Oil Falls as Market Eyes US-China Trade Talks, Storage Report Mixed

The Phillips 66 Carson refinery is shown after the company said it will shut its large Los Angeles-area oil refinery late next year, delivering a blow to California's fuel supply, in Carson, California, US, October 17, 2024. (Reuters)
The Phillips 66 Carson refinery is shown after the company said it will shut its large Los Angeles-area oil refinery late next year, delivering a blow to California's fuel supply, in Carson, California, US, October 17, 2024. (Reuters)
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Oil Falls as Market Eyes US-China Trade Talks, Storage Report Mixed

The Phillips 66 Carson refinery is shown after the company said it will shut its large Los Angeles-area oil refinery late next year, delivering a blow to California's fuel supply, in Carson, California, US, October 17, 2024. (Reuters)
The Phillips 66 Carson refinery is shown after the company said it will shut its large Los Angeles-area oil refinery late next year, delivering a blow to California's fuel supply, in Carson, California, US, October 17, 2024. (Reuters)

Oil prices edged lower on Wednesday, after bouncing back from a sharp sell-off earlier in the week, as investors turned their focus to US-China trade talks this weekend.

Brent crude futures were down 71 cents a barrel, or around 1.14%, at $61.44 a barrel by 12:00 p.m. ET (1600 GMT), while US West Texas Intermediate crude was down 66 cents, or 1.12%, lower at $58.43 a barrel.

The US and China are due to meet in Switzerland, which could be the first step toward resolving a trade war disrupting the global economy.

The US-China trade talks come after weeks of escalating tensions that have seen duties on goods imports between the world's two largest economies soar well beyond 100%.

"While the meeting may signal a thaw, expectations for a breakthrough remain low," said Thiago Duarte, market analyst at Axi. "Unless the US receives major trade concessions, further de-escalation seems unlikely," he said.

Investors also awaited the upcoming Fed update on Wednesday. They expect the policy rate to remain in the 4.25%-4.50% range until the Fed's July 29-30 meeting.

Meanwhile, US crude inventories fell by 2 million barrels to 438.4 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 833,000-barrel draw.

However, gasoline inventories rose, raising concerns among analysts of weak demand ahead of a major driving holiday in the US later this month.

"This is the first bad report for gasoline in a couple of weeks. The refiner had been cranking up the utilization rate. But today in this report it went backwards," said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho.

Limiting the losses, some US producers have signaled that they would cut spending, cautioning that the country's oil output may have peaked.

Additionally, conflict in the Middle East between Israel and the Houthis increases the geopolitical risk premium, said Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM.



Kuwait Plans to Return to Globat Debt Market to Finance Development Projects

Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance Aseel Al-Munifi and Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini speak during a presentation of the new debt law. (KUNA)
Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance Aseel Al-Munifi and Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini speak during a presentation of the new debt law. (KUNA)
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Kuwait Plans to Return to Globat Debt Market to Finance Development Projects

Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance Aseel Al-Munifi and Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini speak during a presentation of the new debt law. (KUNA)
Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance Aseel Al-Munifi and Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini speak during a presentation of the new debt law. (KUNA)

Kuwait plans to return to the global debt market this year and is expected to borrow between $10 to $20 billion during the current fiscal year to finance development projects, a finance ministry official said on Monday.

On March 26, the Kuwaiti government issued a debt law that sets the public debt ceiling at a maximum of 30 billion Kuwaiti dinar (about $97 billion), or its equivalent in major convertible foreign currencies. The law also allows the issuance of financial instruments with maturities of up to 50 years.

It is valid for 50 years from the date of its entry into force, establishing a long-term legal framework for regulating public borrowing and liquidity management in Kuwait.

Director of Public Debt at the Finance Ministry Faisal Al-Muzaini said during a presentation of the new debt law that the ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP) in Kuwait is minuscule at just 2.9%, whereas it is 60 to 70% in many countries.

Al-Muzaini announced that Kuwait is returning to the financial markets, both domestic and international, for borrowing in the 2025/2026 fiscal year.

He described the move as the largest financial market entry in over eight years, hailing the law as a landmark in public finance reform and saying stating it provides the government with a robust legal framework for managing public debt.

The framework allows for debt maturities of up to 50 years and sets a borrowing ceiling of 30 billion Kuwaiti dinar (approximately $92 billion).

Al-Muzaini added that the Ministry of Finance has outlined a flexible strategy to engage confidently with financial markets while prioritizing competitive financing costs and diversifying the investor base both geographically and institutionally.

One key focus, he said, is developing the local debt market by establishing a yield curve that will serve as a benchmark for future issuances.

“This law sends a strong message of fiscal discipline and credibility to global markets,” Al-Muzaini said. “It is expected to contribute to enhancing Kuwait’s credit profile, drawing wider investor interest, and advancing the country’s transition toward a diversified economy.”

Undersecretary of the Finance Ministry Aseel Al-Munifi said on Monday that the law aims to stimulate the economic environment, attract foreign investments and boost developmental and economic returns for the state. The law, which came into effect on March 27, also seeks to bolster the banking sector and improve fiscal stability, she said.

Al-Munifi explained that the legislation equips the government with modern financial tools, enabling access to both local and international financial markets. These tools, she said, will help secure funding for key development projects.

“The law will support the restructuring of government financing, reduce borrowing costs, and strengthen Kuwait’s credit rating,” she said. “It reflects positively on the state’s borrowing capabilities under competitive conditions and helps build up financial reserves to meet commitments amid evolving economic circumstances.”

Al-Munifi also noted that the new law will serve as an essential mechanism for financing major national projects, particularly in infrastructure, housing, education, and healthcare — sectors included in the government’s general budget for the next five years.

Moreover, she revealed that preparations for the issuance of the long-anticipated Sukuk Law have been finalized. “The draft has been completed by the Ministry and is currently under discussion in relevant Cabinet committees. It will soon proceed through the constitutional procedures for final approval,” she said.