Syria: Local Currency Devaluation Exacerbates Sufferings In Damascus

Souvenir mugs featuring Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah are seen among other items for sale in old Damascus, Syria, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Omar Sanadiki
Souvenir mugs featuring Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah are seen among other items for sale in old Damascus, Syria, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Omar Sanadiki
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Syria: Local Currency Devaluation Exacerbates Sufferings In Damascus

Souvenir mugs featuring Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah are seen among other items for sale in old Damascus, Syria, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Omar Sanadiki
Souvenir mugs featuring Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah are seen among other items for sale in old Damascus, Syria, February 8, 2016. REUTERS/Omar Sanadiki

The rise in the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Syrian pound has exacerbated the suffering of the people of Damascus. Recent tension erupted between Rami Makhlouf, who for decades had the country’s most prominent economic pillars, and the government who asked the businessman to pay about $180 million. As a result, the lira lost about 35 percent of its value, as the exchange rate fell against the dollar from 1200 to 1600 after it was 46 liras back in 2011.

The Syrian regime has ordered a series of measures against Makhlouf’s companies, including the Association, and his shares in the state-owned Syrian Telecom Company (Syriatel), the country’s biggest mobile phone company.

The government’s Telecommunications and Postal Regulatory Authority informed two of Makhlouf’s companies, “Syriatel” and “MTN” mobile phone to pay about 234 billion Syrian pounds to the state treasury as a penalty.

Official media quoted a Syrian economic researcher as saying that the amendment of the contracts with the two mobile companies has caused the loss of more than 338 billion pounds (482 million dollars) to the treasury.

Economists told Asharq Al-Awsat that the crisis between the government and Makhlouf had been silent for a year, but that the new conflict emerged in light of “the government’s urgent need for the dollar,” which was reflected in a terrible rise in food prices in the capital.

The World Food Program estimated that food prices rose by 107% in one year.

In parallel, the Ministry of Oil stopped, on Sunday, supplying vehicles with subsidized gasoline, in a new austerity measure that reflects the exacerbation of the economic and financial crisis.

The decision sparked criticism on social media and on the street, while government officials blamed the fuel crisis on economic sanctions imposed by several Arab and Western countries, which prevented the arrival of oil tankers.

The US sanctions against Tehran have aggravated the fuel crisis in Syria, which depends on a credit line that links it to Iran to secure its fuel.

Meanwhile, the government and the central bank have demonstrated a great inability to find solutions to the economic crisis and to control the exchange rate. Instead, they stood idle at the fastest deterioration of the value of the lira without taking any proper action.

“Our government does not have the needed dollars and is barely managing to bring in wheat, sugar and rice,” An economic expert told Asharq Al-Awsat.

“Unless the government demonstrates great flexibility in the international conflict taking place over the Syrian file, the economic situation in the country is heading towards a further deterioration,” he added.



On Lebanon Border, Israel and Hezbollah’s Deadly Game of Patience

Smoke is seen as an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) is intercepted following its launch from Lebanon, amid cross-border hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces, at Kibbutz Eilon in northern Israel, July 23, 2024. (Reuters)
Smoke is seen as an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) is intercepted following its launch from Lebanon, amid cross-border hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces, at Kibbutz Eilon in northern Israel, July 23, 2024. (Reuters)
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On Lebanon Border, Israel and Hezbollah’s Deadly Game of Patience

Smoke is seen as an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) is intercepted following its launch from Lebanon, amid cross-border hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces, at Kibbutz Eilon in northern Israel, July 23, 2024. (Reuters)
Smoke is seen as an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) is intercepted following its launch from Lebanon, amid cross-border hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces, at Kibbutz Eilon in northern Israel, July 23, 2024. (Reuters)

In deserted villages and communities near the southern Lebanon border, Israeli troops and Hezbollah fighters have watched each other for months, shifting and adapting in a battle for the upper hand while they wait to see if a full scale war will come.

Ever since the start of the Gaza war last October, the two sides have exchanged daily barrages of rockets, artillery, missile fire and air strikes in a standoff that has just stopped short of full-scale war.

Tens of thousands have been evacuated from both sides of the border, and hopes that children may be able to return for the start of the new school year in September appear to have been dashed following an announcement by Israeli Education Minister Yoav Kisch on Tuesday that conditions would not allow it.

"The war is almost the same for the past nine months," Lieutenant Colonel Dotan, an Israeli officer, who could only be identified by his first name. "We have good days of hitting Hezbollah and bad days where they hit us. It's almost the same, all year, all the nine months."

As the summer approaches its peak, the smoke trails of drones and rockets in the sky have become a daily sight, with missiles regularly setting off brush fires in the thickly wooded hills along the border.

Israeli strikes have killed nearly 350 Hezbollah fighters in Lebanon and more than 100 civilians, including medics, children and journalists, while 10 Israeli civilians, a foreign agricultural worker and 20 Israeli soldiers have been killed.

Even so, as the cross border firing has continued, Israeli forces have been training for a possible offensive in Lebanon which would dramatically increase the risk of a wider regional war, potentially involving Iran and the United States.

That risk was underlined at the weekend when the Yemen-based Houthis, a militia which like Hezbollah is backed by Iran, sent a drone to Tel Aviv where it caused a blast that killed a man and prompted Israel to launch a retaliatory raid the next day.

Standing in his home kibbutz of Eilon, where only about 150 farmers and security guards remain from a normal population of 1,100, Lt. Colonet Dotan said the two sides have been testing each other for months, in a constantly evolving tactical battle.

"This war taught us patience," said Dotan. "In the Middle East, you need patience."

He said Israeli troops had seen an increasing use of Iranian drones, of a type frequently seen in Ukraine, as well as Russian-made Kornet anti tank missiles which were increasingly targeting houses as Israeli tank forces adapted their own tactics in response.

"Hezbollah is a fast-learning organization and they understood that UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles) are the next big thing and so they went and bought and got trained in UAVs," he said.

Israel had responded by adapting its Iron Dome air defense system and focusing its own operations on weakening Hezbollah's organizational structure by attacking its experienced commanders, such as Ali Jaafar Maatuk, a field commander in the elite Radwan forces unit who was killed last week.

"So that's another weak point we found. We target them and we look for them on a daily basis," he said.

Even so, as the months have passed, the wait has not been easy for Israeli troops brought up in a doctrine of maneuver and rapid offensive operations.

"When you're on defense, you can't defeat the enemy. We understand that, we have no expectations," he said, "So we have to wait. It's a patience game."