‘Early Elections’ Tops Consultations to Form New Tunisian Govt

Part of the Prime Minister-designate's meeting with former politicians and officials as part of his consultations to form the new Tunisian government (EPA)
Part of the Prime Minister-designate's meeting with former politicians and officials as part of his consultations to form the new Tunisian government (EPA)
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‘Early Elections’ Tops Consultations to Form New Tunisian Govt

Part of the Prime Minister-designate's meeting with former politicians and officials as part of his consultations to form the new Tunisian government (EPA)
Part of the Prime Minister-designate's meeting with former politicians and officials as part of his consultations to form the new Tunisian government (EPA)

Ennahda Movement’s Shura Council continues Sunday, for the second day in a row, its meetings in Hammamet city, northeastern Tunisia, to discuss scenarios for forming the next government.

Meanwhile, three premises have been suggested on members of the Council, which is the movement’s highest decision-making authority.

The first is joining a new government coalition that may bring it together with the Heart of Tunisia party, al-Karama Coalition, and the Future bloc or forming an opposition after calls by several political parties to exclude it from power.

The third, however, is preparing for early legislative elections if Prime Minister-designate Hichem Mechichi’s government fails to win the vote of confidence, approving to dissolve the parliament and heading to polls to create a parliamentary scene different from the current one.

Besides forming Mechichi’s government, the Shura has also been discussing several other issues. These include the current political crisis, tension prevailing in the parliament, as well as the Movement’s preparation for its next electoral conference, scheduled before the end of 2020.

Holding early elections seems to be the most probable option among political parties, indicated by statements issued by political figures that have been participating in consultations to form the new government.

Zuhair al-Maghzawi, head of People’s Movement’s party, which is part of the current government coalition, said his party prefers to head to the polls rather than joining a government that includes Ennahda.

“In case some parliamentary blocs and political parties do not give their confidence vote to Mechichi’s government, the ballot boxes will be the best solution,” he stressed.

Maghzawi further slammed Ennahda’s leaders, noting that they don’t want ruling partners but rather followers, adding that the movement wants to gain control over the state’s vital sectors and institutions, implement its project and empower its leaders.

Meanwhile, some observers considered the threat by some political parties to hold early parliamentary elections a mean used to improve the conditions for negotiations with the Premier-designate.

They said most parties are not currently ready for parliamentary elections that would reshape the whole current parliamentary scene.

In this regard, former leader in Nidaa Tounes party Ridha Belhaj said Ennahda is the only movement that was actually ready for any elections.

He criticized the parties that want to exclude Ennahda, stressing their complete inability to confront it with its current structures.

Belhaj also called for the formation of a large political party, similar to Nidaa Tounes, which defeated Ennahda in 2014 elections.

He pointed out that restoring balance to the political scene “is necessary,” adding that “confronting any political party is not done by cursing and raising slogans calling for excluding those who we disagree with.”



Hamas Comes Under Pressure in Lebanon

The Supreme Defense Council, chaired by President Joseph Aoun, issued a recommendation to the government to warn Hamas against using Lebanese territory for any actions that undermine national security (Lebanese Presidency)
The Supreme Defense Council, chaired by President Joseph Aoun, issued a recommendation to the government to warn Hamas against using Lebanese territory for any actions that undermine national security (Lebanese Presidency)
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Hamas Comes Under Pressure in Lebanon

The Supreme Defense Council, chaired by President Joseph Aoun, issued a recommendation to the government to warn Hamas against using Lebanese territory for any actions that undermine national security (Lebanese Presidency)
The Supreme Defense Council, chaired by President Joseph Aoun, issued a recommendation to the government to warn Hamas against using Lebanese territory for any actions that undermine national security (Lebanese Presidency)

Relations between Hamas and the Lebanese state have entered a critical phase not seen since the country’s civil war era. In a rare and direct move, Lebanon’s Supreme Defense Council on Friday named Hamas in an official warning, cautioning the group against using Lebanese territories to conduct activities that threaten national security.

The warning follows rocket attacks in March, allegedly launched by Hamas operatives toward Israel from southern Lebanon, and signals a turning point in Beirut’s handling of the longstanding issue of Palestinian arms.

The issue is expected to dominate discussions during the upcoming visit of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas to Beirut on May 21. Lebanese authorities are reportedly preparing to demand that Hamas hand over individuals implicated in the rocket attacks.

Hamas officials in Lebanon declined to comment immediately, but sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that an official statement from the group is forthcoming.

Last month, the Lebanese army said it had identified those responsible for the March 22 and 28 rocket launches, revealing a cell composed of Lebanese and Palestinian nationals. Subsequent raids led to several arrests and the seizure of equipment used in the attacks. Security sources later confirmed the detention of three Hamas members - two Palestinians and one Lebanese.

Analysts and insiders believe Hamas now finds itself increasingly isolated in Lebanon. According to Palestinian political analyst Hisham Debassy, the group has little choice but to comply with Lebanese demands, including potentially disarming.

“The Defense Council’s position marks a serious and strategic shift,” said Debassy. “It sends a strong political message not just to Hamas but to any non-state actor operating militarily on Lebanese soil.”

Debassy described Hamas as being at a crossroads. “Either it cooperates with Lebanese authorities by handing over wanted individuals and signaling respect for state sovereignty, or it continues down a path of confrontation, an option that carries significant political and security costs.”

He noted that Hamas currently lacks the internal cohesion and public support to take a defiant stance. Internal divisions have grown between factions aligned with Iran and others favoring political reintegration within the broader Muslim Brotherhood framework.

Political analyst Dr. Qassem Qassir said Hamas’ leadership, based largely in Qatar, remains mindful of Lebanon’s fragile security. “Hamas doesn’t want to endanger Lebanon,” he said, adding that the group is likely to act cautiously given the broader regional context.

Meanwhile, Abbas’ visit is seen as an opportunity to reshape Palestinian-Lebanese relations and advance state authority in Palestinian camps. Lebanese officials are seeking a roadmap, backed by the Palestinian Authority, that could lead to the phased dismantling of weapons in refugee camps, following similar efforts targeting pro-Syrian Palestinian factions in the Bekaa and Naameh regions.

Hamas’ presence in Lebanon had traditionally been limited to social and political activities. But its military footprint began to emerge after a 2022 explosion in the Burj al-Shemali camp. Since the Gaza war erupted in October 2023, Hamas’s armed wing has become more active in southern Lebanon, coordinating with Hezbollah in launching attacks on Israel, further complicating its position with Lebanese authorities.