Russia Uses Aid Deliveries to Syria to Avenge ‘Libyan Deception’

Displaced Syrian children. (AFP)
Displaced Syrian children. (AFP)
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Russia Uses Aid Deliveries to Syria to Avenge ‘Libyan Deception’

Displaced Syrian children. (AFP)
Displaced Syrian children. (AFP)

When Russia agreed in July 2014 to pass resolution 2165 that allowed the delivery of humanitarian aid to Syria through the border without Damascus’ approval, it received in return a pledge that the “Libyan deception” will not be repeated. It was referring to resolution 1973, issued in March 2011, to impose a no-fly zone over Libya and allow necessary measures to protect civilians and use military force by western powers to impose change in Libya.

Six years later, Moscow is exploiting the shifting situation in Syria, including its direct military presence there and the Middle East, including Libya, to pressure the United States and its allies to present more concessions before approving the short-term extension of the special UN resolution to deliver humanitarian aid to Syria through border crossings.

Between 2014 and 2019, the extension of resolution 2615 used to take place in a routine vote and Russia and China’s abstention. The resolution called for the continuation of aid deliveries through one border crossing with each of Iraq and Jordan and two with Turkey. The first western concession took place in December when Russia used its 14th veto on Syria when it moved against the continuation of the use of the four crossings. It instead called for the ongoing use of the two Turkish portals. At the time, it said that Syrian forces were now deployed in the South and east of the Euphrates River. It believed that there was no longer a need for delivering aid through the Iraq and Jordanian borders.

Politically, Moscow was pressuring western countries and UN agencies to work with the regime and work around Washington’s efforts to bar the normalization of relations with Damascus. Indeed, the resolution was re-drafted after western countries agreed to use the two border crossings. Moreover, they agreed to reduce the duration of the deliveries from one year to six months. The Security Council adopted the new resolution in January and it saw the delivery of aid to northwestern Syria where some 4 million people reside.

The second round of concessions appeared to draw near as the six months are now up. Western countries have raised their rhetoric and Washington once again began talking about using the al-Ya'rubiyah border between Iraq and the region east of the Euphrates. The World Health Organization in April submitted a request to the UN for the urgent opening of the crossing as part of efforts to combat the coronavirus outbreak. The plea was backed by western countries.

In June, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres asked for an extension of the delivery of aid through the Bab al-Salam and Bab al-Hawa crossings with Turkey for an additional 12 months. He also backed the opening of the al-Ya'rubiyah crossing, saying that since its closure, the delivery of aid to the majority of medical facilities in northeastern Syria was being hampered.

But none of this happened. The WHO removed the request from its memo and Russia stood in the way. Baghdad informed the Syrian Democratic Forces that it would not open the al-Ya'rubiyah crossing without the approval of the Syrian government.

Now, Moscow is pushing the Security Council to make two concessions: Eliminating the Bab al-Salam crossing on Turkish border and that leads to Aleppo and for Guterres to submit a monthly report to the Security Council on the impact western sanctions are having on the humanitarian situation in Syria. This was seen as a response to the European Union’s decision in June to extend, for a year, sanctions against Damascus. The extension coincided with Washington’s implementation of the Caesar Act.

Russia resorted to its veto twice in one week over the decision to extend aid deliveries. Western countries, in turn, vetoed a Russian proposal to extend deliveries at one crossing for six months. As western countries and Russia continued to tussle in New York, concern was mounting Idlib as more cases of the coronavirus are being reported. Ultimately, the Security Council on Saturday approved aid deliveries to Syria through one border crossing from Turkey, a day after its authorization for the six-year-long humanitarian operation ended, leaving millions of Syrian civilians in limbo.



COP29: What Is the Latest Science on Climate Change?

A flare burns off excess gas from a gas plant in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 21, 2019. (Reuters)
A flare burns off excess gas from a gas plant in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 21, 2019. (Reuters)
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COP29: What Is the Latest Science on Climate Change?

A flare burns off excess gas from a gas plant in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 21, 2019. (Reuters)
A flare burns off excess gas from a gas plant in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 21, 2019. (Reuters)

This year's UN climate summit - COP29 - is being held during yet another record-breaking year of higher global temperatures, adding pressure to negotiations aimed at curbing climate change.

The last global scientific consensus on climate change was released in 2021 through the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, however scientists say that evidence shows global warming and its impacts are unfolding faster than expected.

Here is some of the latest climate research:

1.5C BREACHED?

The world may already have hit 1.5 degree Celsius (2.7 F) of warming above the average pre-industrial temperature - a critical threshold beyond which it is at risk of irreversible and extreme climate change, scientists say.

A group of researchers made the suggestion in a study released on Monday based on an analysis of 2,000 years of atmospheric gases trapped in Antarctic ice cores that extends the understanding of pre-industrial temperature trends.

Scientists have typically measured today's temperatures against a baseline temperature average for 1850-1900. By that measure, the world is now at nearly 1.3 C (2.4 F) of warming.

But the new data suggests a longer pre-industrial baseline, based on temperature data spanning the year 13 to 1700, the study published in the journal Nature Geoscience said.

Either way, 2024 is certain to be the warmest year on record.

SUPERCHARGED HURRICANES

Not only is ocean warming fueling stronger Atlantic storms, it is also causing them to intensify more rapidly, for example, jumping from a Category 1 to a Category 3 storm in just hours.

Growing evidence shows this is true of other ocean basins.

Hurricane Milton needed only one day in the Gulf of Mexico in October to go from tropical storm to the Gulf's second-most powerful hurricane on record, slamming Florida's west coast.

Warmer air can also hold more moisture, helping storms carry and eventually release more rain. As a result, hurricanes are delivering flooding even in mountain towns like Asheville, North Carolina, inundated in September by Hurricane Helene.

WILDFIRE DEATHS

Global warming is drying waterways and sapping moisture from forests, creating conditions for bigger and hotter wildfires from the US West and Canada to southern Europe and Russia's Far East creating more damaging smoke.

Research published last month in Nature Climate Change calculated that about 13% of deaths associated with toxic wildfire smoke, roughly 12,000 deaths, during the 2010s could be attributed to the climate effect on wildfires.

CORAL BLEACHING

With the world in the throes of a fourth mass coral bleaching event — the largest on record — scientists fear the world's reefs have passed a point of no return.

Scientists will be studying bleached reefs from Australia to Brazil for signs of recovery over the next few years if temperatures fall.

AMAZON ALARM

Brazil's Amazon is in the grips of its worst and most widespread drought since records began in 1950. River levels sank to all-time lows this year, while fires ravaged the rainforest.

This adds concern to scientific findings earlier this year that between 10% and 47% of the Amazon will face combined stresses of heat and drought from climate change, as well as other threats, by 2050.

This could push the Amazon past a tipping point, with the jungle no longer able to produce enough moisture to quench its own trees, at which point the ecosystem could transition to degraded forests or sandy savannas.

Globally, forests appear to be struggling.

A July study found that forests overall last year failed to absorb as much carbon dioxide from the atmosphere as in the past, due largely to the Amazon drought and wildfires in Canada.

That means a record amount of CO2 entered the atmosphere.

VOLCANIC SURGE

Scientists fear climate change could even boost volcanic eruptions.

In Iceland, volcanoes appear to be responding to rapid glacier retreat. As ice melts, less pressure is exerted on the Earth's crust and mantle.

Volcanologists worry this could destabilize magma reservoirs and appears to be leading to more magma being created, building up pressure underground.

Some 245 volcanoes across the world lie under or near ice and could be at risk.

OCEAN SLOWDOWN

The warming of the Atlantic could hasten the collapse of a key current system, which scientists warn could already be sputtering.

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), which transports warm water from the tropics to the North Atlantic, has helped to keep European winters milder for centuries.

Research in 2018 showed that AMOC has weakened by about 15% since 1950, while research published in February in the journal Science Advances, suggested that it could be closer to a critical slowdown than previously thought.