Kuwait Says Needs to Borrow $66Bn Over 30 Yrs

Kuwait heads towards a huge financial borrowing project for the next three decades (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Kuwait heads towards a huge financial borrowing project for the next three decades (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

Kuwait Says Needs to Borrow $66Bn Over 30 Yrs

Kuwait heads towards a huge financial borrowing project for the next three decades (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Kuwait heads towards a huge financial borrowing project for the next three decades (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Kuwait government’s need to pass a law on public debt that would enable it to borrow 20 billion dinars ($65.3billion) over 30 years “is still urgent and necessary,” Finance Minister Barak al-Shitan said on Sunday.

The finance and economic committee has also suggested reducing the period for borrowing, Shitan added after meeting lawmakers.

The public debt would not exceed 60 percent of gross domestic product and proceeds would go to infrastructure and development projects, he told reporters after meeting the committee.

The government will study an idea to lower by half the ceiling on public debt as part of proposed amendments to a law it’s struggled to push through parliament, he noted.

Kuwait has two billion dinars ($6.6 billion) worth of liquidity in its Treasury and not enough cash to cover state salaries beyond October, he has earlier noted.

“The government is withdrawing from its General Reserve Fund at a rate of 1.7 billion dinars a month, meaning liquidity will soon be depleted if oil prices don’t improve and if Kuwait can’t borrow from local and international markets,” he said.

The panel has proposed reducing the limit from 20 billion dinars ($66 billion) to 10 billion dinars, said the committee’s head, Safa al-Hashem.

The proposal suggests that the law be reconsidered within three years in terms of the debt ceiling and repayment period, Hashem added, provided that the next finance minister presents a complete economic reform program on the way to cut expenditure, boost revenue, and lay out clear repayment mechanisms.

Kuwait is going through one of its worst economic crises due to the COVID-19 outbreak and the decline in oil prices – given that oil is the key source to fund the general budget. Before that, the deficit in Kuwait was expected to reach KWD7.7 billion ($25 billion) for the fiscal year from April 1 to March 31.

The government and parliament have long been at odds over the law that would allow Kuwait to tap international debt, but the issue has gained urgency in recent months due to the COVID-19 pandemic and low crude prices.



Dollar Strengthens on Elevated US Bond Yields, Tariff Talks

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
TT

Dollar Strengthens on Elevated US Bond Yields, Tariff Talks

A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo
A teller sorts US dollar banknotes inside the cashier's booth at a forex exchange bureau in downtown Nairobi, Kenya February 16, 2024. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya/File photo

The dollar rose for a second day on Wednesday on higher US bond yields, sending other major currencies to multi-month lows, with a report that Donald Trump was mulling emergency measures to allow for a new tariff program also lending support.

The already-firm dollar climbed higher on Wednesday after CNN reported that President-elect Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency as legal justification for a large swath of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries.

The dollar index was last up 0.5% at 109.24, not far from the two-year peak of 109.58 it hit last week, Reuters reported.

Its gains were broad-based, with the euro down 0.43% at $1.0293 and Britain's pound under particular pressure, down 1.09% at $1.2342.

Data on Tuesday showed US job openings unexpectedly rose in November and layoffs were low, while a separate survey showed US services sector activity accelerated in December and a measure of input prices hit a two-year high - a possible inflation warning.

Bond markets reacted by sending 10-year Treasury yields up more than eight basis points on Tuesday, with the yield climbing to 4.728% on Wednesday.

"We're getting very strong US numbers... which has rates going up," said Bart Wakabayashi, Tokyo branch manager at State Street, pushing expectations of Fed rate cuts out to the northern summer or beyond.

"There's even the discussion about, will they cut, or may they even hike? The narrative has changed quite significantly."

Markets are now pricing in just 36 basis points of easing from the Fed this year, with a first cut in July.

US private payrolls data due later in the session will be eyed for further clues on the likely path of US rates.

Traders are jittery ahead of key US labor data on Friday and the inauguration of Donald Trump on Jan. 20, with his second US presidency expected to begin with a flurry of policy announcements and executive orders.

The move in the pound drew particular attention, as it came alongside a sharp sell-off in British stocks and government bonds. The 10-year gilt yield is at its highest since 2008.

Higher yields in general are more likely to lead to a stronger currency, but not in this case.

"With a non-data driven rise in yields that is not driven by any positive news - and the trigger seems to be inflation concern in the US, and Treasuries are selling off - the correlation inverts," said Francesco Pesole, currency analyst at ING.

"That doesn't happen for every currency, but the pound remains more sensitive than most other currencies to a rise in yields, likely because there's still this lack of confidence in the sustainability of budget measures."

Markets did not welcome the budget from Britain's new Labor government late last year.

Elsewhere, the yen sagged close to the 160 per dollar level that drew intervention last year, touching 158.55, its weakest on the dollar for nearly six months.

Japan's consumer sentiment deteriorated in December, a government survey showed, casting doubt on the central bank's view that solid household spending will underpin the economy and justify a rise in interest rates.

China's yuan hit 7.3322 per dollar, the lowest level since September 2023.