Achieving 2.5% Growth in Jordan in 2021 Depends on Continued Economic Activity

A man wears a face mask amid concerns over the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as he buys food supplies in Amman, Jordan, April 12, 2020. (Reuters)
A man wears a face mask amid concerns over the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as he buys food supplies in Amman, Jordan, April 12, 2020. (Reuters)
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Achieving 2.5% Growth in Jordan in 2021 Depends on Continued Economic Activity

A man wears a face mask amid concerns over the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as he buys food supplies in Amman, Jordan, April 12, 2020. (Reuters)
A man wears a face mask amid concerns over the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) as he buys food supplies in Amman, Jordan, April 12, 2020. (Reuters)

Jordan hopes its growth will rebound to 2.5 percent in 2021 from a three percent contraction in 2020 after economic activity was hit by lockdowns, border closures and a sharp fall in tourism during the coronavirus pandemic, the finance minister said.

Mohammad al-Ississ told the parliament in a budget speech that the 2021 forecast, which was in line with International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates, depended on the continued economic activity without imposing any lockdowns.

The gradual reopening of most of Jordan’s key business and manufacturing activities since last summer had helped its economy to reverse earlier IMF estimates of a severe five percent contraction.

The kingdom’s public finances and balance of payments have been strained by the collapse of tourism and lower remittances from workers overseas with unemployment soaring to a record 22 percent due to bankruptcies and layoffs.

Ississ noted that the main goal of this year’s 9.9 billion dinar ($14 billion) state budget was to maintain fiscal prudence to help ensure financial stability.

Jordan’s commitment to IMF reforms and investor confidence in the country’s improved outlook helped it maintain stable sovereign ratings at a time when other emerging markets were being downgraded, he added.

Meanwhile, Central Bank figures have revealed that foreign exchange reserves stood at some $ 12.17 billion in 2020, compared to their level at the end of 2019.

Foreign reserves in Jordan have been negatively affected since the beginning of 2016 due to a slowdown in remittances from expatriates, tourism income and foreign investment.

In 2020, the government imposed measures to contain the coronavirus outbreak, negatively affecting the economic activity in the kingdom.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.