerns, which are shared not only by Hezbollah but also by the Lebanese state, the sources said.

The issue is central to the discussions of a tripartite Lebanese committee that includes representatives of President Joseph Aoun, Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, meeting regularly at the presidential palace to draft a unified response to a US proposal.

In parallel, the Quintet group - comprising the US, France, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Qatar - met at the US embassy in Beirut to discuss the situation, local media reported.

Saudi Ambassador Walid Bukhari was absent from the talks, reportedly due to travel.

According to the sources, Barrack’s visit is not solely to receive Lebanon’s response to the US proposal, but also to hold further consultations with the country’s top leaders.

The US paper outlines a phased plan prioritizing the disarmament of Hezbollah, delineation of Lebanon’s land border with Syria, and the implementation of long-delayed financial, economic, and administrative reforms.

“Lebanon views the proposal as the basis for negotiations, not a surrender document,” the sources said, noting that the primary demand to be raised will be related to binding US guarantees.

They cited the bitter experience that followed the previous ceasefire deal, after which Israel allegedly continued attacks, held on to five disputed points in southern Lebanon, and hindered the return of displaced residents—all while international aid for reconstruction failed to materialize.

“The committee is meeting almost daily,” one source said. “There is consensus on the need for an Israeli withdrawal from occupied points and an end to violations as a prerequisite for any deal. These are sovereign principles Lebanon will not abandon.”

Despite Hezbollah’s public resistance to disarmament, sources described the group’s current stance as “constructive.”

Hezbollah is said to be engaging in discussions through the state’s official channels, with party officials expressing concern over the absence of international guarantees and the risk of being sidelined politically once it gives up its arms.

“There are internal concerns that Hezbollah could be pushed out of political life, especially after talks around electoral law reforms,” one source said.

These fears are compounded by delays in international aid, reconstruction plans, and continued Israeli violations—issues that have persisted since the ceasefire in November.

On Wednesday night, Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem reiterated the party’s rejection of “any threat of force or foreign meddling,” and insisted that Hezbollah would not “surrender land or weapons to the Israeli enemy” or compromise on its rights.

Qassem also accused Israel of violating the ceasefire more than 3,700 times, while the international community “watches silently, calling only for concessions.” He said Hezbollah would continue to resist, as it has done for decades.

A senior Hezbollah lawmaker said the group remains open to cooperating on strengthening the Lebanese state and restoring its authority across the country—provided Israel withdraws from disputed southern points and halts its ongoing violations.

MP Ali Fayyad, a member of Hezbollah’s parliamentary bloc, said the group “has consistently shown a positive willingness to cooperate in all matters related to state-building, institutional reform, and improving operational capacities to help achieve the desired stability.”

Speaking on Thursday, Fayyad added: “This includes supporting the state in extending its authority over all Lebanese territory and enabling it to carry out all its duties—chief among them the protection and defense of the people and sovereignty.” However, he warned, “None of this will be possible unless national efforts unite to achieve a key condition: Israel must withdraw from the five occupied positions it still holds, end its continued violations, and respect Lebanese sovereignty.”

Fayyad’s comments came amid a broader debate on the future of Hezbollah’s weapons and its role within the state.

Opposition lawmaker Fadi Karam from the Lebanese Forces party slammed Hezbollah’s rhetoric in a post on X.

Addressing Hezbollah’s Qassem, he wrote: “Your weapons have destroyed Lebanon and continue to give Israel an excuse to remain on our land. You’ve tied Lebanon to Iran. And now you claim that handing over your weapons to the Lebanese Army means handing them to Israel? That’s delusional and only exposes Lebanon to new wars.”

The statements reflect widening divisions over Hezbollah’s future role and the path toward national sovereignty and stability, as Lebanon grapples with US-led proposals aimed at de-escalating tensions and launching long-delayed reforms.