Lebanese Pound Slips to New Lows, Trading 6,000 to the Dollar

A money exchange vendor displays Lebanese pound banknotes at his shop in Beirut, Lebanon, August 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
A money exchange vendor displays Lebanese pound banknotes at his shop in Beirut, Lebanon, August 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
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Lebanese Pound Slips to New Lows, Trading 6,000 to the Dollar

A money exchange vendor displays Lebanese pound banknotes at his shop in Beirut, Lebanon, August 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
A money exchange vendor displays Lebanese pound banknotes at his shop in Beirut, Lebanon, August 16, 2018. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

Lebanon’s pound currency fell to new lows on Tuesday, trading above 6,000 to the dollar on a parallel market, according to market participants, as a severe dollar crunch further eroded its value.

President Michel Aoun said earlier this month that the central bank would begin using limited dollar reserves to support the pound after a sharp fall sparked fresh public protests.

The pound has lost about 75% of its value since October, when Lebanon was plunged into a crisis that has led to job losses, price hikes, and capital controls that have severed Lebanese from their hard currency savings.

With few sources of fresh dollar inflows, the central bank has looked to stabilize the dollar rate at exchange houses by setting a unified rate with them each day, with legal penalties for dealers that operate above it. The rate was set at 3,850/3,900 on Tuesday as part of the scheme.

However, exchange houses said on Monday the reduced rate would be available only to customers with specific documented needs such as paying dollar-denominated loans, plane tickets, overseas school fees, and salaries for foreign workers.

Two dealers said on Tuesday they were buying dollars for 6,000 pounds. One of them said he was selling dollars for 6,200 while the second said he was not selling. The rate compares to a dollar buying price of about 5,000 a week ago.

Hani Bohsali, president of the Syndicate of Importers of Foodstuffs, Consumer Products, and Drinks, said dollars at any price were “almost impossible to secure” and a system to allocate dollars for food importers was barely functioning.

Bohsali said he was also quoted a rate of 6,000/6,200 pounds for buying and selling on Tuesday.

The pound remains pegged to the dollar at 1,507.5, but that rate remains available only for imports of wheat, medicine, and fuel.



S&P Upgrades Italy in Surprise Boost for PM Meloni

 Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni waits for the arrival of Queen Rania of Jordan at Villa Doria Pamphili in Rome, Italy, 09 April 2025. (EPA)
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni waits for the arrival of Queen Rania of Jordan at Villa Doria Pamphili in Rome, Italy, 09 April 2025. (EPA)
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S&P Upgrades Italy in Surprise Boost for PM Meloni

 Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni waits for the arrival of Queen Rania of Jordan at Villa Doria Pamphili in Rome, Italy, 09 April 2025. (EPA)
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni waits for the arrival of Queen Rania of Jordan at Villa Doria Pamphili in Rome, Italy, 09 April 2025. (EPA)

Credit ratings agency S&P Global upgraded Italy on Friday in a surprise move just days after Rome halved its economic growth forecast amid global market turmoil and said its huge public debt would rise this year and next.

S&P Global raised Italy's sovereign debt rating to BBB+ from BBB, citing its falling budget deficit, resilient exports and high domestic savings rate, and confidence that the European Central Bank will keep any inflationary pressures in check.

It said the new rating carried a stable outlook.

"The upgrade reflects Italy's improved economic, external, and monetary buffers amid rising global headwinds, and the gradual progress it has made in stabilizing public finances since the (COVID-19) pandemic's onset," S&P Global said.

Earlier this month Fitch affirmed its BBB rating with a positive outlook, while Moody's rates Italy Baa3 with a stable outlook.

S&P's upgrade is a boost for Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni ahead of a meeting with US President Donald Trump in Washington on Thursday expected to focus on US trade tariffs which have hit financial markets worldwide and clouded economic prospects.

S&P Global noted that Italy's net external creditor position had strengthened over the last five years to around 15% of gross domestic product, compared with close to balance just before the pandemic.

"S&P's judgment rewards the seriousness of the Italian government's approach to budget policy," said Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti. "In the general uncertain climate, prudence and responsibility will continue to be our course of action."

The agency had made no change to Italy's rating or outlook since July 2022, when it revised the outlook to stable from positive following the collapse of the government of former Prime Minister Mario Draghi.

STAGNANT ECONOMY

On Wednesday, Italy committed to keeping its budget deficit in check even as it slashed its economic growth forecasts against a backdrop of mounting uncertainty connected to the US trade tariffs.

Yet even before Trump's tariff announcements, the euro zone's third largest economy has posted virtually no growth since mid-2024.

Italian GDP edged up by 0.1% in the fourth quarter of last year from the previous three months after stagnating in the third quarter. No pick-up is expected in the near term.

In its multi-year economic framework issued on Wednesday, the government cut its forecast for 2025 GDP growth to 0.6% from a projection of 1.2% made in September, and lowered its 2026 forecast to 0.8% from 1.1%.

The Treasury confirmed its previous 2025 budget deficit estimate at 3.3% of national output and also confirmed its goal of bringing the fiscal gap below the European Union's 3% of GDP ceiling in 2026, maintaining a 2.8% target.

However, it said the public debt - the second highest in the euro zone after Greece's - would climb from 135.3% of GDP last year to 137.6% by 2026, before edging down marginally the following year.

S&P also forecast Italy's GDP growth at 0.6% this year, in line with Meloni's government, and said the country's rising debt would not stabilize until 2028.

Nonetheless, it said Trump's latest decision to suspend previously announced 20% tariffs on European Union goods for three months, and to impose a milder 10%, meant the hit to Italy's economy would be "manageable".